Primetime Parlay: Rams vs. Lions Same Game Parlay Picks
The Detroit Lions will host their first home playoff game in 30 years on Sunday night when they welcome the Los Angeles Rams. Of course, this is not the only narrative for what could be the most explosive game of the NFL Wild Card round.
Matthew Stafford will return to Detroit to play against the man traded away to bring Stafford to Los Angeles. The narrative and fabric are rich, and the high-octane offenses could make this game a track meet.
As if we do not have enough to be excited about, let’s build a same-game parlay on FanDuel Sportsbook to sweat along with what should be a wildly entertaining game.
Rams vs. Lions Same Game Parlay Preview
Per ScoresAndOdds the betting spread for the NFC showdown has bounced back and forth between three and three-and-a-half points. At the time of this writing, the Lions are three-point home favorites with a -115 price tag on FanDuel Sportsbook. Both offenses find themselves in the elite category by the end of the regular season and come in relatively healthy. FanDuel posts a 52.5 implied game total.
70% of the betting action — both money and tickets — lies on the Rams’ side of the ledger for tonight’s contest. As for the game total, we find a tale as old as time. The public is betting the over at a high clip, with 83% of bets on the over. Meanwhile, 59% of the total dollars bet on the over-under side with the under. This normally screams for a bet on the under. I am conflicted.
About injuries, the Lions will not have the services of Kalif Raymond on Sunday night, and Sam LaPorta seems likely to play after getting hurt in Week 18. LaPorta was able to practice toward the end of the week and would be a nice boost for an already explosive offense. The Rams only worry about a questionable tag for Tyler Higbee. Higbee has a shoulder injury but was rested in Week 18. Matt Stafford, Cooper Kupp, Aaron Donald, and Kyren Williams also sat in Week 18 in a meaningless contest. Puka Nacua only played long enough to secure rookie receiving records and was promptly removed from the game. All of these players should be in good health, coming in with only a question of rust and rhythm.
Here are the closing statistics for both teams on offense:
Los Angeles Offense
8th — 23.8 PPG
7th — 5.6 YPP
9th — 7.4 Passing YPA
12th — 4.3 Rushing YPA
Detroit Offense
4th — 27.1 PPG
3rd — 5.9 YPP
5th — 7.6 Passing YPA
5th — 4.6 Rushing YPA
Detroit featured one of the most extreme splits between home and road scoring. Jared Goff has been long known for his ability to cook at home and often struggles on the road. Tonight, the Rams will see an offense that averaged more than 30 PPG in their building.
Defensively, both teams are pretty close. They are both below the league average concerning scoring defense. The difference is the Rams are closer to the middle of the pack in defensive categories on a per-attempt basis. On the other hand, the Lions are elite at stuffing the run, allowing fewer than 4 yards per rushing attempt this season. However, Detroit finished ranked 30th in yards per pass attempt on defense. Over the last three weeks, the Lions gave up over 9 yards per pass attempt. While Sean McVay operates a balanced offense predicated on a dynamic rushing attack, I suspect his quarterback is going to sling the ball around his old yard often on Sunday night.
This game has all of the makings of a shootout. The Lions can score in bunches and allow huge plays on defense. The Rams can move the ball with their equally capable plethora of offensive weapons. This should be a good one, everybody. Let’s add a little spice with a SGP.
Same Game Parlay Picks for Rams at Lions
- Over 52.5 Points
- Stafford Over 275.5 Passing Yards
- Kupp Over 70.5 Receiving Yards
- St. Brown Over 87.5 Receiving Yards
Over 52.5 Points
I feel like I might kick myself for this one, but I am just going to get lost in the possibilities like the public for this game. With such a high total, it would not be shocking to see things tighten up and both teams play a bit more conservatively. With that said, we have two head coaches in tonight’s game who don’t abide by any 50-year NFL handbook. The pedal is down on the accelerator all game, and I don’t think either defense can slow the opposing offense down.
We start with the over and build from there.
Matthew Stafford Over 275.5 Passing Yards
While I do think Sean McVay does give the running game a crack in tonight’s game, I believe at some point the Rams will need to air it out. After great success airing it out, I think the Rams will want to air it out some more.
The narratives do not matter much to me in this game, but it sure is nice when they work in the favor of a bet you like anyway. I think both teams will need to move the ball, and we can see the high-water mark for yardage in a playoff game tonight. Most of those yards will be gained in the air.
Cooper Kupp Over 70.5 Receiving Yards
See above.
Just kidding. But seriously, Cooper Kupp was rested and has looked more like himself in recent weeks. While Puka Nacua has emerged and given the Rams the luxury of weapons, there is enough food on the table for both receivers to eat. We live in a world where both star wide receivers can go over, but I am going to stick with the reliable veteran.
Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 87.5 Receiving Yards
Finally, the Lions running attack is very dynamic, with two backs that can rip off huge runs. Earlier in the season, we saw six weeks where Jahmyr Gibbs hit his longest rush prop in all but one game. With that said, if the Lions cannot bottle up the Rams’ passing attack, Jared Goff will be throwing the ball as well.
With Sam LaPorta a bit injured, that could only mean more work for the already overworked Amon-Ra St. Brown. St. Brown was the fifth-most targeted player in the league this year despite a missed game. This is a very lofty line, but ten catches is well in the range of outcomes.
Rams vs. Lions Parlay Odds
- Over 52.5 Points
- Matthew Stafford Over 275.5 Passing Yards
- Cooper Kupp Over 70.5 Receiving Yards
- Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 87.5 Receiving Yards
FanDuel Sportsbook offers the following odds:
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Parlay Odds: +520
Risk: 1/2 unit to win 2.60 units
Good luck with all of your wagers for this game. Share your parlays with me on X.
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