Lesson 3: Identifying the Dominators
So how do we go about identifying the dominators? There are four things I look for. The first, and most obvious, is who has been performing the best all year. The best metric to find the top performers is something called Driver Rating. Look for drivers with a high average Driver Rating first. It’s best just to look at the whole year, but early in the season when there’s little data it also makes sense to look back over a window of 12-18 races, even if that means dipping back into the prior year.
One great resource to do that with is the RotoViz NASCAR Splits App, which lets you analyze average driver statistics for nearly any subset of races you want. For example, if we look at the last 15 races of the 2015 season, we see Joey Logano had the top Driver Rating and Dale Earnhardt, Jr., had the 10th-highest Driver Rating.
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