MLB Player Props Today: Bellinger, Wisdom, Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (April 11)
What kind of performances can we expect on Dinger Tuesday from Cody Bellinger, Patrick Wisdom, and Julio Rodriguez? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down his three favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for April 11 on the diamond.
Happy Dinger Tuesday! Each week, we will bring you our two favorite leans for Dinger Tuesday for those participating in the FanDuel sportsbook promotion. For those unfamiliar, “upon placing an eligible wager, you will get a $5 bonus in bonus bets for each home run both teams hit in the game, up to a max bonus of $25 per game. For full details on the promotion, you can read the description on the offer in your FanDuel account.
Today’s 15-game slate will begin with a matchup between the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians at 6:10 p.m. EST. Below are three leans for April 11 as we look to sustain our good fortune on dingers in this article after hitting Austin Riley (+340) last week!
MLB Prop Bets Results – Monthly
April: 11-10
March: 2-1
MLB Props Results – Wager Type
1st Inning: 0-2
Dinger Tuesday: 1-1
Outs Recorded: 4-1
Hit/Total Bases: 0-2
Stolen Base: 0-0
Strikeout: 8-4
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MLB Player Props Today
- Cody Bellinger to hit a home run
- Patrick Wisdom to hit a home run
- Julio Rodriguez more than 1.5 total bases
Cody Bellinger to hit a home run (+350), FanDuel
In 2022, Cody Bellinger ranked 92nd in home runs per plate appearance out of 277 batters with at least 300 trips to the batter’s box in 2022. However, his ranking was driven down significantly because he had only two home runs in 160 plate appearances against southpaws. When facing right-handed pitching, Bellinger had 17 home runs in 390 plate appearances – a 4.4% home run rate. Against right-handed pitching, Bellinger had a fly ball rate of 50.4%. He made weak contact only 15.1% of the time that he put the ball in play. The winds are blowing out today at Wrigley Field and Bellinger has an extremely favorable matchup against Chris Flexen, who rarely gets anyone to swing and miss. At significant plus money, this is a worthwhile risk for bettors.
Patrick Wisdom to hit a home run (+300), FanDuel
Last year, Patrick Wisdom ranked 35th in home runs per plate appearances out of 277 batters with at least 300 trips to the batter’s box. On the season, he ranked in the 93rd percentile in barrel rate, indicating that he had an optimal swing path for a home run on a frequent basis when he was able to make contact. Against right-handed pitching specifically, he had a 50.7% fly ball rate, hitting 15 home runs. He had a 12.2% barrel rate or higher against fastballs, offspeed offerings, and breaking pitches last year – meaning that he has the potential to do damage with anything that is thrown at him. The main risk here is that Wisdom swings and misses more than any player in the league. This is a high-risk, high-reward prop – allocate your investment accordingly.
MLB DFS Pick’em
Julio Rodriguez more than 1.5 total bases, PrizePicks
Julio Rodriguez is not off to a blistering start in 2023, but he is still batting .265 and has six extra-base hits in his first 54 plate appearances. Like last season, Rodriguez has been slightly better against right-handed pitching, particularly from a power perspective. In 2022, Rodriguez had a .233 ISO and a .519 slugging percentage against right-handed pitching compared to a .200 ISO and a .475 slugging percentage against left-handed pitching. Expect him to do damage tonight on an evening when the weather conditions are extremely hitter-friendly at Wrigley Field.
Check out more DFS sites with Fantasy baseball pick’em like Boom Fantasy.