NFL DFS First Look on DraftKings and FanDuel: Super Bowl LX

Maye of the Patriots

The NFL DFS First Look, complete with sortable odds, matchup previews, projected starters, pace of play, and much more, will help you get an early start on the upcoming DraftKings and FanDuel slates that are loaded into our NFL DFS optimizer, LineupHQ.

RG451200x675

NFL Odds & Schedule

Road Team R-Total Home Team H-Total Favorite Spread Total Date Time (ET) Slate
Seattle Seahawks 25.0 New England Patriots 20.5 SEA -4.5 45.5 Sunday 4:30 pm SD

NOTE: Used our new and improved SimLabs tool yet? Check out the video below by Dan Back, which will walk you through the premier tool in the industry. Get access to SimLabs and much more with an NFL Premium subscription!

Implied Team Totals & Matchup Chart

Offense Spread Total Matchup t EPA t PFF p EPA p PFF r EPA r PFF QB DvP RB DvP WR DvP TE DvP TIME (ET) SLATE
New England Patriots 4.5 20.5 vs SEA 1 5 5 7 1 3 9 4 4 22 4:30 pm SD
Seattle Seahawks -4.5 25.0 at NEP 11 13 10 8 16 18 11 5 13 20 4:30 pm SD

Note: T EPA = total defensive EPA. T PFF = total defense on PFF. P EPA = EPA against the pass. P PFF = PFF grade against the pass. R EPA = EPA against the run. R PFF = PFF grade against the run. DVP = defense vs. position. Blue and green cells mark favorable matchups for the offense in the first column.


Playbook

D-Line vs. O-Line – Pressure Rate & Sack Potential

Defense Spread DraftKings FanDuel Press PrROE PFF Matchup Opp Total O Press O PrROE O PFF Defense C Press Sack Pot Time (ET) Slate
Patriots 4.5 $4,000 $6,600 39.6% 7.0 19 vs SEA 25.0 31.6% 0.7 19 Patriots 35.6% 1 4:30 pm SD
Seahawks -4.5 $4,400 $7,000 38.3% 9.5 10 at NEP 20.5 43.9% 12.2 6 Seahawks 41.1% 1 4:30 pm SD

Note: PRESS = pressure rate on the opposing quarterback. PROE = pressure rate over expectation. PFF = PFF’s pass rush grades. The stats with O in front are for the opposing offensive line. C PRESS = the combined pressure rate of the defensive line and opposing offensive line. SACK POT = sack potential

RG_NewsletterPopUp_1000x400.v2

Offense vs. Defense – Rushing & Passing Potential

Offense Spread Total p PFF p EPA r PFF r EPA Matchup p PFF p EPA r PFF r EPA Offense P-POT R-POT Time (ET) Slate
Patriots 4.5 20.5 3 1 28 25 vs SEA 7 5 3 1 Patriots 1 2 4:30 pm SD
Seahawks -4.5 25.0 8 8 1 21 at NEP 8 10 18 16 Seahawks 2 1 4:30 pm SD

Note: P PFF = PFF grade against the pass, P EPA = EPA against the pass, P PFF = PFF grade against the run, R EPA = EPA against the run, P-POT = offensive passing potential, R-POT = offensive rushing potential.

Projected Starters — Quarterback

Note: All statistics are from the 2024 season and will be updated for this season after Week 1.
Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel PaY/G PaT/G RuY/G RuT/G Int/G CPOE aDOT FPPG Matchup p PFF P EPA DvP Time (ET) Slate
Drake Maye NEP 4.5 20.5 $11,000 $12,600 259 1.8 25 0.2 0.5 9.8 9.3 21.4 vs SEA 7 5 9 4:30 pm SD
Sam Darnold SEA -4.5 25.0 $10,800 $11,800 238 1.5 5 0.0 0.8 6.3 8.4 15.0 at NEP 8 10 11 4:30 pm SD

Note: PaY/G = passing yards per game, PaT/G = passing touchdowns per game, RuY/G = rushing yards per game, RuT/G = rushing touchdowns per game, Int/G = interceptions per game, CPOE = completion percentage over expectation, aDOT = average depth of target, FPPG = fantasy points per game, PFF = PFF’s grades against the pass, pEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Running Back

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Snap% Att/G RuY/G Tar/G ReY/G Opps/G Tar % Rte % FPPG xFPPG Diff Matchup PFF EPA DVP Time (ET) Slate
Rhamondre Stevenson NEP 4.5 20.5 $8,800 $10,400 59% 9.3 43.1 2.6 24.6 11.9 9% 49% 13.0 10.4 -2.6 vs SEA 3 1 4 4:30 pm SD
TreVeyon Henderson NEP 4.5 20.5 $3,800 $8,200 46% 10.6 53.6 2.4 13.0 13.0 8% 37% 12.2 10.3 -1.9 vs SEA 3 1 4 4:30 pm SD
Kenneth Walker SEA -4.5 25.0 $9,800 $11,200 46% 13.0 60.4 2.0 16.6 15.0 7% 32% 11.3 10.8 -0.5 at NEP 18 16 5 4:30 pm SD
George Holani SEA -4.5 25.0 $2,400 $4,400 6% 2.2 7.3 0.2 1.5 2.4 1% 2% 1.6 1.3 -0.3 at NEP 18 16 5 4:30 pm SD

Note: Snap% = percentage of snaps palyed, Att/G = rushing attempts per game, RuY/G = rushing yards per game, Tar/G = targets per game, ReY/G = receiving yards per game, Opps/G = opportunities per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, FPPG = fantasy points per game, xFPPG = expected fantasy points per game, rusEPA = opponent’s ERA against the run, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Wide Receiver

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Wide % Slot % Tar/G Rec/G Yar/G Tar % AY % Rte % aDOT 1READ FPPG xFPPG Diff Matchup EPA DVP TIME (ET) SLATE
Stefon Diggs NEP 4.5 20.5 $8,600 $9,600 46% 54% 5.9 5.0 59.6 20% 20% 65% 8.7 12% 12.4 10.5 -1.9 vs SEA 5 4 4:30 pm SD
Kayshon Boutte NEP 4.5 20.5 $5,600 $7,200 90% 10% 3.2 2.4 39.4 11% 23% 69% 17.5 13% 8.9 6.8 -2.2 vs SEA 5 4 4:30 pm SD
Mack Hollins NEP 4.5 20.5 $3,600 $6,400 73% 24% 4.3 3.1 36.7 14% 22% 59% 13.4 11% 7.6 7.8 0.2 vs SEA 5 4 4:30 pm SD
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA -4.5 25.0 $11,600 $13,000 76% 23% 9.2 7.0 105.5 33% 49% 92% 11.4 25% 21.2 17.7 -3.5 at NEP 10 13 4:30 pm SD
Cooper Kupp SEA -4.5 25.0 $5,200 $8,600 50% 49% 4.3 2.9 37.1 15% 16% 78% 8.1 4% 7.4 7.8 0.4 at NEP 10 13 4:30 pm SD
Rashid Shaheed SEA -4.5 25.0 $4,200 $5,800 66% 34% 4.9 3.3 38.2 16% 24% 72% 11.4 16% 8.1 9.0 0.9 at NEP 10 13 4:30 pm SD

Note: Wide% = how often a wideout lines up on the outside, Slot% = how often a wideout lines up in the slot, Tar/G = targets per game, Rec/G = receptions per game, Yar/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Air % = percentage of team air yards, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, aDOT = average depth of target, 1READ = 1st read %, FPPG = fantasy points per game, xFPPG = expected fantasy points per game, pasEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Tight End

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Tar/G Rec/G Yar/G Tar % Air % Rte % aDOT 1READ FPPG xFPPG Diff Matchup EPA DVP TIME (ET) SLATE
Hunter Henry NEP 4.5 20.5 $7,000 $7,600 4.9 3.5 45.2 17% 15% 72% 8.1 6% 10.5 10.1 -0.4 vs SEA 5 22 4:30 pm SD
AJ Barner SEA -4.5 25.0 $4,800 $5,200 3.8 3.1 30.5 13% 9% 66% 5.2 3% 8.7 7.3 -1.4 at NEP 10 20 4:30 pm SD

Note: Wide% = how often a wideout lines up on the outside, Slot% = how often a wideout lines up in the slot, Tar/G = targets per game, Rec/G = receptions per game, Yar/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Air % = percentage of team air yards, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, aDOT = average depth of target, 1READ = 1st read %, FPPG = fantasy points per game, xFPPG = expected fantasy points per game, pasEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Stats Credit: ProFootballFocus (PFF) and Fantasy Points Data (FPD)

Image Credit: Imagn

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious