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Standard Projections (THE BAT X)

by Derek Carty (DerekCarty) FPTS Updated: 2025-08-11 04:09:34 Part of the product THE BAT X Projection System by Derek Carty

These projections use THE BAT X, a new version of THE BAT that uses Statcast data for the underlying hitter (but not pitcher, yet) projections. Read more about it here.
DK Pitchers CSV Download / FD Pitchers CSV Download / Y! Pitchers CSV Download / OB Pitchers CSV Download
DK Hitters CSV Download / FD Hitters CSV Download / Y! Hitters CSV Download / OB Hitters CSV Download

Hitters Pitchers Import into LineupHQ
PLAYER SALARY POS TEAM OPP TM OPP_TM HAND OL OD PCC ERROR 2H BPC PPC MPC OPENER CATCHER UMPIRE PARK ROOF PLATOON SPLIT GVF HFA DH FAMILIARITY TILT_BIAS SPIN_LS SPIN_CS SPIN_REC SPIN_CHANGE FPTS IP OUTS ERA CNERA W L QS CG CGSH TBF AB K BB IBB HBP H HR TB SH SF GIDP SB CS ER POWN
Garrett Crochet BOS HOU L false false false - - 98 96 112 - Carlos Narvaez (N) - HOU Closed 0 Neutral --- false true false 30% 2506 2465 1 1 24.05 6.07 18.2 3.22 3.14 0.45 0.28 0.47 0.04 0.02 24.71 22.74 7.32 1.67 0.01 0.16 5.10 0.61 8.00 0.04 0.11 0.46 0.29 0.12 2.17 0.01
Nathan Eovaldi TEX ARI R false false false - - 94 94 105 - Kyle Higashioka (+) - TEX Closed 4 Neutral 2-1 true true false 21% 2197 2211 1 1 22.40 6.07 18.2 3.20 3.80 0.45 0.28 0.47 0.02 0.01 24.43 22.45 6.36 1.51 0.02 0.26 4.89 0.64 7.90 0.10 0.11 0.46 0.36 0.14 2.16 0.01
Yoshinobu Yamamoto LAD LAA R false false false - - 95 94 110 - Will Smith (-) - LAA - 5 Reverse 1-2 false true false 36% 2157 2187 1 1 20.58 5.64 16.9 3.69 3.19 0.39 0.30 0.40 0.03 0.01 23.41 21.28 6.44 1.69 0.02 0.27 4.98 0.66 8.05 0.05 0.12 0.45 0.33 0.12 2.31 0.01
Logan Webb SFG SDP R false false false - - 98 96 110 - Patrick Bailey (++) - SFG - 5 Average 0-0 true true false 46% 1928 1964 1 1 18.60 6.28 18.8 3.35 3.30 0.43 0.31 0.50 0.02 0.01 25.86 24.26 4.84 1.19 0.04 0.19 6.31 0.36 8.58 0.07 0.14 0.73 0.39 0.17 2.34 0.01
Will Warren NYY MIN R false false false - - 88 86 103 - Austin Wells (+) - NYY - 3 Large --- true true false 29% 1 2576 1 1 16.25 5.18 15.5 4.18 4.28 0.40 0.25 0.34 0.00 0.00 21.91 19.75 5.00 1.76 0.01 0.24 4.76 0.73 7.95 0.02 0.13 0.42 0.16 0.08 2.41 0.01
Jose Quintana MIL PIT L false false false - - 94 94 105 - Danny Jansen (N) - MIL Open 0 Reverse --- true true false 35% 2072 2092 1 1 15.80 5.52 16.6 4.37 4.81 0.38 0.30 0.40 0.00 0.00 23.72 21.42 4.99 1.91 0.01 0.17 5.53 0.62 8.66 0.07 0.15 0.48 0.33 0.12 2.68 0.01
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About the Author

DerekCarty
Derek Carty (DerekCarty)

Derek Carty is the creator of THE BAT X (for MLB) and THE BLITZ (for NFL) projection systems, widely considered the gold standard for projections and the driving force behind multiple Milly Maker winners. You may also know him from ESPN.com, from his time on Baseball Tonight and SportsCenter, or from his early career managing the fantasy sections for Baseball Prospectus and The Hardball Times. While perhaps best known for DFS, he also has an elite track record in both sports betting (career ~13% ROI on thousands of publicly-tracked bets as of the end of the 2023-24 NFL season) and season-long fantasy expert leagues (11 titles while placing in the top 3 in roughly half of all leagues). On the sports betting side, you may recognize his work from EV Analytics, ScoresAndOdds, Covers, and Unabated. For season-long fantasy, THE BAT X is prominently featured at FanGraphs. While known mostly for his analytical skills, he’s also proud to be the only active fantasy or betting analyst to have graduated from MLB’s exclusive Scout School. Follow Carty on Twitter – @DerekCarty