NFL PrizePicks Week 16 Predictions: Mostert, Henry, & Njoku Top Plays
In this space, we’ll look at exciting offers on the PrizePicks board for Week 16 of the NFL season and try to make some predictions based on projections, trends, and the market.
PrizePicks, a DFS Pick’em site, lays out player projections for us to stack on a ticket for user-created entries. They prompt us with a statistical projection for a player, and we get to pick whether or not the player will get More or Less than the line offered. There are hundreds of players from whom to choose, and we only have to make at least two picks to create a contest. If you haven’t tried it yet, use the PrizePicks referral code “GRINDERS” to get a deposit match up to $100.
For NFL Week 16, we’ll look at the board and see what usage, game flow, Vegas, and — of course — our projections can tell us about how players are likely to produce. We’ll look at passing, rushing, and receiving categories most weeks.
PrizePicks Top Plays for NFL Week 16
- Raheem Mostert MORE than 57.5 rushing yards
- Derrick Henry MORE than 65.5 rushing yards
- David Njoku MORE than 49.5 receiving yards
Miami Dolphins vs. Dallas Cowboys
Raheem Mostert MORE/LESS Than 57.5 Rush Yards
57.5 rushing yards is way too low for a home favorite in a game with a 50.5 total. Sure, the Cowboys are a strong defense, but they’re giving up a middle-of-the-road 117.4 rush yards per game.
Raheem Mostert has had 15, 21, 11, 20, and 22 rushes over the last five games, breaking 85 rushing yards in three of those games. We currently have him projected for a whopping 86.1 rushing yards. If you really wanna get frisky, his demon booster projection is only 79.5 rushing yards.
PLAY: Mostert MORE than 57.5 rush yards
Tennessee Titans vs. Seattle Seahawks
Derrick Henry MORE/LESS Than 65.5 Rushing Yards
Derrick Henry hasn’t produced for yardage in four of the last six games, but the Titans don’t have a QB. He has 16, 17, 21, and 18 rushes over the last four and comes with an RG projection of 80.5 rushing yards, which is way above the PrizePicks projection of 65.5.
The Seahawks aren’t a terrible defense, but they’ve allowed the eighth-most yards per game (127.3), only one yard back of the Bengals, who’ve allowed the fifth-most. Henry is just gonna get such a large chunk of the usage on the ground that this matchup might matter.
PLAY: Henry MORE than 65.5 rushing yards
Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans
David Njoku MORE/LESS Than 49.5 Receiving Yards
Since Joe Flacco has taken over at QB, the Browns have been The David Njoku Show over the last two games. Njoku has had 28 targets with Flacco at the helm, and why the hell can’t he have another eight or so in Week 16?
Njoku’s 49.5 PrizePicks projection is a bit ignorant of this Flacco dynamic. And we should pounce on it, as RG has a 62.9 receiving yards projection for him.