MLB Daily Grind Down: Tuesday, September 17th Part 3

by Ethan Haskell (Ethan) Last Updated 2013-09-17 05:05:33

Cleveland vs. Kansas City

8:10 PM	Cleveland – ROAD				Kansas City – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.253	0.732	21.10%	0.63	0.258	0.688	16.60%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.245	0.717	21.70%	0.47	0.261	0.696	17.00%	0.40
SP STATS	Kluber – RHP				Ventura – RHP
SP STATS	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.21	3.55	8.39	10.39
LAST 14 DAYS	1.30	3.60	6.30	10.50
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
BATTER SPLITS	CLE vs R		CLE BvP		KCR vs R		KCR BvP

Corey Kluber – He has a 3.11 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 3 starts against the Royals this year with 17 K’s in 20 IP. I love this as an upside/GPP play today, especially with an unknown pitcher on the opposite bump. The offense behind him is hot and he could easily pick up the W. Starter Rating: 7 out of 10
Yordano Ventura – Cleveland is red hot and I don’t know anything about this guy. Starter Rating: 0 out of 10

Alex Gordon is 3-12 with 2 HR vs. Kluber. Moose-Tacos is 4-12 with a 2B as well.
The Royals came into Monday with just a .676 team OPS over the last week, but heated up on Monday a bit vs. Kazmir
Ryan Raburn and Asdrubal Cabrera are 2 of the hottest hitters over the past week.
I don’t know much about Ventura, so roll with the hotter Cleveland bats here.

8:10 PM	Minnesota – ROAD				Chicago White Sox – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.241	0.698	22.20%	0.54	0.251	0.683	19.30%	0.51
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.253	0.706	22.80%	0.42	0.251	0.682	19.50%	0.39
SP STATS	Pelfrey – RHP				Quintana – LHP
SP STATS	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.53	5.31	5.70	6.23	1.23	3.56	7.48	9.51
LAST 14 DAYS	1.89	12.00	9.00	3.00	1.13	2.40	6.60	7.33
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
BATTER SPLITS	MIN vs L		MIN BvP		CHW vs R		CHW BvP

Mike Pelfrey – ERA is 12 over the last 14 days and the White Sox exploded on Monday for double digit runs. Starter Rating: 2 out of 10
Jose Quintana – Quintana draws one of the league’s least worrisome offenses at home, where he has a 3.38 ERA and 7.6 K/9 rate. He’s been strong over the last 14 days and again, there aren’t a ton of “guaranteed” options at SP tonight, so he’s worth a look. Starter Rating: 7 out of 10

Pelfrey allows lefties to a .788 OPS and .796 OPS to righties. He’s been bad.
Adam Dunn went deep on Monday (props to DB730 for calling it) and is 9-36 with 3 HR off Pelfrey. Konerko is 5-8 with a double
Josh Willingham is 5-10 with 2 HRs off Quintana. He’s also 5 for his last 12 with 2 homers. I like him as a GPP target today

8:40 PM	St. Louis – ROAD				Colorado – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.272	0.743	17.90%	0.61	0.264	0.735	19.80%	0.60
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.277	0.747	17.70%	0.47	0.268	0.748	19.70%	0.48
SP STATS	Kelly – RHP				Nicasio – RHP
SP STATS	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.42	2.87	6.10	5.18	1.41	4.58	6.67	7.61
LAST 14 DAYS	1.47	2.65	6.88	11.00	1.36	1.64	6.55	8.50
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
BATTER SPLITS	STL vs R		STL BvP		COL vs R		COL BvP

Joe Kelly – Mediocre pitcher in Coors. Pass. Starter Rating: 3 out of 10
Juan Nicasio – When he’s good, he’s really good and can strike a ton of hitters out. But when he’s bad he is REALLY bad. I don’t trust the Rockies to hold back this STL offense for consecutive nights in Coors. Starter Rating: 4 out of 10

The O/U is set at 10 in this game, I like it to hit that and more.
Yadier Molina is one of the catchers worth paying up for today. He has a .350 wOBA vs. RHP and .378 wOBA on the road.
Nicasio has allowed righties to hit .295 with an .802 OPS against. Holliday is another solid Cards bat on top of Molina.
Right handers are hitting .288 off Kelly, but not with a ton of pop. That can change in Coors though so seriously consider Cuddyer for a couple of doubles and Tulo with a great chance to go deep
DJ LeMahieu has been really good over the past couple of months and hits right handers well

9:40 PM	LA Dodgers – ROAD				Arizona – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.266	0.723	18.40%	0.56	0.259	0.717	18.30%	0.56
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.256	0.708	19.40%	0.43	0.258	0.717	18.50%	0.45
SP STATS	Greinke – RHP				Corbin – LHP
SP STATS	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.15	2.74	7.47	12.01	1.09	2.92	7.63	12.28
LAST 14 DAYS	1.00	1.89	9.95	13.33	1.52	4.19	6.13	9.03
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
BATTER SPLITS	LAD vs L		LAD BvP		ARI vs R		ARI BvP

Zack Greinke – Pitcher’s duel! His ERA is a tiny 1.29 against the Dbacks this season and he’s been one of the most consistent pitchers of the last month. I love this play, but getting the W could be a challenge against Corbin. Starter Rating: 8 out of 10
Patrick Corbin – Corbin has been much better at home, with a 2.21 ERA and about 8 K/9 but he’s struggled a bit in recent history. He hasn’t been great vs. LAD either, including allowing 8 hits in 6 1/3 IP in his last start. I like the play, but don’t love it. Starter Rating: 7 out of 10

The O/U is a little higher than expected, sitting at 8.
Miguel Montero is 4-11 with a HR off Greinke. Parra is 4-13 as well
If HanRam plays, he’s been hot. He is 12 for his last 34 with 3 HR. He also has a .457 wOBA against lefties.

10:07 PM	LA Angels – ROAD				Oakland – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.263	0.743	18.90%	0.61	0.244	0.718	19.40%	0.59
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.270	0.753	19.10%	0.48	0.250	0.730	19.00%	0.48
SP STATS	Richards – RHP				Gray – RHP
SP STATS	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.31	3.91	6.42	4.39	1.04	2.63	9.56	10.78
LAST 14 DAYS	1.43	2.41	7.42	13.40	1.15	2.77	9.69	13.50
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
BATTER SPLITS	LAA vs R		LAA BvP		OAK vs R		OAK BvP

Garrett Richards – Three straight solid performances against decent to good offenses (TBR, TEX and TOR). Now he gets the A’s who are on fire in the month of September. They’re hitting .309 with 11 HR over the last 7 days and that is enough to scare me away from even stud pitchers. Starter Rating: 5 out of 10
Sonny Gray – In a small sample, Gray has a 1.21 ERA at home with over 10 K/9. The kid is the real deal and throws a ton of pitches, unlike a lot of younger arms. He can go deep in the game and gets an Angels offense that has seemingly quit on this season. Starter Rating: 8 out of 10

Lefties have fared decently against Richards, hitting .280 against. I like Crisp, Lowrie, Moss, Reddick and Smith for the Athletics.
Cespedes is 2-6 with 2 XBH and Moss is 3-7 with an XBH off Richards in small samples.
Chris Iannetta is 13 for his last 33 with 4 HR
Josh Donaldson is 8 for his last 18 with 2 HRs. Moss and Reddick have also been in the top-25 hottest hitters of the last week