MLB Daily Grind Down: Wednesday, September 11th Part 2

by Ethan Haskell (Ethan) Last Updated 2013-09-11 04:16:59

NY Yankees vs. Baltimore

7:05 PM	NY Yankees – ROAD					Baltimore – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.246	0.685	19.40%	0.55		0.264	0.755	18.10%	0.63
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.244	0.687	19.70%	0.41		0.251	0.708	19.10%	0.44
SP STATS	Pettitte – LHP					Feldman – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.40	4.03	6.28	9.04		1.16	3.54	6.46	10.00
LAST 14 DAYS	1.16	2.37	6.63	10.67		0.81	0.56	4.50	13.50
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	NYY vs R		NYY BvP			BAL vs L		BAL BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Andy Pettitte – Pettitte has had moderate success vs. BAL this year with a 3.5 ERA (same as his road ERA). He’s been better of late but doesn’t strike out enough guys to be more than an SP2. Starter Rating: 4 out of 10
• Scott Feldman – A number of Yankees have great splits against Feldman and although he’s been really good in his past few starts, I can’t recommend him against a HR-happy NYY lineup. Starter Rating: 4 out of 10

Batter Grind Down

• Morse is 4-9 and Jones is 8-23 off Pettitte for BAL.
• Righties are hitting .315 off Pettitte this year so any Baltimore right hander should be in play. I especially like Hardy and Wieters for good value.
• Grandy is 6-17 with 3 HR off of Feldman. I love that play this evening.
• Jeter also has 2 HR off Feldman in 20 ABs.

LA Angels vs. Toronto

7:07 PM	LA Angels – ROAD					Toronto – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.263	0.743	18.90%	0.61		0.252	0.733	18.00%	0.62
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.270	0.753	18.80%	0.48		0.244	0.685	18.10%	0.42
SP STATS	Wilson – LHP					Dickey – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.38	3.42	7.88	11.55		1.27	4.29	6.99	10.13
LAST 14 DAYS	1.63	4.58	5.23	8.73		1.29	2.61	7.13	14.07
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	LAA vs R		LAA BvP			TOR vs L		TOR BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• C.J. Wilson – Wilson has been one of the few bright spots for LAA this year, and his K-rate on the road is almost 1 per inning pitched. He threw well in his only other game against Toronto and with the depleted lineup that the Jays are putting out, he’s an above average play today. Starter Rating: 7 out of 10
• R.A. Dickey – 5.21 ERA at home. Sorry but I just don’t think that Knuckleball can knuck in a dome. Avoid. Starter Rating: 2 out of 10

Batter Grind Down

• I’m avoiding Toronto bats but Adam Lind and Edwin Encarnacion both have HRs off Wilson in 13 and 14 ABs respectively.
• Dickey is allowing a HR every 20 ABs to lefties and a .779 OPS against. Really like Hamilton tonight in that dome.
• Mike Trout came into Monday hitting .417 over the last 2 weeks and is absolutely worth paying up for tonight.

Boston vs. Tampa Bay

7:10 PM	Boston – ROAD					Tampa Bay – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.273	0.780	20.40%	0.68		0.262	0.748	18.70%	0.62
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.282	0.807	20.20%	0.56		0.253	0.739	18.70%	0.49
SP STATS	Dempster – RHP					Cobb – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.46	4.79	8.24	9.23		1.19	2.99	8.20	11.78
LAST 14 DAYS	1.32	5.11	8.93	12.55		1.21	3.86	7.71	10.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	BOS vs R		BOS BvP			TBR vs R		TBR BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Ryan Dempster – Dempster is awful and the return of Buchholz last night probably means he’s heading towards the bullpen after this start or the next. The only solace is that this Rays team can’t hit the broad side of a barn, having scored just 22 runs in the last week. Starter Rating: 4 out of 10
• Alex Cobb – Cobb is a decent favorite at -134 but I still wouldn’t play him against an offense that came into Monday night hitting .341 over the last week. Starter Rating: 5 out of 10

Batter Grind Down

• Longo is 2-8 with a HR off Dempster but Johnson, Loney, Escobar and Joyce have all struggled in small-ish samples.
• Dempster has allowed righties to an .856 OPS with a whopping 16 HRs allowed in 285 ABs.
• Shane Victorino is 3-8 with 2 doubles against Cobb.
• Middlebrooks could be a great value if he’s still middle priced on your favorite site. He came into Monday hitting .480 with 4 HRs over the last week.

Washington vs. NY Mets

7:10 PM	Washington – ROAD					NY Mets – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.247	0.700	20.20%	0.54		0.239	0.683	22.20%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.253	0.711	20.10%	0.44		0.237	0.679	22.00%	0.41
SP STATS	Haren – RHP					Wheeler – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.31	5.23	8.05	8.19		1.34	3.38	7.67	10.53
LAST 14 DAYS	3.27	19.06	13.85	0.60		1.22	2.95	6.46	9.70
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	WSN vs R		WSN BvP			NYM vs R		NYM BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Dan Haren – Haren had golden opportunities in his last 2 starts vs. NYM and MIA and stunk up the joint. I’m done rolling the dice on him and you should be too. Starter Rating: 1 out of 10
• Zack Wheeler – Wheeler might be getting a little fatigued, having K’d just 6 hitters in his last 2 starts. He threw OK in a recent start vs. WAS and the O/U of 7.5 means Vegas expects this to be low scoring. He’s in play in GPPs. Starter Rating: 6 out of 10

Batter Grind Down

• Daniel Murphy is 4-12 with a HR off Haren.
• Haren’s OPS vs. righties is .831. It’s .754 against lefties. He’s been really bad and HR-prone.
• I really like Lucas Duda from the left side tonight against Haren as a “gut call”
• Denard Span is 4-6 off Wheeler, but all Nats have limited exposure to the young righty.
• Wilson Ramos is 7 for his last 22 with 3 HRs and had the biggest salary increase across all sites (on average) of any catcher from Tuesday to Wednesday.

Atlanta vs. Miami

7:10 PM	Atlanta – ROAD					Miami – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.252	0.731	22.40%	0.59		0.231	0.623	19.80%	0.43
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.253	0.737	22.60%	0.48		0.226	0.634	21.30%	0.35
SP STATS	Minor – LHP					Fernandez – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.06	3.06	8.14	11.86		0.98	2.23	9.92	12.97
LAST 14 DAYS	0.79	3.86	9.64	11.50		0.62	1.38	11.77	16.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	ATL vs R		ATL BvP			MIA vs L		MIA BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Mike Minor – Don’t look now but the Marlins have the 10th best team batting average over the past week and have a few guys who can really hit lefties well. Minor has been up and down in 5 appearances against them, his most recent being last week when he went 7 IP with 6 Ks and 4 ER. I like the play, but don’t love it. Starter Rating: 7 out of 10
• Jose Fernandez – I’ve reached a point where I am willing to play Fernandez at most price points against any opponent. He’s been stellar at home, averaging 15.3 FPPG and with J-Upton getting injured on Tuesday night he may see a weaker Braves lineup. Starter Rating: 9 out of 10

Batter Grind Down

• Justin Ruggiano CRUSHES Minor, with 2 HR and 7 hits in 17 ABs against. Giancarlo is just 3-16 but all 3 of his hits have been HRs.
• Giancarlo is hot, boasting a 1.146 OPS over the last 7 days.
• Freeman has a HR in 3 ABs against Fernandez, but like I said above, I’m targeting Jose and avoiding ATL tonight.

Grind Down: Page 2 – Page 3