Nuggets vs. Heat NBA Finals Odds: Game 4 Prediction & Pick
Nuggets vs. Heat NBA Finals Odds
| Nuggets Odds | -3.5 |
| Cavaliers Odds | +3.5 |
| Over/Under | 211 |
| Date | Fri, Jun. 9 |
| Time | 8:30 p.m. |
| TV | ABC |
Tonight, the Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat will play Game 4 of the NBA Finals, with Denver seeking a commanding 3-1 series lead. Miami will be hoping to even things at two games apiece before heading back to the altitude for Game 5. Tip-off this evening is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. EST on ABC.
Following a winning effort in Game 3, the market is once again putting its faith in Denver, pricing them as 3.5-point favorites on the spread. The total is set at over/under 211 points at Fanatics Sportsbook.
Below, we break down the matchup for both teams and offer a free pick for the betting community!
Don’t live in a state with legal sports betting? Use our Underdog & Sleeper promo code GRINDERS for a combined $200 in sign-up bonuses on NBA DFS Pick’em today.
Denver Nuggets
Defense leading the charge for Denver
During the regular season, the Denver Nuggets struggled to a 19-22 record on the road, but nobody would have known that judging by how they played in Game 3. The Nuggets held the Heat to 37.0% shooting from the floor and 31.4% from beyond the arc – resulting in a 109-94 victory. Through three games in this series, Denver is allowing only 110.0 points per 100 possessions, giving their potent offense every opportunity to get the job done.
Jokic carrying the load
In three games to begin this series, Nikola Jokic is averaging 33.3 points, 14.0 rebounds, and 9.3 assists on 59.0% shooting from the floor. On Wednesday evening, Jokic was one of only two players on the Nuggets to score more than 15 points. Jokic had more than twice as many rebounds as any other member of the roster and finished tied for the team lead in assists. There is little doubt at this point who will be named Finals MVP if Denver is able to secure two more wins in this series. The larger question is whether or not this top-heavy production from the roster is sustainable as this series progresses.
Miami Heat
Struggles on the glass
Entering Game 4, the Miami Heat are yet to win the rebounding battle in any individual game during this series. In Game 1, Miami was out-rebounded 45-43. In Game 2, they were out-rebounded 38-31, despite winning the game. In Game 3, Denver had a 58-33 advantage on the boards. Simply, it is very difficult to win games when consistently allowing opponents to have second-chance opportunities, especially when the opponent shoots over 50% from the field for the game. The Heat are operating with razor-thin margins in this matchup.
Offense struggling
In the series opener, the Heat shot only 40.6% from the field and attempted two free throws. In Game 2, Miami shot 48.2% from the floor, but they were an unsustainable 48.6% from deep and still only won by three points. On Wednesday night in Game 3, the Heat shot 37.0% from the field and experienced major regression from the perimeter. The continued inefficiency of Jimmy Butler as the team’s leading scorer only adds insult to injury. Do not expect any major improvements from this group in Game 4.
NBA Finals Game 4 Prediction: Under 211
In Game 3, we targeted the under and cashed easily. Tonight, we are running things back one more time. Denver continues to be overly reliant on Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray on the offensive end of the floor, meaning that the Nuggets could struggle mightily to score points if either of those guys has a poor performance. Miami lacks consistent perimeter shooting and Jimmy Butler looks like a shell of what we saw from him in the opening round against the Milwaukee Bucks. Expect points to be hard to come by once again in Game 4.
Check out more DFS sites with Fantasy basketball pick’em like Boom Fantasy.