NFL Underdog Fantasy Player Predictions for Super Bowl 59

Hunt of the Chiefs

I’m here to share a few of my (free!) top picks for Super Bowl 59 NFL slate on Underdog. These predictions are heavily based on our NFL projections, so I hope you take advantage of this little peek behind the curtain. Let’s find some winners!

The NFL season comes to a conclusion this Sunday. In the following sections, I’ll outline my strategy for tackling Super Bowl 59 on Underdog.

First… Sign Up to Make NFL Underdog Fantasy Picks

If you want to play along but haven’t signed up yet, grab a special offer with our Underdog Fantasy promo code “GRINDERS” to unlock up to $1,000 Bonus Cash courtesy of a generous deposit match. Underdog Fantasy – one of the most popular DFS pick’em sites – provides player projections for NFL matchups each day. The ball is then in our court to decide whether a player will ultimately exceed or fall short of those projections in the games. With a huge roster of players available from which to choose, we just need to make a minimum of two picks to build an entry.

I’ll break down the board by looking at factors like usage, projected game flow, lines in the sports betting market, and of course, our RotoGrinders projections to forecast how NFL players might fare in categories like passing yards, rushing yards, and receiving yards. For even more insight when making your Underdog picks today, be sure to check out our fantasy pick’em tool.

Underdog Fantasy Top NFL Picks for Super Bowl 59

Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top NFL picks on Underdog at a glance for Super Bowl 59:

Chiefs vs. Eagles NFL PrizePicks Predictions

Here are the Chiefs vs. Eagles NFL PrizePicks predictions:

Saquon Barkley Lower Than 115.5 Rushing Yards

Our projections place him at 101.36 rushing yards, which falls significantly below the threshold. While our data indicates only a marginal 2.6% edge, this play still succeeds 60.4% of the time in our simulations, suggesting positive long-term value.

It’s worth noting that the Chiefs defense has been solid against running backs this season. No player has managed to surpass 100 rushing yards against them since 2023. Under Steve Spagnuolo’s leadership, running backs have failed to reach triple-digit yardage for 18 consecutive games.

Although this fade may feel counterintuitive, I’m inclined to trust our projections in this case.

Isiah Pacheco Lower Than 6.5 Rushing Attempts

We project him at 5.31 rushing attempts, which is slightly below the mark. Our simulations also show this pick has a 5.4% edge and a 68.2% hit rate, making it statistically favorable.

Additionally, the Chiefs offense is known for relying heavily on Patrick Mahomes and their passing game, especially in high-stakes matchups like the Super Bowl. This limits Pacheco’s opportunities to reach higher rushing attempts, especially when he’s in a running back commitee.

Kareem Hunt Lower Than 11.5 Rushing Attempts

According to our projections, his expected rushing attempts stand at 9.64, a few carries below the set projection on Underdog. Our simulations indicate a slight edge of 1.7% for this pick, with a promising 63.9% success rate.

It’s noteworthy that Hunt has exceeded 11.5 carries only twice in his previous seven outings. Given the nature of this matchup, it seems unlikely that the Chiefs will heavily rely on their ground game.

Editor’s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our PrizePicks promo code and Sleeper promo code.

Image Credit: Getty Images

About the Author

Jbails26
Justin Bailey (Jbails26)

Justin Bailey (aka jbails26) is the Lead Editor for RotoGrinders and FantasyLabs. He’s been playing DFS since 2013 and specializes in small-field NFL and PGA contests (but still dabbles in MME). Justin qualified for the DraftKings Fantasy Golf World Championship in 2023. Follow Justin on Twitter – @justinbailey32