Super Bowl Props: Best Brock Purdy Player Prop Bets Against Chiefs
Looking for Super Bowl props? We’ve got you covered. Follow along as our NFL betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite Brock Purdy player props against the Chiefs. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more prop bets for the Super Bowl, with our Props & Pick’em Package for the big game!
Selected with the final pick in the 2022 NFL Draft out of Iowa State, Brock Purdy will become the first ‘Mr. Irrelevant’ in league history to start at quarterback in the Super Bowl when he takes the field on Sunday. In his first two seasons as a starter, he has thrown 44 touchdowns against 15 interceptions. He enters play this weekend 4-0 in the postseason in games that he has not exited early due to injury.
Ahead of kickoff in this Super Bowl matchup, the 49ers are favored by 2.5 points on the spread. The over/under is set at 47.5 points.
If looking to wager on the player prop market instead of a side or total, we have three prop leans for the matchup between the Chiefs and 49ers!
Don’t live in a state with legal sports betting this Super Bowl? Use the Dabble code GRINDERS for a $10 sign-up bonus for DFS Pick’em.
Super Bowl Props: Best Brock Purdy Prop Bets
- Brock Purdy UNDER 20.5 Completions
- Brock Purdy OVER 248.5 Passing Yards
- Brock Purdy UNDER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Brock Purdy UNDER 20.5 Pass Completions (+100), BetMGM
Including the postseason, Brock Purdy has 21+ completions in only 7 of 18 games this year for the 49ers. In the Super Bowl, he will face one of his toughest tests to date, against a Kansas City secondary unit that finished the regular season ranked 5th in pass defense DVOA. Despite an extremely pass-heavy game plan in the AFC Championship Game, Lamar Jackson managed only 20 completions against the Chiefs. San Francisco figures to lean on their excellent running game far more often, especially considering the fact that Kansas City is relatively weak on the ground. Purdy might connect for a few deep passes downfield in this game, but it is unlikely that we see him asked to do too much in this spot. The under has value here at even money.
Brock Purdy OVER 248.5 Passing Yards (-110), bet365
Kansas City has one of the most talented secondary units in the entire NFL, but the market has appropriately adjusted the line here for Brock Purdy. Purdy has thrown for at least 250 passing yards in 12 of his last 16 games overall, with only two games of fewer than 230 passing yards during that stretch – indicating that he is consistently competitive in this range when he takes the field. If the 49ers end up facing another negative game script in the Super Bowl, it is almost a certainty that Purdy will eclipse this market number, as he has in each of his first two playoff games during this run. If playing the under on his completions pre-game, it might make more sense to try to grab a deflated live line on his passing yards here. Playing in his first Super Bowl and supported by an elite running back, it would not be surprising to see San Francisco come out of the gate a little bit conservative. Either way, there is likely value at this number.
Brock Purdy UNDER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+105), Caesars
Even though the 49ers have scored 24 points and 34 points, respectively, in their first two playoff games this year, Brock Purdy still didn’t throw for multiple touchdowns in either of those contests. His path to multiple touchdown passes in the Super Bowl is likely to be even more challenging, considering that the Chiefs have not allowed multiple passing touchdowns by a single quarterback since December 3, when Jordan Love beat them at Lambeau Field on a night in which a few key members of their secondary unit were hobbled. Since that point, Josh Allen (twice), Bailey Zappe, Aidan O’Connell, Jake Browning, Easton Stick, Tua Tagovailoa, and Lamar Jackson have each been held to 1 passing touchdown or fewer by the Chiefs. At plus money, this is worth at least a small stab.
Image Credit: Getty Images