Primetime Parlay: 49ers vs. Seahawks Same Game Parlay Picks
ScoresAndOdds’ ParlayIQ tool uses thousands of simulations of RotoGrinders’ statistical projections to help bettors gain on edge when building same-game parlays. We will examine stats, roster news, trends, player props, and betting odds across sports betting sites to find the best price for our same-game parlay ticket. For this article, we build a Monday Night Football same-game parlay for the Patriots vs Cardinals.
Thursday Night Football on Amazon Prime treats us to a NFC West contest between the home Seahawks and the visiting 49ers. The 49ers come in off of back-to-back wins with Brock Purdy under center. The Seahawks have sputtered and find themselves two games behind the 49ers in the West and looking to fight for a wild card spot in the NFC. With a few big injuries, will the 49ers keep it rolling on the road in Seattle? Can Seattle rebound and keep their season alive? Let’s preview the game and work on a same-game parlay ticket on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Same Game Parlay for 49ers vs. Seahawks
At the time of this writing, FanDuel Sportsbook posts the Seahawks as three-point underdogs at home against the 49ers. Per SAO, the bulk of betting tickets (64%) sit with the 49ers while 63% of betting handle rests with the Seahawks side. In a divisional game and some significant injuries to the San Francisco side, the points are very appealing.
To no surprise, the game total is not very high. At 43.5 points with a -115 price on the under, sports betting sites are projecting a lower-scoring affair. Given the history of divisional games and the way both of these teams love to play, I am not shocked the number is this low. Per SAO, 67% of betting tickets are on the over.
Nick Galaida previewed the game here offering a full breakdown and impact based on injuries on both sides of the ball. The 49ers will miss Deebo Samuel with his ankle injury while Brock Purdy seems likely to play after logging practices all week. If Purdy can’t suit up, the 49ers are down to journey Josh Johnson to run the offense. Christian McCaffrey was taken off the injury report.
For the Seahawks, Ken Walker was taken off the injury report and will return tonight to face a ferocious San Francisco front. DT Al Woods is questionable to play after a heel injury in last week’s game against the Panthers. Nick Galaida notes in his preview and his props article that the Seahawks have struggled recently against the run. Without Woods, the 49ers could lean on their run game to take pressure off Purdy.
Update – 7:00 PM EST – Brock Purdy is active for Thursday Night Football. Ken Walker is also active. Al Woods of the Seahawks as well as DeeJay Dallas will be inactive. Travis Homer will back up Kenneth Walker.
Let’s take a look at some betting props using ParlayIQ and our thousands of simulations of RotoGrinders’ DFS Stat Projections.
Same Game Parlay Picks – 49ers & Seahawks Props
Kenneth Walker Over 48.5 Rushing Yards
Kenneth Walker makes his return this evening and is greeted with one of the more brutal tests he would have seen in 2022. San Francisco leads the NFL in opposing rushing yards per attempt (3.4) and continue to flummox opposing offenses.
So, why? Well, for one, ParlayIQ probably thinks this number is a bit low for Walker’s expected volume. With his removal from the injury report, we should anticipate a complete workload for Walker. The full workload should be close to 20 attempts assuming the Seahawks don’t get completely blown away immediately.
While the 49ers’ defense is exceptional, I question their ability to blow anyone out with the injuries on offense — especially in Seattle. Instead, assuming the game stays close, we should anticipate nearly 20 rushing attempts from Walker. A paltry 2.5 yards per carry would get the job done. We start here.
Christian McCaffrey Over 78.5 Rushing Yards
Speaking of rushing, we have the opposing running back as a second leg. McCaffrey continues to morph into the primary weapon for 49ers. Without Deebo Samuel and a third-string quarterback at the helm, why wouldn’t McCaffrey get the football?
While Seattle has drifted back over the last few weeks, a loss tonight make the division interesting again. McCaffrey should see a full workload this evening both on the ground and in the air. With the aforementioned state of the Seahawks rushing defense, McCaffrey should find plenty of room to work. ParlayIQ is on board with this leg — finding the over in 63% of simulations that included Kenneth Walker going over his prop.
George Kittle Over 40.5 Receiving Yards
Without Deebo Samuel, the 49ers have targets to spread around. While George Kittle continues to be one of the primary blocking tight ends in the league, the 49ers will attempt to move the ball through the air, as well. Kittle’s ability to run after the catch at his size puts 40.5 receiving yards in play.
Recently, Kittle has seen 4-5 targets per week. Without Deebo, Maybe that number floats up to 5-6 or even 7 depending on the game script. With a couple additional catches, I am confident that Kittle can get over this total. We add him as our third leg.
Geno Smith Under 15.5 Rushing Yards
Finally, let’s find an under. We are going to go with ParlayIQ’s favorite under in the rushing prop for Geno Smith. Geno is not fleet of foot so going under his total against the best defense and football feels very appropriate.
Of course, these are never, ever, ever fun to sweat. One broken play against man defense and even Geno can get 15-20 yards downfield. That said, Geno is a pocket passer and does not have a high level of mobility in his tool belt. Furthermore, the 49ers have allowed a measly 154 rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks. That is third best in the NFL.
We close our parlay with this leg. Given that three of our four legs were found in north of 60% of our simulations, we should see a nice boost to the recommended price by ParlayIQ.
49ers vs. Seahawks Parlay Odds
- Kenneth Walker Over 48.5 Rushing Yards
- Christian McCaffrey Over 78.5 Rushing Yards
- George Kittle Over 40.5 Receiving Yards
- Geno Smith Under 15.5 Rushing Yards
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ParlayIQ recommends the following price for our same-game parlay ticket given the simulations:
FanDuel Sportsbook posted the much more appealing price below:
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PLACE THIS BET ON Parlay Odds: +1355
Risk: 1/2 unit to win 6.77 units
Good luck with all of your bets and plays this evening. Share your parlays with me on Twitter and any other plays you are making for the game. First touchdown scorers? Touchdowns? DFS lineups? Thanks for reading.
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