Best Splash Picks Today

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How Our Splash Picks Work

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Our free Splash picks today are designed to help you quickly find an edge on the Splash app and website. They should be viewed as a cheat sheet, saving you time while increasing your chances of winning by highlighting the biggest edges and stats across sports based on today’s Splash projections.

With this cheat sheet, you can find MORE or LESS projections for every player on the Splash menu, alongside a calculated win percentage and graded “edge,” all for free. If you don’t already have a Splash account, check out our Splash Sports promo code. Find out more below.

What factors do your Splash picks consider?

We combine a picks model, simulations, and current market data to help assess expected value. The underlying model is unique to each sport, but the goal is the same: determine the most likely outcome (More or Less) to win and the expected win percentage.

On a deeper level, we have a full team designated to determine our model inputs and monitor our projections, including relevant news such as weather and injuries. This is what makes our Splash picks unique compared to other products. Our picks aren’t simply the results of an unmonitored, automated system. We consider the full context of a player’s matchup — their opponents, weather, conditions, injuries, and other relevant news that may impact their usage and success in their upcoming game or event.

How much can I trust your Splash picks?

You should take our recommended picks as the starting point of your own research. We can’t promise they will win — playing on Splash should always, and only, be viewed as a form of entertainment — but you can make informed decisions by referencing our projections, knowing that they are the product of a finely-tuned model combined with analysis from our team of experts.

How often are the Splash picks updated?

This page is updated at least once every 10 minutes, as soon as sports are activated for the day on Splash. This typically occurs no later than 10:00 AM ET, and updates continue until 11:00 PM ET.

What sports do your Splash picks cover?

We have free Splash picks for NFL and NBA. More sports will be added as Splash adds more coverage.

How do I access your Splash picks?

Our Splash picks are available for free on this page—just scroll! For more expert picks from other DFS sites like PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy, sign up for our Props & Pick’em package.

Splash Picks Tool Glossary & Terms

TYPE The statistic or category being offered by Splash. These may be more traditional stats, like yards, touchdowns, and more. Or they could be more complex categories, like “1st round leaderboard position,” “runs allowed in first 5 innings,” and many others.

PROJ Short for projection. The projection is the number currently set on Splash as the mark for “Less/More” (or Higher/Lower). This is the number you must cross (or fail to cross) in order for your pick to be graded as a win

PICK This is the side of the projection we think is more likely to win, based on the calculations of our Splash picks model.

WINPCT This stands for win percentage. This is the expected rate that our Splash picks model thinks the selected side (MORE or LESS) will win.

EDGE This is the conservative percentage above the “break-even” line we expect for this pick. Every pick has an implied break-even point based on the payouts from Splash. These are shaded on a green-to-red scale (the greener a pick, the better). We estimate the break-even points and attempt to show you which selections are most likely to be profitable. Note: we use strict payout odds (e.g., 2-Pick). Oftentimes, the Fantasy Pick’em sites will imply a less strict break-even point when the overall win percentage of the lineup card is lower (e.g., 3-Pick, 5-Pick). Lastly, it is important to note that more picks could be profitable than the EDGE% implies based on the sites’ variable payout structures but the general ranking of which selections the tool thinks is best will typically remain the same.

GRADE A star rating system designed to compare today’s picks to the best quality of picks that could exist on any day, with 5 stars being best.

NAME EDGE GRADE WINPCT PICK PROJ TYPE SPORT TEAM
OG Anunoby 16.1% ★★★★★ 70.4% More 6.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA NYK
Karl-Anthony Towns 10.6% ★★★★☆ 64.9% More 10.5 Rebounds NBA NYK
Jordan Clarkson 8.7% ★★★½☆ 63.0% Less 2.5 Points NBA NYK
Karl-Anthony Towns 8.6% ★★★½☆ 63.0% More 14.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA NYK
Mitchell Robinson 5.9% ★★★☆☆ 60.3% More 7.5 Points & Rebounds NBA NYK
Devin Vassell 5.3% ★★½☆☆ 59.6% More 7.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA SAS
Josh Hart 5.2% ★★½☆☆ 59.5% More 18.5 Points & Rebounds NBA NYK
Devin Vassell 5.0% ★★½☆☆ 59.3% Less 13.5 Points NBA SAS
Shea Theodore 4.9% ★★½☆☆ 59.3% Less 0.5 Points NHL VGK
Jordan Clarkson 4.9% ★★½☆☆ 59.2% Less 3.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA NYK
Josh Hart 4.7% ★★½☆☆ 59.0% More 23.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA NYK
Josh Hart 4.4% ★★½☆☆ 58.7% More 8.5 Rebounds NBA NYK
Devin Vassell 3.9% ★★½☆☆ 58.2% Less 16.5 Points & Assists NBA SAS
Tomas Hertl 3.7% ★★½☆☆ 58.0% Less 0.5 Points NHL VGK
OG Anunoby 3.3% ★★☆☆☆ 57.7% More 22.5 Points & Rebounds NBA NYK
Karl-Anthony Towns 3.3% ★★☆☆☆ 57.6% More 30.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA NYK
De'Aaron Fox 3.0% ★★☆☆☆ 57.3% More 18.5 Points & Rebounds NBA SAS
Sebastian Aho 2.5% ★★☆☆☆ 56.8% More 0.5 Points NHL CAR
Mitchell Robinson 2.4% ★★☆☆☆ 56.7% More 8.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA NYK
Julian Champagnie 2.3% ★★☆☆☆ 56.6% More 15.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA SAS
Julian Champagnie 2.2% ★★☆☆☆ 56.6% More 4.5 Rebounds NBA SAS
OG Anunoby 2.0% ★★☆☆☆ 56.3% More 24.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA NYK
Mitchell Robinson 1.9% ★★☆☆☆ 56.3% More 4.5 Rebounds NBA NYK
De'Aaron Fox 1.4% ★★☆☆☆ 55.7% More 3.5 Rebounds NBA SAS
Victor Wembanyama 1.0% ★½☆☆☆ 55.4% More 11.5 Rebounds NBA SAS
Taylor Hall 0.8% ★½☆☆☆ 55.1% Less 0.5 Points NHL CAR
Nikolaj Ehlers 0.6% ★½☆☆☆ 54.9% More 0.5 Points NHL CAR
Jose Alvarado 0.5% ★½☆☆☆ 54.8% Less 3.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA NYK
Jack Eichel 0.3% ★½☆☆☆ 54.7% More 2.5 Shots NHL VGK
Brett Howden 0.3% ★½☆☆☆ 54.6% Less 0.5 Points NHL VGK
Julian Champagnie 0.3% ★½☆☆☆ 54.6% More 10.5 Points & Assists NBA SAS
Jordan Clarkson 0.3% ★½☆☆☆ 54.6% Less 0.5 Rebounds NBA NYK
Jalen Brunson 0.3% ★½☆☆☆ 54.6% Less 34.5 Points & Assists NBA NYK
Mikal Bridges -0.2% ★½☆☆☆ 54.1% More 1.5 Blocks & Steals NBA NYK
Jordan Martinook -0.3% ★½☆☆☆ 54.0% Less 1.5 Shots NHL CAR
Jalen Brunson -0.5% ★½☆☆☆ 53.9% Less 9.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA NYK
Seth Jarvis -0.8% ★½☆☆☆ 53.6% Less 2.5 Shots NHL CAR
Victor Wembanyama -0.8% ★½☆☆☆ 53.5% More 14.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA SAS
Keldon Johnson -0.9% ★½☆☆☆ 53.4% More 2.5 Rebounds NBA SAS
Jalen Brunson -1.0% ★½☆☆☆ 53.4% Less 28.5 Points NBA NYK
De'Aaron Fox -1.0% ★½☆☆☆ 53.3% More 15.5 Points NBA SAS
Jack Eichel -1.1% ★☆☆☆☆ 53.2% Less 0.5 Assists NHL VGK
Jackson Blake -1.3% ★☆☆☆☆ 53.0% Less 0.5 Points NHL CAR
Sean Walker -1.8% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.5% More 1.5 Shots NHL CAR
Keldon Johnson -1.9% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.4% More 9.5 Points & Rebounds NBA SAS
Brett Howden -2.1% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.3% More 1.5 Shots NHL VGK
Ivan Barbashev -2.3% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.1% Less 1.5 Shots NHL VGK
Jose Alvarado -2.4% ★☆☆☆☆ 52.0% Less 6.5 Points & Assists NBA NYK
Keldon Johnson -2.4% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.9% More 6.5 Points NBA SAS
Mikal Bridges -2.5% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.9% More 10.5 Points NBA NYK
Rasmus Andersson -2.6% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.7% Less 1.5 Shots NHL VGK
Shea Theodore -3.1% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.2% More 1.5 Shots NHL VGK
Logan Stankoven -3.2% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.2% Less 0.5 Points NHL CAR
Victor Wembanyama -3.4% ★☆☆☆☆ 51.0% More 40.5 Points & Rebounds NBA SAS
Tomas Hertl -3.5% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.9% Less 1.5 Shots NHL VGK
Pavel Dorofeyev -3.6% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.7% Less 2.5 Shots NHL VGK
Pavel Dorofeyev -3.7% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.6% Less 0.5 Points NHL VGK
Landry Shamet -3.8% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.6% More 7.5 Points & Rebounds NBA NYK
Mikal Bridges -3.9% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.5% More 14.5 Points & Rebounds NBA NYK
Jose Alvarado -4.2% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.1% Less 4.5 Points NBA NYK
Luke Kornet -4.3% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.1% Less 4.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA SAS
Miles McBride -4.4% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.0% Less 4.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists NBA NYK
Landry Shamet -4.4% ½☆☆☆☆ 50.0% More 7.5 Points & Assists NBA NYK
Luke Kornet -4.5% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.9% Less 1.5 Points NBA SAS
Landry Shamet -5.3% ½☆☆☆☆ 49.1% More 2.5 Rebounds & Assists NBA NYK
Luke Kornet -5.5% ½☆☆☆☆ 48.8% More 3.5 Points & Rebounds NBA SAS
Miles McBride -6.3% ☆☆☆☆☆ 48.0% More 0.5 Rebounds NBA NYK
Miles McBride -6.8% ☆☆☆☆☆ 47.5% Less 0.5 Threes NBA NYK

FAQ, Glossary, and Tutorial

About the Author

ChrisGimino
Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

Chris Gimino is a top 4 most accurate fantasy football expert (per FantasyPros) and a key contributor at RotoGrinders. Alongside our team of specialists, his work drives projections, simulations, ownership insights, and analytics across 15+ sports, supporting betting, DFS, and fantasy pick’em contests.

A Best Ball Millionaire finalist, multiple-time DFS Live Finalist, winner of six-figure prizes, and the inaugural FastDraft Origins champion, Chris brings a wealth of experience to deliver actionable tools and expert advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers. Follow Chris on X – @ChrisGimino