NFL DFS Expert Survey: Week 13

by Robert Brown (Epignosis) Last Updated 2024-11-29 23:31:36 Premium Content Part of the product NFL DFS

Our panel of experts is here to give you their NFL DFS advice for this week’s main slate by answering a handful of questions to help you make crucial lineup-building decisions. Want to know Noto’s three favorite players for cash games? Or headChopper’s favorite correlation? Find out below!

NFL DFS Picks: DraftKings & FanDuel Expert Survey for Week 13

Rank your three favorite players for cash games, in order:

Editor’s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our PrizePicks promo code and Sleeper promo code, two of the best DFS sites available today.

What is your favorite correlation and why?

Notorious: Alvin Kamara + Puka Nacua – This is my favorite skinny stack of the week. I could see a large portion of each offense flowing through these two individuals. Kamara has averaged 16.6 carries and 6.5 receptions per game this season. He’s gone well over 100 yards from scrimmage in 3 of the last 4 games and has some positive touchdown regression coming his way. The Rams have not been great against the run. On the other side, Nacua gets to square off against a Marshon Lattimore-less Saints secondary that has been awful in recent weeks. He has seen a much higher target and air yards share than Cooper Kupp when they’ve both been on the field this season.

Stevietpfl: Alvin Kamara + Taysom Hill + Puka Nacua – This is my favorite game on the slate. It features two great offenses and two defenses that are beatable through the ground and air. Since returning in Week 8, Nacua has a 26.2% target share with 33.8% of the air yards. He’s been the first read on 33.1% of the team’s pass plays. I think he has a lot of upside against this secondary that continues to struggle. With Chris Olave out, the Saints offense should run through Kamara. He had 20 touches in Week 11 and should be fresh with them coming off a bye. Taysom rushed for 138 yards in that game, and I don’t expect that to happen again. That said, Hill had 8 catches on 10 targets against the Browns. I think playing Kamara and Hill together gives us the upside to get 50-75% of the skill players’ production this weekend.

Krayton: CJ Stroud + Nico Collins/Tank Dell – We have been targeting opposing offenses against the Jaguars defense all season long, as they have the worst pass defense in the NFL this season. We have already seen Stroud go for over 345 passing yards against the Jags earlier this season, and Collins had one of his biggest games, going for over 30 FD points. Dell was out when they faced the Jags earlier this year, but he continues to get lots of targets in the Texans offense, and he is at a nice price point on both sites. I like getting exposure to both Collins and Tank Dell and then bringing it back with Brian Thomas, who scored 21.9 DK points against Houston earlier this season.

ebeimfohr: Anthony Richardson + Adonai Mitchell – The Patriots have been my favorite defense to pick on in DFS for a bit because they are both one of the very worst defenses in the NFL and the market doesn’t quite treat them that way as much as they do a team like Carolina. That’s happening again this week, and we have a cheap running QB in Richardson with some stacking partners who should benefit from the number one WR (Josh Downs) being out. Mitchell is my favorite pairing with AR, as he’s cheap, low owned and should benefit tremendously from the loss of Downs. Michael Pittman missed a game a few weeks back, and Mitchell led the WR room in snaps, and while he won’t do that this week, he should soak up more of Downs’ slot work. Combine his upside with Richardson’s ability to score rushing TDs, and we have a super cheap, high-upside stack.

ncorfield8k: Jalen Hurts + A.J. Brown + Dallas Goedert – The quarterback averaging the 2nd-most fantasy points and the wide receiver averaging the 8th-most fantasy points face a defense that has allowed the 7th-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points to quarterbacks and the 3rd-most to wide receivers. Better yet, they face one of the few offenses that can keep up despite the Eagles’ stout defense. And the field isn’t projected to play much of this stack. Goedert can be added to the stack as a price-saving option, especially if DeVonta Smith ends up sitting.

Davis Mattek: Sam Darnold + Justin Jefferson – If you look at Jefferson’s peripherals, nothing has changed. Darnold is actually playing better than anyone could have reasonably hoped if they were a big Jefferson believer. We just have not seen a mega-explosion game from either of these players since the first month of the season. The Arizona defense has played much better in the last 6 weeks but was one of the worst units to start the season. If Minnesota gets pushed on offense, this could finally be the game of 35+ fantasy point for Jefferson at less than 10% ownership.

Who’s your favorite contrarian play (below 10% pOWN%) and why?

Want to read more? Sign up for Premium!