MLB Daily Grind Down: April 13th Afternoon Games
Chicago White Sox at Cleveland
| Chicago White Sox | Cleveland | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive Field | 4:05 PM | ||||||
| Chris Sale (1-0 REC, 1.84 ERA, 6.1 Avg IP) | Zach McAllister (0-1 REC, 3.00 ERA, 5.1 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | (16-77) H/AB, 7 XBHA, 1 HRA, 15 KA | PvB | (13-51) H/AB, 6 XBHA, 1 HRA, 13 KA | ||||
| ROAD | 98 IP, 3.77 ERA, 0.253 BAA, 9.3 K/9 | HOME | 73.2 IP, 4.64 ERA, 0.281 BAA, 7.8 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
CHW BvP | CHW vs R | CLE BvP | CLE vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Pitchers
- The OU line for this game is another low 7.5 with CHW favored to win at -128. They send their big lefty to the mound, Chris Sale. Sale gave up 3 ER in his last start but only 5 hits. His 3.77 road ERA gets a little help from his 2.79 day game ERA from a year ago. The current Indians are batting just .208 vs. him. Target
- Zach McAllister did not look good in his first start. He does not get enough Ks to be a factor and his day game and home ERA are both over 4. CWS has a .255 BAA vs. him but he does not look likely to get the win. Avoid
Batters
- Jeff Keppinger and Alejandro De Aza have the best BvPs vs. McAllister. Adam Dunn also has a HR off of him in 7 AB. I also like the hot Alex Rios and Alexi Ramirez on a day in which offence may be hard to come by.
- Jeff Kipnis is 4-12 vs. Sale with 2 doubles. He is the only brightspot for a team batting .237 on the season.
Baltimore at NY Yankees
| Baltimore | NY Yankees | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankee Stadium | 4:05 PM | ||||||
| Jason Hammel (1-1 REC, 4.97 ERA, 5.1 Avg IP) | Phil Hughes (0-1 REC, 6.75 ERA, 5.1 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | (42-146) H/AB, 12 XBHA, 9 HRA, 29 KA | PvB | (48-184) H/AB, 18 XBHA, 7 HRA, 35 KA | ||||
| ROAD | 63 IP, 3.43 ERA, 0.234 BAA, 9 K/9 | HOME | 98.2 IP, 3.74 ERA, 0.238 BAA, 7.8 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
BAL BvP | BAL vs R | NYY BvP | NYY vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Pitchers
- Vegas has the line for this game set at 8.5 which is on the higher side of things today. NYY is the favorite at -122. Phil Hughes made it only 4 IP in his first start. He was a 5.54 pitcher in day games a year ago. The current Orioles are batting .261 vs. him and .270 on the season. Those are not good numbers even if he was pitching well. Avoid
- Jason Hammel put together two lackluster starts. Although his road and day game ERA are favorable he faces a NYY team batting .272 on the season with 15 HR and .288 BAA vs. him in a game seemed headed for some offense. Avoid
Batters
- Ichiro Suzuki is 7-12 vs. Hammel. Travis Hafner and Robinson Cano are also very favorable. Do not forget about the hot bats of Kevin Youkilis and Vernon Well. The middle of the Yankees’ order looks solid today.
- Nick Markakis has a .310 BAA vs. Hughes in 42 AB. Nate McLouth and Manny Machado have nice BvPs as well. The way Adam Jones has been playing, I would use him vs. anyone.
Detroit at Oakland
| Detroit | Oakland | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.co Coliseum | 4:07 PM | ||||||
| Justin Verlander (1-1 REC, 2.19 ERA, 6.1 Avg IP) | Brett Anderson (1-1 REC, 1.38 ERA, 5.2 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | (19-89) H/AB, 4 XBHA, 1 HRA, 18 KA | PvB | (16-55) H/AB, 4 XBHA, 2 HRA, 13 KA | ||||
| ROAD | 123.2 IP, 3.57 ERA, 0.243 BAA, 8.9 K/9 | HOME | 13 IP, 1.38 ERA, 0.205 BAA, 6.9 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
DET BvP | DET vs L | OAK BvP | OAK vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Pitchers
- The OU line for this game is set at 7 with DET the moderate favorites at -120. Justin Verlander was hittable in his last outing. He has a very mortal road ERA of 3.57 but his day game ERA from a year ago was 1.94 and OAK is batting only .213 as a team vs. him. Target
- Brett Anderson had 10 Ks in 6 IP in his last outing but it was vs. HOU. The young left-hander ERA at home was a 1.38 a year and he gets enough Ks to be a factor. DET as a team sports .291 BAA vs. him and is batting .306 on the season but I trust Anderson to pitch well in his pitcher friendly home park. He could be a nice against the grain pick today Target
Batters
- Tori Hunter is 7-16 with 2 HRs vs. Anderson. Miguel Cabrera is also 3-7. I do not think anyone is bad play from DET so pick your poison. The line is 7, though, so do not over do it.
- Coco Crisp and Yoenis Cespedes have solid BvPs vs. Verlander and could offer a nice one 2 punch if you chose to fade Verlander.
Milwaukee at St. Louis
| Milwaukee | St. Louis | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busch Stadium | 4:15 PM | ||||||
| Yovani Gallardo (0-0 REC, 5.73 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | Adam Wainwright (1-1 REC, 3.46 ERA, 6.1 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | (43-134) H/AB, 16 XBHA, 10 HRA, 29 KA | PvB | (52-225) H/AB, 22 XBHA, 7 HRA, 50 KA | ||||
| ROAD | 90.1 IP, 3.59 ERA, 0.258 BAA, 8.5 K/9 | HOME | 108.2 IP, 3.73 ERA, 0.259 BAA, 8.9 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
MIL BvP | MIL vs R | STL BvP | STL vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Pitchers
- The OU line for this game is another low 7.5 and STL is favored at -171. Vegas really like Adam Wainwright to get the win today. He has not BBs to start the season but he has given up 18 hits in 13 IP. It is hard not to take a guy who is so heavily favored and his K totals have been solid. The Brewers are only batting .231 vs. him. Target
- Yovani Gallardo has pitched even worse to start the season. His K totals have been down as he has only 6 Ks in 11 IP. His road and day game ERAs from a year ago are both in the low 3s but he is not pitching well enough right now for me to recommend him against a team that has a .321 BAA vs. him
Batters
- John Jay, Matt Carpenter, Carlos Beltran, and Matt Holliday all have nice BvPs vs. Gallardo. They bat 1,2,3,4. Use them.
- Vegas does not expect much from the brewers but Wainwright has been hitable this year. Ryan Braun, Jean Segura, and Norichika Aoki have been hot and are in play today.
