MLB Daily Grind Down: Wednesday, September 4th Part 2

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2013-09-04 17:07:33

San Francisco vs. San Diego

6:40 PM	San Francisco – ROAD					San Diego – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.259	0.692	16.90%	0.51		0.247	0.693	20.90%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.255	0.670	17.20%	0.36		0.244	0.677	20.80%	0.39
SP STATS	Lincecum – RHP					Stults – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.32	4.38	9.16	10.49		1.26	3.81	5.63	8.61
LAST 14 DAYS	1.74	4.41	7.83	10.03		1.43	5.40	5.63	5.60
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	SFG vs L		SFG BvP			SDP vs R		SDP BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Tim Lincecum – The last time that Lincecum faced the Padres in Petco, he threw about 200 pitches and ended up with a no-hitter. That’s not bad, not bad at all. Lincecum has pitched well lately and should be taken with confidence today. Starter Rating = 8

• Eric Stults – I think today is a day to take both pitchers from this game. Stults is a very good pitcher at home with a 2.63 ERA on the season. He’s struggled a bit against SF this season, but the Giants aren’t great against lefties. Starter Rating = 6

Batter Grind Down

SF – I think Stults pitches a good game today, but Buster Posey is always in play against lefties. The pitcher’s park doesn’t affect his value too much because he doesn’t hit a ton of HR’s.

SD – After they couldn’t get a single hit off of Lincecum the last time they faced him, I don’t want to have anything to do with these bats.

Washington vs. Philadelphia

7:05 PM	Washington – ROAD					Philadelphia – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.247	0.700	20.20%	0.54		0.248	0.694	19.90%	0.52
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.253	0.711	20.10%	0.44		0.254	0.702	19.60%	0.41
SP STATS	Zimmermann – RHP					Halladay – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.11	3.33	6.77	11.34		1.44	7.94	7.58	6.12
LAST 14 DAYS	1.24	5.75	8.06	9.70		1.36	5.73	2.45	5.50
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	WSN vs R		WSN BvP			PHI vs R		PHI BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Jordan Zimmermann – Zimmerman has seen his ERA slowly creep up as the season has gone along. He always seems to have one bad inning that ends up costing him. I don’t love the matchup today against the Phillies whose offense hasn’t been bad over the last month. They have some talented lefties to face Zimmerman. Starter Rating = 5

• Roy Halladay – Halladay hasn’t looked much better since coming back from injury. He just gave up 5 earned runs to the Cubs in his last start. Until he shows that he can still pitch, stay away. Starter Rating = 2

Batter Grind Down

WAS – The Nationals have finally found some offense. They are on a roll right now and a matchup with Halladay shouldn’t slow them down. Ryan Zimmerman and Bryce Harper are two solid plays.

PHI – I don’t necessarily love any individual Phillies bat, but they have Utley, Asche, Ruiz, Brown, and Ruf who have all been good against righties.

Baltimore vs. Cleveland

7:05 PM	Baltimore – ROAD					Cleveland – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.264	0.755	18.10%	0.63		0.253	0.732	21.10%	0.63
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.271	0.777	17.70%	0.53		0.263	0.751	19.90%	0.49
SP STATS	Britton – LHP					McAllister – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.65	4.76	3.18	6.00		1.36	3.81	6.82	9.06
LAST 14 DAYS						1.35	4.15	6.84	10.03
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	BAL vs R		BAL BvP			CLE vs L		CLE BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Zach Britton – Britton has not been able to find success in the majors. He pitches well in the minors but always seems to struggle when he gets the nod in the majors. I don’t think you will be sorry for not taking him today. Starter Rating = 3

• Zach McAllister – McAllister has actually been pretty good at home this season with a 3.48 ERA, but the general rule of thumb is to stay away from pitchers facing the Orioles, especially right hand pitchers. This is a game to target the hitters, not the pitchers. Starter Rating = 3

Batter Grind Down

BAL – Chris Davis, Adam Jones, Nate McLouth, and Nick Markakis are all really good against right hand pitching. Oh, and don’t let me forget about Manny Machado and Matt Wieters.

CLE – The Indians have a lot of left handed bats that will have to face the dreaded lefty/lefty matchup, but I do like the Indians that can bat from the right side. That would be Carlos Santana and Nick Swisher.

Chicago White Sox vs. NY Yankees

7:05 PM	Chicago White Sox – ROAD					NY Yankees – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.251	0.683	19.30%	0.51		0.246	0.685	19.40%	0.55
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.243	0.656	19.10%	0.37		0.244	0.687	19.70%	0.41
SP STATS	Johnson – RHP					Sabathia – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON						1.35	4.91	7.67	10.25
LAST 14 DAYS						1.33	6.00	8.25	9.50
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	CHW vs L		CHW BvP			NYY vs R		NYY BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Erik Johnson – Johnson is also making his first career start today after being called up from the minors. In the minors, Johnson has been very impressive with an ERA under 2 and a K rate of almost 9 per 9 innings. As always, I’m taking a wait and see approach, his nerves are going to be going crazy. Starter Rating = 2

• CC Sabathia – Sabathia hasn’t been good since he lost all of that weight and he hasn’t even really been on my radar. But I like the matchup against the White Sox, especially considering the fact that the opposing pitcher is a rookie making his first ever start. I think he surprises some people in this one. Starter Rating = 8

Batter Grind Down

CWS – The White Sox are not a great hitting team against lefties as they only have a .247 batting average as a team against them. I’m all about Sabathia today.

NYY – The value of the Yankee bats completely depends on how you feel about rookies making their debuts. If you are like me, I like to avoid the situation altogether or maybe take a hitter or two. Some people like to load up the bats against them. It’s up to you, but Robinson Cano and Brett Gardner both get the lefty/righty matchup and Soriano has been red hot.

Detroit vs. Boston

7:10 PM	Detroit – ROAD					Boston – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.282	0.785	16.90%	0.65		0.273	0.780	20.40%	0.68
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.286	0.787	16.30%	0.52		0.282	0.807	20.20%	0.56
SP STATS	Porcello – RHP					Dempster – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.30	4.44	6.75	8.85		1.46	4.75	8.15	9.08
LAST 14 DAYS	1.35	5.29	6.88	9.33		1.31	4.26	7.38	12.10
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	DET vs R		DET BvP			BOS vs R		BOS BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Rick Porcello – Porcello is a pitcher that I often like to take on multiple pitcher sites because his price is always so cheap and he is always a big favorite. But today is a different story, taking any pitcher against the Sox in Fenway is risky, taking Porcello against the Sox in Fenway is just dumb. Starter Rating = 2

• Ryan Dempster – Dempster has a decent K rate, but does not have a favorable matchup against Detroit, especially if Miggy is in the lineup. Starter Rating = 3

Batter Grind Down

DET – Austin Jackson has been playing much better than he did the first half of the season. I like him a lot today against Dempster who gives up a ton of hits. I also like Victor Martinez who has been racking up the hits.

BOS – This is one of those days where all of the Red Sox are in play. Porcello has a high ERA that is about to get highers. Good spot to stack if you are so inclined to do so.

Grind Down: Page 2 – Page 3