Best Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Bets
What kind of performances can prop bettors expect from Tyler Boyd, Joe Mixon, Joe Burrow, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire in Sunday’s AFC Championship game? Follow along as NFL betting analyst Nick Galaida breaks down his four favorite Bengals vs. Chiefs player props. Not in a state with legal sports betting? Sign up at PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy to start winning cash on NFL player props tonight!
On Sunday afternoon, the Cincinnati Bengals and the Kansas City Chiefs will battle at Arrowhead Stadium with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line. Cincinnati survived by a thread in the Wild Card round against the Las Vegas Raiders, and then took advantage of a few costly Tennessee Titans turnovers in the Divisional Round to get to this point. Kansas City easily handled the Pittsburgh Steelers to begin their postseason run, but needed overtime to emerge victorious against the Buffalo Bills. In this highly anticipated matchup, oddsmakers are expecting the Bengals’ luck to run out–pricing the Chiefs as 7.5-point home favorites on the spread.
As we approach kickoff, the value on the spread and the total has been reduced compared to its opening market price. Instead of forcing action on saturated markets, bettors may find more expected value on player props for this postseason affair.
Best Bengals vs. Chiefs Prop Bets
Tyler Boyd o39.5 receiving yards (-114)
PrizePicks: 36.5 yards
We recommended Tyler Boyd last week in what we anticipated to be an extremely favorable matchup for all three Cincinnati wide receivers. We were not entirely misguided, considering that both Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase had 96 receiving yards or more. Yet, Boyd was a forgotten man in the offense in a low-scoring affair. In the AFC Championship, we expect far more looks for Boyd. He has arguably the best matchup of any wide receiver on the field against L’Jarius Sneed. In what could be a negative game script for the Bengals, Boyd should be able to hit this number on Sunday.
Joe Mixon o55.5 rushing yards (-115)
PrizePicks: 51.5 yards
Only the Pittsburgh Steelers allowed more yards-per-carry this fall than the Chiefs. This group has shown little improvement over the course of the season defending the run, as they have allowed 4.7 yards-per-carry since Week 10. Other than Chris Jones and Melvin Ingram III, the personnel for the Chiefs is poorly equipped to slow down opposing rushing attacks. Joe Mixon totaled 48 rushing yards against the Las Vegas Raiders and 54 rushing yards against the Tennessee Titans–both of which have much better run defenses than the Chiefs. Expect Mixon to have a strong performance this weekend. Take the over.
Joe Burrow u290.5 passing yards (-114)
PrizePicks: 280.5 yards
Last week, Josh Allen threw for 329 passing yards against this Chiefs defense. However, Tyrann Mathieu was forced to exit the game with a concussion, leaving the secondary unit in shambles for the majority of the contest. Buffalo also lacks a stable rushing attack, which forces them to pass more than the average team. Though the Bengals have arguably the most talented collection of pass catchers in the NFL with Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and “(player-popup #tyler-boyd)Tyler Boyd”:/players/tyler-boyd-35418–they also have a superb running back who is capable of eating some yards on the ground. This number is too high for Burrow, especially considering the talent of Rashad Fenton and Charvarius Ward as Kansas City’s top two cornerbacks. Take the under.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire To Score 2+ Touchdowns (+850)
*PrizePicks: N/A
Last week, Clyde Edwards-Helaire received only seven carries, but he turned those opportunities into 60 rushing yards. Against the Las Vegas Raiders in December, Edwards-Helaire scored twice on the ground, despite receiving only 10 carries for the game. At +850, this is obviously not a spot to bet the house, but Edwards-Helaire could see a few chances on the goal line in a game in which there should be plenty of points scored. There are worse longshots to consider for bettors.
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