Best Chiefs vs. Chargers Player Prop Bets for Thursday Night Football
What kind of performances can we expect from Justin Herbert, Keenan Allen, Patrick Mahomes, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire on Thursday Night Football? Follow along as our NFL betting expert breaks down his four favorite prop bets for the Chiefs vs. Chargers. Not in a state with legal sports betting? Get a $100 deposit bonus at PrizePicks and start winning cash on NFL player props now!
The Kansas City Chiefs and the Los Angeles Chargers will kick off Week 15 of the NFL season on Thursday night at Sofi Stadium. Entering play, these two AFC West teams are separated by merely one game in the division standings. Following a disappointing start to the campaign, Kansas City has won six consecutive games. Los Angeles has won back-to-back contests as improved health propels their playoff push.
Oddsmakers expect a tightly-contested matchup between the two rivals as they try to improve their postseason chances, pricing the Chiefs as three-point favorites on the spread. As we approach kickoff, the value on the spread and the total has been reduced compared to its opening market price. Instead of forcing action on saturated markets, those betting on Thursday Night Football may find more expected value by perusing player props across online sportsbooks.
Read more: Chiefs vs Chargers Odds
Chief vs. Chargers Player Props
Justin Herbert u287.5 Pass Yard, BetMGM
PrizePicks: O/U 279.5 Yards
This line is understandably high considering that Justin Herbert has thrown for at least 275 yards in four consecutive games, including three performances of 303 yards or more. Still, this could be too high of a number tonight for a couple of reasons. For one, the Chiefs defense has been much-improved of late, holding three straight opponents to nine points or less, and six consecutive opponents to 17 points or less. Further, the main weakness of this Kansas City defense is not through the air–it is on the ground. Only five teams are allowing more yards-per-carry this fall than the Chiefs. A run-heavy offensive attack could keep Herbert under this number.
Note: If you prefer the over, then your best odds by far are at PrizePicks where Herbert’s passing prop is 279.5
Patrick Mahomes o280.5 Pass Yards, FanDuel
PrizePicks: O/U 271.5 Yards
I have been a vehement critic of Patrick Mahomes this season, and I remain skeptical of his reputation as a God-like figure in the NFL landscape. Still, Mahomes’ arm-talent is undeniable, and he still plays behind one of the best offensive lines in the NFL, throwing to two of the best pass catchers in the entire league. Mahomes has only hit this threshold once in his last seven games, but he has an opportunity for some large gains this evening against a Los Angeles secondary unit that has severe matchup disadvantages on the outside. Take the over in this spot.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire o55. 5 Rush Yards, PointsBet
PrizePicks: 53.5 Yards
Similar to the Chiefs, the Chargers struggle mightily against the run. Only the Pittsburgh Steelers are allowing more yards-per-carry on the ground this fall. Clyde Edwards-Helaire is far from an elite talent at the running back position, but running behind an elite offensive line, coupled with the fact that he has a tremendously favorable matchup should result in a nice final statistical line for him this evening. Take the over on his rushing prop.
Keenan Allen u75.5 Receiving Yards, Caesars
PrizePicks: 70.5 Yards
Allen did not play last week due to a COVID-related issue. His return to the field in Week 15 is not going to be an easy one. Allen figures to be shadowed for the majority of this contest by Rashad Fenton, who Pro Football Focus has graded as the third-best cornerback in 2021. Factor in that Allen could be dealing with some lingering issues concerning COVID and this becomes a high number for him to reach tonight.
Image Credit: Imagn