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THE BLITZ Percentile Projections - DK/FDFT Defense (Detailed)

by Derek Carty (DerekCarty) Data Updated: 2025-09-07 01:01:35 Part of the product THE BLITZ Projection System by Derek Carty

Welcome to THE BLITZ’s Percentile Projections! This is a BETA feature, new for 2019, that I hope to keep improving. Any questions or feedback about the projections (especially in regards to usability and things you’d like to see changed or added) is welcome. Twitter DM is the easiest way to reach me (@derekcarty)

DK/FDFT Players DK/FDFT Defense DK/FDFT Players (Detailed) DK/FDFT Defense (Detailed) Import Ceiling Projections Import Floor Projections
OTT PERCENTILE DRAFTKINGS SACK INTS FUMREC SFTY TD 0_PTS 1_6_PTS 7_13_PTS 14_20_PTS 21_27_PTS 28_34_PTS 35_PTS
16.75 75th 15.66 3.9 1.6 1.1 0.06 0.42 0.04 0.10 0.30 0.30 0.19 0.02 0.00
16.75 25th 3.16 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.15 0.23 0.23 0.15 0.09
19.75 75th 14.76 5.3 1.3 0.9 0.06 0.30 0.03 0.08 0.23 0.25 0.18 0.05 0.00
19.75 25th 3.34 2.7 0.3 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.19 0.22 0.17 0.13
17.75 75th 14.45 4.5 1.2 1.1 0.06 0.30 0.04 0.09 0.28 0.28 0.18 0.03 0.00
17.75 25th 3.00 2.1 0.2 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.13 0.21 0.22 0.16 0.11
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About the Author

DerekCarty
Derek Carty (DerekCarty)

Derek Carty is the creator of THE BAT X (for MLB) and THE BLITZ (for NFL) projection systems, widely considered the gold standard for projections and the driving force behind multiple Milly Maker winners. You may also know him from ESPN.com, from his time on Baseball Tonight and SportsCenter, or from his early career managing the fantasy sections for Baseball Prospectus and The Hardball Times. While perhaps best known for DFS, he also has an elite track record in both sports betting (career ~13% ROI on thousands of publicly-tracked bets as of the end of the 2023-24 NFL season) and season-long fantasy expert leagues (11 titles while placing in the top 3 in roughly half of all leagues). On the sports betting side, you may recognize his work from EV Analytics, ScoresAndOdds, Covers, and Unabated. For season-long fantasy, THE BAT X is prominently featured at FanGraphs. While known mostly for his analytical skills, he’s also proud to be the only active fantasy or betting analyst to have graduated from MLB’s exclusive Scout School. Follow Carty on Twitter – @DerekCarty