MLB Daily Grind Down May 1st Part 3
Chicago White Sox at Texas
| Chicago White Sox | Texas | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers Ballpark | 8:05 PM | ||||||
| Chris Sale – (2-2), 4.09 ERA, 8.18 K/9, 1.15 WHIP | Nick Tepesch – (2-1), 2.53 ERA, 5.97 K/9, 1.08 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (9-36 H/AB) 0.25 BA-A, 0.17 K%, 0.667 OPS-A | PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-2), 7.94 ERA, 2 HRA, 7.1 K/9, 1.324 WHIP | HOME | (1-0), 1 ERA, 0 HRA, 8 K/9, 1 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
CHW BvP  | CHW vs R | TEX BvP | TEX vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.5
- Favored TEX -115
Pitchers
- Home Nick Tepesch has pitched pretty well so far for the Rangers. Solid ERA, solid WHIP, and a decent amount of K’s. The best part about Tepesch is how cheap he is on a couple of sites. Draftstreet especially. I think he is a great play for his price. Target
- Away Chris Sale is a solid pitcher but lefties in Rangers Ballpark never seem to fair very well. The Rangers hit lefties too well for me to pay that much for Sale. Plus he is the underdog which I am never a fan of. Avoid
Batters
- Home Nelson Cruz and Ian Kinsler should automatically pop into your mind any time they face a lefty at home. They will both be expensive, but are both in play.
- Away The White Sox have been slumping and you can look at this two different ways. One, that they are due and that they make great value picks because their prices are all so cheap. Or two, that they are going to keep slumping. I’m leaning toward the latter.
Tampa Bay at Kansas City
| Tampa Bay | Kansas City | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauffman Stadium | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Jeremy Hellickson – (1-2), 4.31 ERA, 7.52 K/9, 1.09 WHIP | Luis Mendoza – (0-1), 5.14 ERA, 7.07 K/9, 1.36 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (10-51 H/AB) 0.196 BA-A, 0.27 K%, 0.51 OPS-A | PvB | (8-28 H/AB) 0.286 BA-A, 0.11 K%, 0.929 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-2), 5 ERA, 4 HRA, 9 K/9, 1.167 WHIP | HOME | (0-1), 11.12 ERA, 0 HRA, 3.2 K/9, 1.765 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| TBR BvP | TBR vs R | KCR BvP | KCR vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.0
- Favored TB -103
Pitchers
- Home Luis Mendoza gets the start tonight. I could break down his numbers for you, but everytime I see him listed as the starter, a little buzzer goes off in my head that says stay away. So sorry, no numbers breakdown, just a loud buzzing alarm shouting NO NO NO!
- Away Jeremy Hellickson has been solid for the Rays but has pitched much better at home than he has on the road. I think he will get enough run support to get the win and I think he is a solid play today if you are looking for an against the grain pick.
Batters
- Home Alex Gordon has good BvP and hasn’t been very good in his last 3 games. I could see him bouncing back with a solid game, but for the most part, I like Hellickson’s chances against this lineup.
- Away Mendoza is a guy that can either pitch a gem or completely blow up. I personally think he will get lit up tonight so I am pretty big on the Rays bats. Evan Longoria continues to rake and James Loney seems to be getting on base every time he gets up to bat.
San Francisco at Arizona
| San Francisco | Arizona | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Field | 9:40 PM | ||||||
| Tim Lincecum – (2-1), 3.64 ERA, 9.86 K/9, 1.35 WHIP | Brandon McCarthy – (0-3), 7.48 ERA, 5.96 K/9, 1.77 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (42-167 H/AB) 0.251 BA-A, 0.28 K%, 0.808 OPS-A | PvB | (5-15 H/AB) 0.333 BA-A, 0.13 K%, 1.067 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-1), 3.18 ERA, 2 HRA, 9 K/9, 1.529 WHIP | HOME | (0-2), 8.15 ERA, 1 HRA, 6.1 K/9, 1.698 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| SFG BvP | SFG vs R | ARI BvP | ARI vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9.0
- Favored ARI -108
Pitchers
- Home Brandon McCarthy gets the start for the D-Backs and nothing against McCarthy, but I just don’t like to take pitchers in Chase Field. This should be a high scoring game that could go either way. Avoid
- Away There are only a few instances when I trust Tim Lincecum. On the road against Arizona is not one of those instances. Move on and don’t look back.
Batters
- Home Paul Goldschmidt owns Mr. Lincecum. He is 8/14 with 5 HR’s against him. That is an incredible 2.303 OPS. Get him in your lineup tonight. I also like some of the cheaper D-Backs hitters so check the lineup and fill in your team with a value hitter or two.
- Away Not a lot of BvP to go off of here, but McCarthy has an ERA over 7 this season and has given up at least 3 earned in every start so expect the Giants to score some runs. Buster Posey and Brandon Belt look like solid plays.
Baltimore at Seattle
| Baltimore | Seattle | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safeco Field | 10:10 PM | ||||||
| Wei-Yin Chen – (2-2), 2.53 ERA, 4.5 K/9, 1 WHIP | Aaron Harang – (0-3), 11.37 ERA, 8.85 K/9, 1.97 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (7-39 H/AB) 0.179 BA-A, 0.23 K%, 0.462 OPS-A | PvB | (13-65 H/AB) 0.2 BA-A, 0.29 K%, 0.585 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-2), 2.77 ERA, 2 HRA, 4.8 K/9, 0.962 WHIP | HOME | (0-2), 9 ERA, 3 HRA, 7.9 K/9, 1.875 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| BAL BvP | BAL vs R | SEA BvP | SEA vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored BAL -123
Pitchers
- Home Aaron Harang has an impressive 11.23 ERA this season. No that was not a typo that meant to be 1.23 ERA, it is actually an 11.23 ERA. Throw in his matchup against this tough Orioles lineup and that’s plenty enough to avoid him tonight.
- Away Jason Hammel pitched well against the Mariners last night and I think we will see a similar performance out of Wei-Yin Chen tonight. The Mariners are only batting .223 this season against lefties with more strikeouts than hits. Everything points toward a solid game from Chen. Target
Batters
- Home Michael Morse is about the only guy I would consider taking from the M’s. He seems to hit HR’s in bunches and he hit one last night.
- Away I like quite a few of the Orioles bats tonight. Nate McLouth should continue his hot streak and Adam Jones should bounce back from his bad night last night.
Colorado at LA Dodgers
| Colorado | LA Dodgers | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodger Stadium | 10:10 PM | ||||||
| Juan Nicasio – (3-0), 4.62 ERA, 5.02 K/9, 1.5 WHIP | Josh Beckett – (0-3), 4.75 ERA, 7.48 K/9, 1.35 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (25-62 H/AB) 0.403 BA-A, 0.18 K%, 1.065 OPS-A | PvB | (27-86 H/AB) 0.314 BA-A, 0.16 K%, 0.919 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-0), 3.94 ERA, 2 HRA, 3.4 K/9, 1.5 WHIP | HOME | (0-1), 4.76 ERA, 4 HRA, 7.1 K/9, 1.412 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| COL BvP | COL vs R | LAD BvP | LAD vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored LAD -139
Pitchers
- Home Josh Beckett seems to pitch well each game but then fall apart during one inning and it ends up messing up his whole game from a fantasy perspective. Vegas likes him to win in a low scoring game though and he has pitched well at home. I think he is in play, but not necessarily a top play.
- Away Juan Nicasio is 3-0 this season, but that is more thanks to his run support than his pitching. His strikeout numbers are really low and he is favored to lose. Avoid
Batters
- Home Matt Kemp has had success off of Nicasio in the past going 4/11 with 2 HR’s and a triple. Andre Ethier also has good numbers against him going 7/11 with a HR and a double. Both are solid plays tonight. I think Hanley Ramirez being back will really help that lineup out.
- Away I think Beckett will pitch well in this one and the absence of Tulowitzki hurts the Rockies lineup. I think the Rockies batters are a little overpriced for their low upside tonight.