MLB Player Projections: Foundational Knowledge
If you’re not using projections as part of your DFS process, you’re either a losing DFS player or you’re leaving money on the table. That may sound blunt, but it’s true. Please. Spend five minutes. Read this article. Try to be open-minded. And I promise you will become a better DFS player by the end of it. Even if you already use projections, there are key things your projections need to be doing, and if they aren’t, you may want to reevaluate.
Why Are Projections Important?
1. All the top players use projections
You won’t find a single truly successful DFS player that doesn’t use projections as part of their process. Some may not admit that they’re using them or won’t reveal what their projection process looks like in order to maintain their edge. Some players who don’t use projections try to come off as being successful, even if they aren’t, in order to sell you something. But rest assured: all the truly best DFS players use some form of projection. Which begs the question: why aren’t you using them? Especially because…
2. Using projections saves you time
So many DFS players waste countless hours digging into splits and umpire data and weather and Statcast metrics and tons of other data points, then manually analyzing the data to try to figure out who the best plays are. THIS IS A WASTE OF TIME! Why? Because…
3. Projections accounts for all the things you’re trying to account for, but they do it better!