NFL DFS Expert Survey: Week 13 Sunday Night Showdown Slate

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DraftKings

Who are your three favorite Captains, ranked in order?

STLCardinals84: Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, Michael Pittman
squirrelpatrol: Dak Prescott, Jonathan Taylor, Tony Pollard
gneiffer07: Dak Prescott, Ceedee Lamb, Jonathan Taylor
TJ Zwarych: Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, Jonathan Taylor

Consensus top Captains, based on the above:

1. Dak Prescott
2. CeeDee Lamb
3. Jonathan Taylor

Who is your favorite player to correlate with your favorite Captain?

STLCardinals84: CeeDee Lamb
squirrelpatrol: CeeDee Lamb
gneiffer07: Ceedee Lamb
TJ Zwarych: CeeDee Lamb

Who are your three highest exposure players in your FLEX position, ranked in order?

STLCardinals84: Jonathan Taylor, Dalton Schultz, Tony Pollard
squirrelpatrol: CeeDee Lamb, Dalton Schultz, Brett Maher
gneiffer07: Dalton Schultz, Tony Pollard, Michael Pittman
TJ Zwarych: CeeDee Lamb, Michael Gallup, Tony Pollard

Consensus highest exposure FLEX plays, based on the above:

1. Dalton Schultz
2. Tony Pollard
3. CeeDee Lamb

Who is your favorite contrarian Captain?

STLCardinals84: Tony Pollard
squirrelpatrol: Ezekiel Elliott
gneiffer07: Dalton Schultz
TJ Zwarych: Ezekiel Elliott

Who is your favorite contrarian option to use in the FLEX?

STLCardinals84: Jelani Woods
squirrelpatrol: Mo Allie-Cox
gneiffer07: Brett Maher
TJ Zwarych: Noah Brown

What player do you plan on being most overweight on compared to the field?

STLCardinals84: Michael Pittman
squirrelpatrol: Tony Pollard
gneiffer07: Dalton Schultz
TJ Zwarych: Michael Gallup

What player do you plan on being most underweight on compared to the field?

STLCardinals84: Ezekiel Elliott
squirrelpatrol: Michael Pittman
gneiffer07: Matt Ryan
TJ Zwarych: Matt Ryan

FanDuel

Who are your three favorite MVPs, ranked in order?

STLCardinals84: Dak Prescott, Jonathan Taylor, CeeDee Lamb
squirrelpatrol: Dak Prescott, Jonathan Taylor, Tony Pollard
gneiffer07: Dak Prescott, Jonathan Taylor, CeeDee Lamb
TJ Zwarych: Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, Jonathan Taylor

Consensus top MVPs, based on the above:

1. Dak Prescott
2. Jonathan Taylor
3. CeeDee Lamb

Who is your favorite player to correlate with your favorite MVP?

STLCardinals84: CeeDee Lamb
squirrelpatrol: CeeDee Lamb
gneiffer07: CeeDee Lamb
TJ Zwarych: CeeDee Lamb

Who are your three highest exposure players in your anyFLEX position, ranked in order?

STLCardinals84: Michael Pittman, Tony Pollard, Dalton Schultz
squirrelpatrol: CeeDee Lamb, Michael Gallup, Brett Maher
gneiffer07: Tony Pollard, Michael Pittman, Dalton Schultz
TJ Zwarych: CeeDee Lamb, Dalton Schultz, Michael Gallup

Consensus highest exposure anyFLEX plays, based on the above:

1. Dalton Schultz
2. CeeDee Lamb
3. Tony Pollard

Who is your favorite contrarian MVP?

STLCardinals84: Tony Pollard
squirrelpatrol: Ezekiel Elliott
gneiffer07: Dalton Schultz
TJ Zwarych: Ezekiel Elliott

Who is your favorite contrarian anyFLEX option?

STLCardinals84: Jelani Woods
squirrelpatrol: Chase McLaughlin
gneiffer07: Noah Brown
TJ Zwarych: Noah Brown

What player do you plan on being most overweight on compared to the field?

STLCardinals84: Michael Pittman
squirrelpatrol: Tony Pollard
gneiffer07: Dalton Schultz
TJ Zwarych: Dalton Schultz

What player do you plan on being most underweight on compared to the field?

STLCardinals84: Ezekiel Elliott
squirrelpatrol: Michael Pittman
gneiffer07: Matt Ryan
TJ Zwarych: Matt Ryan

What is your favorite game-script build and why?

STLCardinals84: The Cowboys should play with a reasonable lead at home in this one, so I don’t mind getting some exposure to the Dallas rushing attack. I’ll do that with Tony Pollard, who simply looks much more explosive than Ezekiel Elliott these days. In those builds, you can run it back with exposure to the IND passing attack.

squirrelpatrol: Two teams that rank in the top 5 of the NFL for fewest passing yards allowed, and two teams with star power at the RB position. We should see a lot of rushing yards in this one, but Dallas is the superior team playing at home, so I expect them to get the job done here.

gneiffer07: My Favorite game script is that the Cowboys completely blow out the Colts, with likely the only players for the Colts making value being one or two pass catchers.

TJ Zwarych: The Cowboys get ahead in this one, and I’ll be sure to play variations of Prescott MVP/CPT lineups with Dallas stacks, as well as mixing and matching Tony Pollard and Ezekiel Elliott.

Which players will you restrict from appearing together often due to possible negative correlation?

STLCardinals84: Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard – Even though I expect Dallas to run the ball quite a bit in this game, I still don’t see a path for both RBs to be optimal together.

squirrelpatrol: I won’t play any Matt Ryan in the CPT/MVP spot unless I’m pairing him with at least 2 WR/TEs from his team.

gneiffer07: The only real negative correlation that I will likely stay away from is Jonathan Taylor with the Colts passing game

TJ Zwarych: Matt Ryan and Jonathan Taylor – Their prices make them difficult to stack together, so I’ll play for scripts that either see Taylor have a dominant game as the sole Colts player in my lineup or a few Matt Ryan stacks.

What is your favorite way to differentiate from the field?

STLCardinals84: Roll some TE exposure. I always like Dalton Schultz as a value option, and I think you can mix and match exposure to the Colts TEs as well. Jelani Woods had nine targets last week and makes for an interesting risk/reward selection. Using two TEs in the same lineup is a very interesting contrarian strategy.

squirrelpatrol: I’ll load up on all of the RBs in this game and hope that other people shy away from playing Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard together or with Jonathan Taylor.

gneiffer07: Rolling with both Pollard and Zeke in the same lineup hoping they account for the majority of the Cowboys offense.

TJ Zwarych: In builds where I see this game staying close, I’ll use Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb and Tony Pollard in the MVP/CPT spots, with no worry about stacking Pollard and Prescott together. However, my favorite way to differentiate will be plays like Ezekiel Elliott in the CPT/MVP in a Dallas blowout build.

What is an example of one rule you can program into LineupHQ to capitalize on the above strategies?

STLCardinals84: Player Groups -> New Group -> Add Pollard and Elliott —> MAX of 1 in any lineup.

squirrelpatrol: Player Groups > New Group > Matt Ryan MVP/CPT as Use Conditional Player > 2-4 Indy Pass Catchers as Players In this Group

gneiffer07: Player Groups -> New Group -> Add Pollard and Elliott —> 1-2 in any lineup

TJ Zwarych: Player Groups —> New Group —>1-2 Players in Every Lineup —> Dak Prescott CPT/MVP, Dak Prescott, Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott CPT/MVP

What is your hottest take for this game?

STLCardinals84: Jelani Woods and Dalton Schultz are both on the winning GPP lineup.

squirrelpatrol: All 3 of the big-name RBs in this game go for 100 yards and a TD.

gneiffer07: The Cowboys RBs account for 4 total touchdowns.

TJ Zwarych: Ezekiel Elliott rushes for 3 TDs.

Predict the final score of the game.

STLCardinals84: DAL 28 – IND 17

squirrelpatrol: DAL 24 – IND 10

gneiffer07: DAL 28 – IND 10

TJ Zwarych: DAL 31 – IND 17

Image Credit: Imagn