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  • Daily Fantasy Golf Research and Strategies: How to Win in PGA

Tournament History & Course Likeness

Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in RotoGrinders.com’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.

Throughout these lessons, you will hear me harp on the same thing over and over: it’s imperative for your golfers to make the cut in daily fantasy golf. When a player misses the cut, their fantasy production halts and they have no chance to move up on the leaderboard, which severely limits your team’s upside. This lesson will focus on course history and how it can be used to in your weekly research routine.

There are a number of different reasons why certain golfers play well on certain courses. The course may favor that type of golfer (long off the tee, accurate, great short game etc.), the golfer may be very familiar with the course layout, the golfer may have local knowledge of the course, the golfer may be playing in his hometown, the golfer may be used to playing on the type of grass on the course, or the golfer may have extra confidence at a course that he’s played well on in the past.

When a player dominates a course year in and year out, he is referred to as a “horse for the course.” According to Wikipedia, “The term is widely used in the foreign-language translation industry.” This definition doesn’t apply to one bit, but who doesn’t love a Wikipedia reference every now and then? A horse for the course is basically a golfer that has great success at a particular venue.

There are a few sites that offer course history (most are paid content), but if you are like me, then you’d rather do the work yourself. I create my own set of projections for each tournament, so I need to know that the information that I’m using (my inputs) is 100% accurate. For that reason, I gather this information myself each week. A quick Google search will pull up the leaderboards from each of year of the tournament and using the VLOOKUP function in excel, you can generate a list of finishes for each golfer at that specific event.

ragolf

After gathering the course history information, I look at four things. The number of times a golfer has played the event (familiarity), the number of cuts he has made there, the average finish he has had, and the number of top-tens he has posted. A player’s course history is going to be factored in to his Vegas odds, but not as much as you may think. In the example above, Zach Johnson would be a strong play, as had made each of the last six cuts at the Wells Fargo Championship, including five top-ten finishes and two wins. He fits the description of a “horse for the course.”

On first thought, you would think that you would want to include all tournament history in your weekly analysis, but I tend to limit the sample to the last five or six years. Golfers have trouble maintaining their form over the course of a single season, let along over the course of their entire careers. Placing an emphasis in the last 3-6 years will help you avoid the golfers that have had success at an event, but are well past their prime.

Course Likeness

Using course likeness is one of the most underrated strategies in daily fantasy golf. It’s something that doesn’t cross the mind of many daily fantasy players. You wouldn’t think to use comparable courses in your weekly analysis unless someone smart told you to. If you’ve purchased this course (thank you, by the way!), then you must think that I am at least relatively smart, and I’m telling you to look at course likeness.

You will find a strong correlation between golfers’ success at similar venues. Examples include: courses that are suited for long hitters, courses that are suited for accurate players, or courses that have the same type of grass on their greens. If a golfer has limited experience at a particular course, you can look at his track record at similar venues. Here are two examples of courses that correlate well on tour.

Long courses (Bombers)

— Trump National at Doral
— Torrey Pines

Short Courses (Accuracy)

— Hilton Head
— Colonial

Throughout these lessons, you will hear me harp on the same thing over and over: it’s imperative for your golfers to make the cut in daily fantasy golf. When a player misses the cut, their fantasy production halts and they have no chance to move up on the leaderboard, which severely limits your team’s upside. This lesson will focus on course history and how it can be used to in your weekly research routine.

There are a number of different reasons why certain golfers play well on certain courses. The course may favor that type of golfer (long off the tee, accurate, great short game etc.), the golfer may be very familiar with the course layout, the golfer may have local knowledge of the course, the golfer may be playing in his hometown, the golfer may be used to playing on the type of grass on the course, or the golfer may have extra confidence at a course that he’s played well on in the past.

When a player dominates a course year in and year out, he is referred to as a “horse for the course.” According to Wikipedia, “The term is widely used in the foreign-language translation industry.” This definition doesn’t apply to one bit, but who doesn’t love a Wikipedia reference every now and then? A horse for the course is basically a golfer that has great success at a particular venue.

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About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in RotoGrinders.com’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.

Instructor

Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in RotoGrinders.com’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.

RotoGrinders.com is the home of the daily fantasy sports community. Our content, rankings, member blogs, promotions and forum discussion all cater to the players that like to create a new fantasy team every day of the week.

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