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THE BLITZ Percentile Projections - DraftKings/FantasyDraft

by Derek Carty (DerekCarty) Data Updated: 2025-09-07 01:01:35 Part of the product THE BLITZ Projection System by Derek Carty

Welcome to THE BLITZ’s Percentile Projections! This is a BETA feature, new for 2019, that I hope to keep improving. Any questions or feedback about the projections (especially in regards to usability and things you’d like to see changed or added) is welcome. Twitter DM is the easiest way to reach me (@derekcarty)

DK/FDFT Players DK/FDFT Defense DK/FDFT Players (Detailed) DK/FDFT Defense (Detailed) Import Ceiling Projections Import Floor Projections
PLAYER SALARY POS TEAM OPP INJ 1ST 10TH 20TH 25TH 30TH 40TH 50TH 60TH 70TH 75TH 80TH 90TH 99TH
Jayden Daniels 7000 QB WAS NYG 0.7 6.2 11.6 13.6 15.5 20.6 25.9 30.7 36.1 38.9 42.1 50.5 70.4
Lamar Jackson 7300 QB BAL BUF 1.0 6.2 11.6 13.7 15.6 20.0 24.6 29.2 34.2 36.9 39.8 47.3 65.2
Josh Allen 7200 QB BUF BAL 0.5 5.6 10.7 12.7 14.5 18.9 23.4 28.0 32.9 35.5 38.5 45.9 63.5
Joe Burrow 6900 QB CIN CLE 2.3 8.6 12.0 13.7 15.3 18.4 21.9 25.7 29.6 31.7 34.1 39.9 53.7
Puka Nacua 7600 WR LAR HOU 0.3 6.8 10.5 12.3 14.2 17.9 21.3 25.1 29.0 31.2 33.6 40.0 55.2
Ja'Marr Chase 8100 WR CIN CLE 0.2 6.3 9.9 12.0 13.9 17.4 20.8 24.5 28.5 30.7 33.1 39.5 54.7
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About the Author

DerekCarty
Derek Carty (DerekCarty)

Derek Carty is the creator of THE BAT X (for MLB) and THE BLITZ (for NFL) projection systems, widely considered the gold standard for projections and the driving force behind multiple Milly Maker winners. You may also know him from ESPN.com, from his time on Baseball Tonight and SportsCenter, or from his early career managing the fantasy sections for Baseball Prospectus and The Hardball Times. While perhaps best known for DFS, he also has an elite track record in both sports betting (career ~13% ROI on thousands of publicly-tracked bets as of the end of the 2023-24 NFL season) and season-long fantasy expert leagues (11 titles while placing in the top 3 in roughly half of all leagues). On the sports betting side, you may recognize his work from EV Analytics, ScoresAndOdds, Covers, and Unabated. For season-long fantasy, THE BAT X is prominently featured at FanGraphs. While known mostly for his analytical skills, he’s also proud to be the only active fantasy or betting analyst to have graduated from MLB’s exclusive Scout School. Follow Carty on Twitter – @DerekCarty