NBA Underdog Fantasy Player Predictions for Monday (1/27)
I’m here to give you a (free!) peek behind the curtain regarding some of the awesome things our NBA DFS projections team is cooking up by giving you my top picks for today’s NBA slate on Underdog Fantasy.
Every single pick you will find below is going to be based on what our projections say is a meaningful edge.
Please keep in mind that the NBA news cycle can get crazy, so what is listed below may become a better/worse play depending on how that news breaks. You can always stay up to date on exactly what a team’s rotation and depth chart will look like on a given day by heading to our NBA starting lineups page.
We have 12 games on the schedule as the NBA is set to tip off on 1/27. Below, I’ll detail how I’m approaching things on Underdog this Monday evening.
First… Sign Up to Make NBA Underdog Fantasy Picks
If you want to play along but haven’t signed up yet, grab a special offer with our Underdog promo “GRINDERS” to unlock up to $1000 Bonus Cash courtesy of a generous deposit match. Underdog Fantasy – one of the most popular DFS pick’em sites – provides player projections for NBA matchups each day. The ball is then in our court to decide whether a player will ultimately exceed or fall short of those projections in the games. With a huge roster of players available from which to choose, we just need to make a minimum of two picks to build an entry.
I’ll break down the board by looking at factors like usage rates, projected pace, lines in the sports betting market, and of course, our RotoGrinders projections to forecast how NBA players might fare in categories like points, rebounds, and assists. For even more insight when making your Underdog picks today, be sure to check out our fantasy pick’em tool.
Underdog Fantasy Top NBA Picks for 1/27
Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top NBA picks on Underdog for 1/27 at a glance:
- Rudy Gobert Higher/Lower Than 12.5 Points
- Kevin Porter Jr. Higher/Lower Than 11.5 Points + Rebounds
- Jalen Smith Higher/Lower Than 5.5 Rebounds
Hawks vs. Timberwolves NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Hawks vs. Timberwolves NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Rudy Gobert Lower Than 12.5 Points
Gobert scoring fewer than 12.5 points is a solid pick backed by our projection of 10.04 points and simulations showing a 5.31% edge with a 68.14% hit rate. Gobert’s season average is 10.2 points, and while his last 5 games show an increase to 12 points per game, his struggles against Atlanta earlier this season (2 points in 28 minutes on 12/23) reinforce the likelihood of him staying below 12.5. These factors, combined with his role as a defensive anchor rather than a primary scorer, make this a statistically sound choice.
Clippers vs. Suns NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Clippers vs. Suns NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Kevin Porter Jr. Lower Than 11.5 Points + Rebounds
Porter staying below 11.5 points and rebounds is a strong pick for several reasons. Our projections have him at 9.86 points + rebounds, which is well below the 11.5 threshold. Our simulations also show this pick has a 4.51% edge and a 62.31% hit rate, indicating a favorable probability.
Over his last 10 games, Porter has averaged just 10.3 points + rebounds, and he has stayed below 11.5 in 6 of those games. His limited minutes (averaging 19.9 per game this season) and inconsistent offensive production further support the likelihood of him staying below this mark tonight.
Nuggets vs. Bulls NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Nuggets vs. Bulls NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Jalen Smith Lower Than 5.5 Rebounds
Smith grabbing lower than 5.5 rebounds tonight is a strong pick supported by our projection of 4.73 rebounds and simulations showing a 4.16% edge with a 65.65% hit rate. Smith averages 5.4 rebounds in 15.2 minutes per game this season, so his limited role and playing time reduce his chances of surpassing 5.5 rebounds. These factors, combined with his usual short rotations, make this a statistically sound choice for tonight’s game.
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