NFL Player Props for Giants vs. Patriots MNF (12/1)

Stevenson of the Patriots

What kind of performances can we expect on Monday from Rhamondre Stevenson and Isaiah Hodgins? Follow along as our NFL betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NFL prop bets for Giants vs. Patriots on December 1st. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NFL plays, by subscribing to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package.


Playbook

Week 13 will wrap up with a Monday Night Football showdown between the Giants and Patriots. Kickoff is set for 8:15 PM ET on ESPN from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough.

The big news for the Giants ahead of tonight’s action is the return of rookie QB Jaxson Dart, who has looked every bit like a franchise cornerstone when he’s been on the field in 2025. The hard part has simply been staying on the field – he’s missed each of the team’s last 2 games due to a concussion.

On the other side of this matchup, New England’s offense will have an unfamiliar challenge ahead of them, playing without starting LT Will Campbell and LG Jared Wilson. Through 12 weeks, the Patriots have had their optimal five starting offensive linemen available for all but 1 game.

The market doesn’t think the offensive line issues will be too big of a deal for the Patriots, however. The NFL odds for Monday Night Football has New England as 7.5-point favorites as of this writing, with the total set at over/under 46.5 points.

Below, you can find three of my favorite player props for Giants vs. Patriots!

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Best NFL Player Props for Giants vs. Patriots

Here are my top player prop bets, with kickoff scheduled for 8:15 PM ET on Monday, December 1st:

Rhamondre Stevenson OVER 0.5 Touchdowns (+220, FanDuel)

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We have seen time and time again this season that the Patriots prefer players other than TreVeyon Henderson in short-yardage and goal-line situations. Since Antonio Gibson suffered a season-ending injury in Week 5, there have been 4 games in which Henderson, Stevenson, and Terrell Jennings have all been active – Stevenson has received 6 of the 8 goal-line attempts that have gone to the running back position in those games.

Entering play, the Giants run defense ranks 32nd in EPA/play and 32nd in success rate. If New England is going to score on the ground, there is a decent chance that Stevenson is the one carrying the ball into the end zone.

Isaiah Hodgins OVER 0.5 Touchdowns (+525, BetMGM)

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The Giants will have a different quarterback under center this week than they did against the Lions in Week 12, but it was nonetheless encouraging to see Hodgins receive 2 end-zone targets last weekend. In 2 games since joining the Giants, Hodgins has played 57 snaps and 54 snaps – a strong indicator that he should be on the field quite a bit again on Monday against the Patriots.

New England’s pass defense ranks 9th in EPA/play this fall but only 21st in success rate. Hodgins’ relatively low aDOT and ability to play in the slot could create some favorable situations for him at times this evening. This is a good price if looking for a longer-shot touchdown wager to close out Week 13.

Isaiah Hodgins OVER 20.5 Receiving Yards (-110, bet365)

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To reiterate, the New York passing attack could look far different with Jaxson Dart back under center after consecutive weeks of Jameis Winston throwing the football, but it’s difficult to overlook the usage for Hodgins in the team’s last 2 games.

Since Week 11, Hodgins is 2nd on the team in targets (12), receptions (7), and first downs (6). He’s tied for the team lead in end-zone targets in that span too. No Giants wide receiver has a higher DVOA or EPA/target in that span.

After playing 57 snaps in Week 11 and 54 in Week 12, it’s difficult to imagine Hodgins’ role suddenly vanishing in Week 13, even with a change at quarterback and Darius Slayton available.

Image Credit: Imagn

About the Author

nickgalaida
Nick Galaida (nickgalaida)

A failed high school pitcher, Nick Galaida discovered that he has a higher aptitude for analyzing and writing about sports than he does playing them. To his friends, he is better known as “The Commish.” When he’s not organizing a fantasy league, placing a bet, or writing an article, he’s probably nose-deep in a book—further illustrating the point that his niche in this world is as a nerd rather than an athlete. Follow Nick on Twitter – @CommishFilmRoom