NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Predictions for Saturday (5/11)
What kind of performances can we expect on Saturday from Jarrett Allen, Al Horford, and Donovan Mitchell? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for today — Saturday, May 11, 2024. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NBA player props, at ScoresandOdds.
Tonight, the Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers will play Game 3 of their second-round Eastern Conference playoff series at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. Entering play on Saturday, the series is surprisingly tied at 1 game apiece after Cleveland notched an upset victory in Game 2.
This evening, Jayson Tatum and the Celtics will look to regain control of the series against Donovan Mitchell and company.
If looking to target the player prop market today, we have three player prop leans worth considering for Saturday, May 11!
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NBA Player Props Today – Saturday, May 11, 2024
Jarrett Allen Over/Under 13.5 Points
Al Horford Over/Under 7.5 Rebounds
Donovan Mitchell Over/Under 5.5 Assists
Jarrett Allen Over/Under 13.5 Points
According to Ethan Sands of Cleveland.com, Jarrett Allen participated in shootaround earlier today for the Cavaliers. It was the first time Allen has been publicly seen shooting or picking up a basketball since Game 4 of the team’s opening series against the Magic.
Even though Allen is reportedly likely to suit up this evening, it’s doubtful that he’s at full health ahead of tip off. Consequently, a minutes restriction or injury-related inefficiency are both possibilities tonight in Game 3 against the Celtics. This seems like a low market number for a player that averaged 16.5 points per game during the regular season, but it makes more sense when factoring in the aforementioned concerns.
- PICK: Allen UNDER 13.5 Points (-115), FanDuel
Al Horford Over/Under 7.5 Rebounds
Al Horford had 8 rebounds in Game 1 of this series against Cavaliers, but he followed up that performance with only 2 rebounds in Game 2. Heading into Game 3, the market is pricing Horford too high.
During the regular season, Horford averaged only 6.4 rebounds per game, including 6.3 rebounds per game on the road. Moreover, Horford has played more than 29 minutes only once in Boston’s first seven postseason games, which limits his overall opportunities on the glass.
The likely return of Jarrett Allen for Cleveland only makes life more difficult for Horford, who will be contending for rebounds with another big body on Saturday. The under makes sense here.
- PICK: Horford UNDER 7.5 Rebounds (-120), DraftKings
Donovan Mitchell Over/Under 5.5 Assists
Donovan Mitchell has posted games of 5 assists and 8 assists to begin this series against the Celtics, but those numbers are likely to regress sooner rather than later assuming his opportunities remain constant.
Despite averaging 6.5 assists across his last two games, Mitchell has averaged only 9.5 potential assists — meaning that he’s converted an unsustainably high number of potential assists to actual assists in that span. Even still, he managed fewer than 6 assists in Game 1.
During the opening round against Orlando, Mitchell averaged only 7.4 potential assists per game. His role as a facilitator has been marginal so far during these playoffs. The under is likely to be a worthwhile look in this spot.
- PICK: Mitchell UNDER 5.5 Assists (-142), DraftKings
Check out more DFS sites with Fantasy basketball pick’em like Betr Picks.
NBA Playoffs 2024 Results – Wager Type
Points: 20-22-1
Rebounds: 5-4
Assists: 11-4
Points + Rebounds: 0-1
Three-Pointers Made: 0-1
Combined Playoff Record: 36-32-1 (53.8%)
Image Credit: Getty Images