MLB Daily Grind Down: Thursday, June 27th Part Two

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-06-27 21:10:06

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Cleveland vs. Baltimore

7:05 PM	Cleveland – ROAD					Baltimore – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.255	0.745	22.20%	0.65		0.272	0.778	17.70%	0.66
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.252	0.738	22.90%	0.50		0.276	0.787	17.50%	0.53
SP STATS	Kluber – RHP					Gonzalez – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.21	3.68	8.75	10.38		1.18	3.75	6.54	9.71
LAST 14 DAYS	1.18	1.66	6.37	14.73		0.85	2.91	5.09	11.40
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	CLE vs R		CLE BvP			BAL vs R		BAL BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 9

• Favored Team – BAL -130

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Miguel Gonzalez keeps churning out quality starts and he gets the luxury of playing for one of the league’s highest scoring offenses so he is racking up the Wins as well. He has been slightly worse at home but he is worth a look tonight with only 10 pitchers throwing. RG Start-Ability 5

• Away The same thing can be said for Corey Kluber except his offense is not quite as good. Kluber’s road ERA is about the same as Gonzalez’s home ERA and he gets more Ks so If I were to take someone from this matchup then it would probably be him. RG Start-Ability 5

Batter Grind Down

• Home Ryan Flaherty and Chris Davis have been hot for BAL. Davis, Manny Machado, and Adam Jones are all batting over .300 versus right-handers. I do not expect a ton of runs but I think everyone from BAL is playable.

• Away Jason Kipnis is out of this world hot with 42.75 fp over the last 7 days. I like the left-handed bats. Asdrubal Cabrera has 1 HR off of Gonzalez in 5 AB and should be cheap coming off of an injury.

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Toronto vs. Boston

7:10 PM	Toronto – ROAD					Boston – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.251	0.735	19.00%	0.62		0.269	0.787	21.20%	0.70
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.249	0.679	17.20%	0.39		0.281	0.821	20.20%	0.59
SP STATS	Wang – RHP					Lester – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.29	2.18	4.46	9.73		1.37	4.57	7.46	10.01
LAST 14 DAYS	1.29	2.18	4.46	9.73		2.38	9.98	8.34	5.37
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	TOR vs L		TOR BvP			BOS vs R		BOS BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 9.5

• Favored Team – BOS -170

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Jon Lester has given up 8 HRs in his past 4 starts. He has been much better at home with a 2.86 ERA but the long balls scare me a little too much. Plus, he has only had 1 quality start in his last 7 outings. RG Start-Ability 4

• Away Chien-Ming Wang can hold TEX and BAL scoreless in his last 2 starts then I am a believer in him today. BOS is the league’s highest scoring offense but they have also recorded the 3rd most Ks. It is a risky play but Wang could be in line for a nice stat line if he can control the damage. RG Start-Ability 5

Batter Grind Down

• Home David Ortiz is 16-47 with 2 HRs versus Wang. Dustin Pedroia is 5-18 versus him as well. Shane Victorino and Jacoby Ellsbury have both been hot over the last 7 days. All four of those players plus Mike Carp are batting over .300 versus right-handers.

• Away You have to like the big bats of TOR today. Edwin Encarnacion has been hot with 26.75 fp. I like the righty/lefty split of Adam Lind but consider everyone playable.

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Kansas City vs. Minnesota

8:10 PM	Kansas City – ROAD					Minnesota – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.256	0.676	17.40%	0.52		0.247	0.712	20.50%	0.56
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.248	0.659	17.50%	0.36		0.242	0.709	20.50%	0.45
SP STATS	Guthrie – RHP					Deduno – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.41	4.20	4.30	8.21		1.36	3.72	5.24	9.02
LAST 14 DAYS	1.84	6.89	0.59	2.73		1.39	4.00	6.00	8.67
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	KCR vs R		KCR BvP			MIN vs R		MIN BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 9

• Favored Team – MIN -133

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home The fact that Samuel Deduno ‘s K totals are low is not that big of a deal tonight since there are limited options. He has been really good at home so far with a 1.93 ERA and held this KAN team to 0 ER and 4 Hs over 6 IP earlier this year. RG Start-Ability 5

• Away Jeremy Guthrie did not even make it 3 IP the last time he threw. He has run into a little trouble on the road this year and is not a high K player himself. To make matters worse, MIN has a very nice .298 BAA vs him as a team. RG Start-Ability 3

Batter Grind Down

• Home Joe Mauer is 6-16 with 2 HRs versus Guthrie. Justin Morneau is 6-19 with 2 HRs. Josh Willingham is 5-12 with 1 HR. Clete Thomas has been batting leadoff and is very cheap. Oswaldo Arcia has been hot over the last 7 days.

• Away Alex Gordon is heating up and his price is really low on some sites. Billy Butler had 2 hits off of Deduno the last time they played. Salvador Perez is batting over .300 versus right-handers.

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Philadelphia vs. LA Dodgers

10:10 PM	Philadelphia – ROAD					LA Dodgers – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.251	0.708	19.80%	0.55		0.255	0.696	18.60%	0.52
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.255	0.708	19.20%	0.42		0.250	0.686	19.50%	0.40
SP STATS	Pettibone – RHP					Greinke – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.48	4.14	5.23	7.26		1.30	3.79	6.79	9.20
LAST 14 DAYS	1.63	6.91	3.83	3.03		0.95	3.60	7.20	10.67
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	PHI vs R		PHI BvP			LAD vs R		LAD BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5

• Favored Team – LAD -185

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Zack Greinke looked sharp his last time out versus the Padres. He has been very sharp at home with a 2.12 ERA and his K/9 totals go up to around 8 as well. PHI is batting .249 on the road, .253 versus right-handers and .227 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 8

• Away Jonathan Pettibone can at times pitch well but he simply does not get enough Ks to play. He has been horrible on the road with a 6.84 ERA. The potential for disaster in this play seems to high even if he did have a nice start last time out. RG Start-Ability 4

Batter Grind Down

• Home Hanley Ramirez has produced 33.25 fp over the last week. Yasiel Puig has also been hot with 20.5 fp over the last 7 days. Both those 2 players are batting over .400 versus right-handed pitching

• Away Ryan Howard and Domonic Brown have both been hot for the PHI. Howard is batting over .300 versus right-handers. Ben Revere has positive BvPs versus Greinki.

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