MLB Daily Grind Down May 26th Part 2
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.
While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time. (any fp listed uses Fanduel’s scoring system)
NY Yankees at Tampa Bay
| NY Yankees | Tampa Bay | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropicana Field | 1:40 PM | ||||||
| CC Sabathia – (4-3), 3.43 ERA, 7.73 K/9, 1.32 WHIP | Alex Cobb – (5-2), 2.73 ERA, 8.22 K/9, 1.13 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (73-277 H/AB) 0.264 BA-A, 24.91 K%, 0.819 OPS-A | PvB | (13-89 H/AB) 0.146 BA-A, 17.98 K%, 0.483 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-1), 3 ERA, 3 HRA, 7 K/9, 1 WHIP | HOME | (3-0), 1.85 ERA, 3 HRA, 9.3 K/9, 1 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
NYY BvP  | NYY vs R | TBR BvP | TBR vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored TAM -127
Pitchers
- Home Alex Cobb has a 1.85 ERA at home this year and has had success versus NYY already once this year. He has been very good all around and is capable of putting in a solid day. Sometimes it is the biggest gambles that win you GPPs. NYY is batting .246 on the road, .258 versus right-handers, and .228 over the last 7 days. In Play
- Away CC Sabathia is not a bad road pitcher. He is just a really good pitcher at home. His ERA has made a slight jump this year and I cannot recommend taking him today versus a very good TAM team at home. TAM is batting .264 at home, .272 versu left-handers, and .237 over the last 7 days. His price is too high for me to gamble. Avoid
Batters
- Home I could see TAM getting to CC but Evan Longoria ‘s 15-41 with 5 HR line is playable even if you think this game will be low scoring.
- Away NYY as a team has a .146 BAA versus Cobb. They get to him but I cannot tell you where to look.
LA Angels at Kansas City
| LA Angels | Kansas City | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauffman Stadium | 2:10 PM | ||||||
| Jerome Williams – (3-1), 2.53 ERA, 5.66 K/9, 1.08 WHIP | Wade Davis – (3-3), 5.91 ERA, 7.17 K/9, 1.95 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (8-38 H/AB) 0.211 BA-A, 21.05 K%, 0.526 OPS-A | PvB | (20-60 H/AB) 0.333 BA-A, 18.33 K%, 0.95 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-0), 2.37 ERA, 0 HRA, 3.8 K/9, 1.158 WHIP | HOME | (1-2), 6.97 ERA, 4 HRA, 7.4 K/9, 1.887 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| LAA BvP | LAA vs R | KCR BvP | KCR vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored LAA -119
Pitchers
- Home Wade Davis has a 6.97 home ERA and has struggled in his last few starts. LAA comes into this matchup hot so that is not a good combination. LAA is batting .238 on the road, .270 versus right-handers, and .312 over the last 7 days. Avoid
- Away I respect what Jerome Williams has done so far this year and maybe LAA pitcher park is really a difference maker for him. I have a hard time believing that the 31 year old will continue to pitch 1.50 points better than his career ERA and am not buying into him today. He is hot if you want a cheap option and you think he can get the win. KAN is batting .254 at home, .253 versus right-handers and .248 over the last 7 days. In Play
Batters
- Home KAN has been cold and the BvP data is low but I think they should get to Williams today and I would not be surprised if the wheels fall off of the bus today for him. I think the lefty bats are playable either way given the high OU.
- Away Ladies and Gentlemen start your LAA stacks! Mike Trout has been on fire with 45.5 fp over the last 7 days so get him into your LUs. Josh Hamilton has been hot as well with 24.5 fp.
Miami at Chicago White Sox
| Miami | Chicago White Sox | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Cellular Field | 2:10 PM | ||||||
| Alex Sanabia – (3-6), 4.56 ERA, 4.93 K/9, 1.69 WHIP | Dylan Axelrod – (2-3), 4.13 ERA, 4.84 K/9, 1.26 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (1-8 H/AB) 0.125 BA-A, 37.5 K%, 0.5 OPS-A | PvB | (0-2 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 50 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-3), 4.22 ERA, 4 HRA, 4.6 K/9, 1.828 WHIP | HOME | (0-1), 3.42 ERA, 3 HRA, 6.1 K/9, 0.972 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| MIA BvP | MIA vs R | CHW BvP | CHW vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored CHW -200
Pitchers
- Home Dylan Axelrod is a huge favorite today and if you want a place to punt at pitcher today than he is your guy because he is a lock to get the win and MIA should help add a few Ks to his stat sheet. Normally I would say to target him but I think there are far better plays to be had today. In Play
- Away Alex Sanabia plays for MIA so it is unlikely that he will get the win. His 1.69 WHIP means that he will probably get crushed in route to another loss. Avoid
Batters
- Home Consider everyone playable from CHW but the OU is low so do not over do it.
- Away Derek Dietrich seems to be heating up again and is a cheap option.
Pittsburgh at Milwaukee
| Pittsburgh | Milwaukee | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miller Park | 2:10 PM | ||||||
| Wandy Rodriguez – (5-2), 3.4 ERA, 6.65 K/9, 1.05 WHIP | Yovani Gallardo – (3-4), 4.5 ERA, 6.67 K/9, 1.47 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (92-316 H/AB) 0.291 BA-A, 18.04 K%, 0.832 OPS-A | PvB | (39-160 H/AB) 0.244 BA-A, 22.5 K%, 0.781 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-1), 6.11 ERA, 6 HRA, 4.6 K/9, 1.642 WHIP | HOME | (2-0), 3.9 ERA, 4 HRA, 6.3 K/9, 1.3 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| PIT BvP | PIT vs R | MIL BvP | MIL vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored MIL -120
Pitchers
- Home With so many good options going why would you waste time on a player like Yovani Gallardo. He has potential so of course he has GPP upside and he should get the win today but his control has been real bad on the year. The 1.47 WHIP he is touting has not been from bad luck. PIT is batting .239 on the road, .244 versus right-handers, and .209 over the last 7 days.
- Away Wandy Rodriguez is not even close to the same pitcher on the road as he is at home. His road ERA is 6.11. These numbers have existed his whole career. It is not a good combination since MIL’s batting numbers spike at home. MIL is batting .270 at home, .261 versus left-handers, and .247 over the last 7 days. Avoid
Batters
- Home I made a big deal about MIL ability to hit lefties the last time this team faced Wandy and he shut them down but that was when he was in PIT. Expect for the bats to win out this time. Load up on the right-handed bats but even Norichika Aoki is batting over .300 versus left-handers. Either way, find a way to get Ryan Howard in your LU. He is 17-44 with 4 HRs and a 1.289 OPS versus Wandy.
- Away Neil Walker, Gaby Sanchez, and Andrew McCuthchen have positive BvPs versus Gallardo. Andrew McCutchen and Pedro Alvarez have been hot producing over 20 fp in the last week.
Oakland at Houston
| Oakland | Houston | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minute Maid Park | 2:10 PM | ||||||
| Bartolo Colon – (4-2), 4.31 ERA, 4.99 K/9, 1.1 WHIP | Dallas Keuchel – (1-1), 4.93 ERA, 5.79 K/9, 1.7 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (22-78 H/AB) 0.282 BA-A, 25.64 K%, 0.756 OPS-A | PvB | (8-27 H/AB) 0.296 BA-A, 7.41 K%, 0.815 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-2), 4.84 ERA, 5 HRA, 6.4 K/9, 1.164 WHIP | HOME | (0-1), 5.71 ERA, 4 HRA, 5.7 K/9, 1.846 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| OAK BvP | OAK vs L | HOU BvP | HOU vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored OAK -175
Pitchers
- Home Cannot I just stop writing about Astro’s pitchers. The take on them is all the same outside of Lucas Harrell. Avoid
- Away Bartolo Colon has 30 Ks in 5 starts so do think he is playable because he is facing the Astros. sure those numbers will get a bump but it is also unlikely that he shut them down so expect him to end up with a low number of fp. Avoid
Batters
- Home Matt Dominguez and Jason Castro each have 27 fp over the last week and are a nice value.
- Away Ladies and Gentlemen start your OAK stacks!
