NFL PrizePicks Predictions Week 6: Prescott, Cousins, Henry Make Top Plays
In this space, we’ll look at exciting offers on the PrizePicks board for Week 6 of the NFL season and try to make some predictions based on projections, trends, and the market.
PrizePicks, one of the best DFS sites for NFL pick’em, lays out player projections for us, which we stack to create entries that pay real money. They prompt us with a statistical projection for a player, and we get to pick whether or not the player will get More or Less than the line offered. There are hundreds of players from whom to choose, and we only have to make at least two picks to create an entry. Use the PrizePicks promo code “GRINDERS” to get $50 on a $5 entry if you haven’t signed up already!
For Week 6, we’ll look at the board and see what usage, game flow, oddsmakers, and — of course — our projections can tell us about how players are likely to produce. We’ll look at passing, rushing, and receiving categories most weeks. For the best ways to attack standard projections as the base for our tickets, use our fantasy pick’em tool to get more PrizePicks picks today. We’ll also look at DEMON projections to boost our payouts.
Week 6 of the 2024 NFL season is gonna be a tough one. We have some great looking games, but none are flying under the radar, so we’re forced to look to 300 passing yards, 90 rushing yards, or more than 100 receiving yards in tons of spots. But there are 3 spots we can zero in on for a payout boost that are a bit soft.
PrizePicks Top Plays for NFL Week 6
- Dak Prescott MORE/LESS 299.5 Pass Yards (DEMON)
- Kirk Cousins MORE/LESS 274.5 Pass Yards (DEMON)
- Derrick Henry MORE/LESS 19.5 Receiving Yards (DEMON)
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Lions vs. Cowboys PrizePicks Predictions
Dak Prescott MORE/LESS 299.5 Pass Yards (DEMON)
This game should light the lamp. The Cowboys can’t be trusted to run the ball very well, so we should heavily expect them to get down the field through the air; something which the Lions aren’t particularly great at stopping. In both of the Cowboys’ losses, Dak Prescott has thrown the ball 51 and 39 times, totaling 379 and 293 passing yards in those games. He’s averaging 284.8 per game on the season. In a back-and-forth affair where Mike McCarthy won’t have the luxury of deflating the ball, we should expect heavy volume for Prescott on Sunday. RotoGrinders has him projected for 286.93 passing yards in Week 6 — the most on the slate — so if anyone has the best shot at hitting more than 300, it’s him.
- PLAY: Prescott MORE Than 299.5 Pass Yards (DEMON)
Falcons vs. Panthers PrizePicks Predictions
Kirk Cousins MORE/LESS 274.5 Pass Yards (DEMON)
The only thing that can keep Kirk Cousins away from more than 275 passing yards is the strong possibility that the Falcons blow out the Panthers and run like hell in the second half. If this game were in Atlanta, I’d be apprehensive, but I have more hope that the Panthers will keep this close enough for the Falcons to keep throwing with the Panthers being at home. Andy Dalton isn’t great, but he isn’t the automatic 3-and-out that Bryce Young is, and Carolina does have the weapons to stay within reach via Diontae Johnson and Chuba Hubbard.
Moreover, no matter whom the Falcons play, they’ve been unable to blow anyone out. They have a 3-2 record, but their wins were by 1, 2, and 6 points. The 6-point win was in Week 5 in overtime. As a result, Cousins is throwing more and more every week. He had 26 attempts in Week 1, 29 in Weeks 2 and 3, 35 in Week 4, and a whopping 58 in Week 5. His team trusts the ball in his hands, and the results reward them for doing so. We should expect more than enough volume for Cousins to get to 275 passing yards in Week 6. RotoGrinders has Cousins projected for 264.73 passing yards, which is the most on the slate after Prescott. This is a bit conservative and probably factoring in the possibility of a blowout. We’re playing this as yet another game where the Falcons defense fails to create breathing room for the offense.
- PLAY: Cousins MORE Than 274.5 Pass Yards (DEMON)
Commanders vs. Ravens PrizePicks Predictions
Derrick Henry MORE/LESS 19.5 Receiving Yards (DEMON)
This is a higher variance DEMON play than Prescott and Cousins, but one that can smash in a single play. The Ravens love to design plays where passes are near the line of scrimmage for the receivers. It’s no secret that the Commanders suck super hard downfield, leaving Derrick Henry as a decent volume-option for some short stuff to bail out Lamar Jackson. Usually, we hate backs to get receptions from running QBs because running QBs often elect to run, while pocket passers conventionally check it down to the RB. But this game is different.
The Ravens are 7-point favorites at home. They shouldn’t be forced to have Jackson to make plays with his feet. It’s the competitive games where we should worry about Henry’s volume, as those are the games where Jackson will put his body at the most risk. We should expect Jackson to play it safe in a blowout and check it down a couple of times to Henry. RotoGrinders has Henry projected for 16.4 receiving yards, which is saying something for a guy averaging just 9.8 receiving yards per game. The projections tell us that this will be a ceiling game for Henry in the passing game. We should trust that and go the extra mile a bit.
- PLAY: Henry MORE Than 19.5 Receiving Yards (DEMON)
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