Best MLB Player Props Today | Top MLB Player Prop Picks on Polymarket (Sept 1)

by Zach Parkes (zachparkes)

Created Sep 1, 2026

Last Updated 2026-09-01 17:09:05

Tuesday’s slate is loaded with storylines: the Cubs just set an NL record with 62 home runs in August and punctuated it with a nine-homer barrage against the division-leading Brewers, the Dodgers are locking down a playoff seed against a fading Cardinals club, and the Yankees try to answer an ugly loss to the last-place Angels. This breakdown rounds up the best MLB player props today across five games, from Wrigley Field to Dodger Stadium, along with our best MLB player prop picks for the day’s marquee matchups.

Every price below comes straight off the Polymarket board, along with the current Polymarket promo code: GRINDERS, which allows new users to Deposit $10, Get a $50 Trading Bonus!

Best MLB Player Props Today

Below you’ll find the best MLB player props today for each of the five games on the board, sorted by contract price, plus a screenshot-driven editor’s pick for every matchup. Home run and hit props are trimmed to the top five names by Yes price so you can see exactly where the market is leaning. You can also browse the full prediction market odds board if you want to shop lines beyond what’s covered here.

Best Home Run Pick Today (Editor’s Pick)

We’re taking a position on Alex Bregman going deep against the Nationals… wait, against the Cubs’ own pitching staff, that is, in the rematch window after Monday’s onslaught. Bregman just hit three home runs in the series opener and sits at 17 percent to go deep again, and with Chicago’s lineup swinging this hot behind him, we like the market undervaluing another multi-homer look. He’s traded at 17¢ on the Yes side.

We put $100 into this contract at an average price of 17¢, which works out to roughly 588 shares purchased. Each share is worth $1 if the market resolves Yes.

• If Bregman hits a home run: those shares pay out in full, turning $100 into a total return of roughly $560 in profit on the ticket.
• If he doesn’t: the full $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.

That’s better than 5-to-1 upside on a player who’s currently red-hot, though a single home run in a single game is never a lock no matter how good the recent form looks.

Brewers vs Cubs

Milwaukee (85-53) still owns the best record in baseball, but Chicago (78-60) just gained ground with a franchise record-tying nine-homer, 17-3 blowout Monday behind three bombs from Bregman. Robert Gasser starts for the Brewers against Matthew Boyd on the mound for the Cubs.

Home Run Props (ranked Yes price, most to least likely)

Arranging the board from most to least likely, Seiya Suzuki leads the way after a hot stretch at the plate, with the rest of the Cubs and Brewers sluggers bunched closely behind him.

• Seiya Suzuki (1+ HR: Yes 24%, No 77%): Suzuki has climbed four points on this contract and sits atop the board after Chicago’s power surge.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong (1+ HR: Yes 22%, No 23%): Crow-Armstrong sat out Monday’s barrage but remains squarely in the mix given his pop from the leadoff spot.
• Jackson Chourio (1+ HR: Yes 22%, No 79%): Chourio’s price ticked up slightly as Milwaukee looks to answer back in this series.
• Alex Bregman (1+ HR: Yes 17%, No 84%): Bregman’s price reflects Monday’s three-homer explosion carrying into this next look.
• William Contreras (1+ HR: Yes 17%, No 84%): Contreras dipped slightly but stays in the same tier as his new teammate atop the Brewers lineup.

Hit Props (ranked Yes price, most to least likely)

Sorting hits from most to least likely, Pete Crow-Armstrong tops the board on the strength of his all-around contact skills.

• Pete Crow-Armstrong (1+ Hit: Yes 71%, No 33%): Crow-Armstrong gained a point and leads every hitter in this game on the hits market.
• Brice Turang (1+ Hit: Yes 70%, No 34%): Turang dropped six points but remains a strong bet to reach base given his contact rate atop Milwaukee’s order.
• Seiya Suzuki (1+ Hit: Yes 67%, No 71%): Suzuki’s hot power stretch has come with more contact overall, keeping this price elevated.
• Andrew Vaughn (1+ Hit: Yes 66%, No 73%): Vaughn slots in as a steady everyday bat for the Cubs against Milwaukee’s rotation.
• Alex Bregman (1+ Hit: Yes 65%, No 68%): Bregman’s price here trails his home run number but still reflects a hitter seeing the ball well right now.

Strikeout Props

Only the two probable starters are priced for strikeouts in this one, and both sit in a similar range.

• Matthew Boyd (5+ strikeouts: Yes 44%, No 59%): Boyd’s number dropped eight points, a sign the market expects Milwaukee’s lineup to make more contact against him this time.
• Robert Gasser (4+ strikeouts: Yes 60%, No 43%): Gasser is the more heavily favored arm to hit his strikeout mark, even after a three-point dip.

Best Hit Pick Today (Editor’s Pick)

We’re backing Dillon Dingler to log at least one hit against Detroit on Tuesday. The Tigers’ rotation has been getting hit hard all series, and Dingler has been a steady contact bat in the middle of Minnesota’s order, which is why this Yes contract sits at 70¢ even after dropping six points off its earlier high.

We put $100 into this one at an average price of 70¢, good for roughly 143 shares. Each share pays $1 if Dingler records a hit.

• If Dingler gets a hit: the shares cash for a total return of roughly $140 in profit.
• If he’s held hitless: the entire $100 stake is gone, since these contracts settle all-or-nothing.

It’s a shorter payout multiple than a home run swing, but the higher hit probability makes it a lower-variance way to put money to work on this slate.

Tigers vs Twins

Detroit (63-73) dropped the series opener 11-1 behind two homers from Ryan Jeffers and a dominant start from Taj Bradley, and the Tigers have gone just 2-8 over their last ten games. Minnesota (65-72) sends Jackson Jobe‘s staff a step closer to salvaging the year against Troy Melton on the mound for Detroit.

Home Run Props (ranked Yes price, most to least likely)

Kody Clemens tops this home run board, with Dingler and Spencer Torkelson close behind after Monday’s slugfest.

• Kody Clemens (1+ HR: Yes 17%, No 85%): Clemens sits atop this list even after dipping less than a point.
• Dillon Dingler (1+ HR: Yes 16%, No 88%): Dingler’s power number trails his hit price but still places him near the top of this board.
• Spencer Torkelson (1+ HR: Yes 14%, No 88%): Torkelson dropped a sharp 20 points, reflecting how much Monday’s blowout shifted the market’s read on Detroit’s power bats.
• Josh Bell (1+ HR: Yes 13%, No 88%): Bell gained two points as Minnesota’s designated hitter role keeps producing pop.
• Royce Lewis (1+ HR: Yes 10%, No 13%): Lewis rounds out the top five after a quieter power showing of late.

Hit Props (ranked Yes price, most to least likely)

Brooks Lee, Dingler, and Kevin McGonigle are bunched at the top of this hit market after a combined outburst in the series opener.

• Dillon Dingler (1+ Hit: Yes 70%, No 33%): Dingler leads this tier and is the day’s featured hit pick above for good reason.
• Kevin McGonigle (1+ Hit: Yes 70%, No 33%): McGonigle matches Dingler’s price after a strong showing in the young infielder’s recent run.
• Brooks Lee (1+ Hit: Yes 69%, No 34%): Lee dropped five points but still ranks among the safest contact bets on this board.
• Gleyber Torres (1+ Hit: Yes 68%, No 35%): Torres continues to be a steady table-setter for Detroit even amid the team’s slide.
• Kody Clemens (1+ Hit: Yes 67%, No 36%): Clemens rounds out the top five after a four-point dip off his earlier price.

Strikeout Props

Only one starter is actively priced for strikeouts in this game.

• Troy Melton (5+ strikeouts: Yes 41%, No 43%): Melton has struggled lately, allowing as many earned runs over his last two outings as he had in his previous ten starts combined, which keeps this number in a fairly even range.

Best Home Run Pick Today (Editor’s Pick)

We’re making this trade tonight: Matt Olson to leave the yard against Washington. Atlanta’s first baseman has been the engine of the league’s best record since late spring, and even at 27¢ this remains one of the shorter home run prices on the entire slate, a reflection of how often the market expects him to connect.

We put $100 into this contract at an average price of 27¢, which comes out to roughly 370 shares. Each share is worth $1 if Olson goes deep.

• If Olson homers: the shares cash for a total return of roughly $355 in profit.
• If he doesn’t: the full $100 stake is lost outright, since Polymarket resolves these contracts all-or-nothing.

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Braves vs Nationals

Atlanta (82-56) sits comfortably atop the NL East and has won the season series 8-3 against Washington (66-74), which is buried in fourth place. A.J. Smith-Shawver takes the ball for the Braves against Jake Irvin for the Nationals.

Home Run Props (ranked Yes price, most to least likely)

Olson runs away with this board, with the rest of the field bunched several points behind him.

• Matt Olson (1+ HR: Yes 27%, No 74%): Olson’s price is comfortably the highest home run number on today’s entire slate, and he’s the editor’s pick above.
• Drake Baldwin (1+ HR: Yes 20%, No 21%): Baldwin’s emergence behind the plate has added real power to Atlanta’s lineup this season.
• Ronald Acuña Jr. (1+ HR: Yes 20%, No 21%): Acuña matches Baldwin’s price as one of the most explosive bats in the league.
• Michael Harris II (1+ HR: Yes 18%, No 19%): Harris continues to provide steady thump from the middle of Atlanta’s order.
• Abimelec Ortiz (1+ HR: Yes 16%, No 85%): Ortiz dipped a point but stays inside the top tier for Washington’s lineup.

Strikeout Props

Both probable starters carry nearly identical strikeout prices tonight.

• Jake Irvin (5+ strikeouts: Yes 40%, No 44%): Irvin’s ERA sits north of 5.60 this year, which keeps this strikeout number modest against a lineup that makes contact.
• A.J. Smith-Shawver (5+ strikeouts: Yes 41%, No 43%): Smith-Shawver is nearly even money to hit this mark in what’s been an up-and-down season on the mound.
  

Best Strikeout Pick Today (Editor’s Pick)

We like Gerrit Cole to reach seven strikeouts against the Angels. Cole has punched out at least five hitters in each of his last ten starts and six or more in eight of those ten, and he’s coming off a strong 105-strikeout season line against a Los Angeles lineup that’s struck out at a high clip all year. The Yes side trades at 50¢ after a four-point drop.

We put $100 into this contract at an average price of 50¢, which comes out to exactly 200 shares. Each share is worth $1 if Cole reaches seven strikeouts.

• If Cole hits the mark: the shares pay out for a total return of roughly $194 in profit.
• If he falls short: the full $100 stake is lost, since these contracts settle all-or-nothing.

Even money on a pitcher this consistent is one of the more balanced risk-reward looks on the board tonight.

Yankees vs Angels

New York (78-60) got run out of Angel Stadium 10-1 in Monday’s series opener and now sends Gerrit Cole to the mound looking to steady the ship, while Los Angeles (53-85) is playing out the string of a lost season against Grayson Rodriguez‘s opposing staff.

Home Run Props (ranked Yes price, most to least likely)

Ben Rice leads this board after a strong recent stretch, just ahead of Angels outfielder Trent Grisham.

• Ben Rice (1+ HR: Yes 20%, No 82%): Rice dropped six points but still tops this home run market for the Yankees.
• Trent Grisham (1+ HR: Yes 19%, No 82%): Grisham slid four points yet remains one of the more dangerous power bats on the Angels’ roster.
• Luis Garcia Jr. (1+ HR: Yes 17%, No 85%): Garcia dipped six points as the market cools slightly on his recent power surge.
• Mike Trout (1+ HR: Yes 17%, No 85%): Trout has a long history of success against Cole specifically, which keeps his number in this range.
• Zach Neto (1+ HR: Yes 14%, No 16%): Neto rounds out the top five as a steady contributor in the Angels’ lineup.

Hit Props (ranked Yes price, most to least likely)

Luis Garcia Jr. and Cody Bellinger sit at the top of this hit market for their respective clubs.

• Luis Garcia Jr. (1+ Hit: Yes 71%, No 34%): Garcia leads all hitters in this game despite a three-point dip.
• Cody Bellinger (1+ Hit: Yes 68%, No 35%): Bellinger dropped four points but remains one of the more reliable contact bats for New York.
• Ben Rice (1+ Hit: Yes 67%, No 36%): Rice’s hit price tracks closely with his power number above.
• Trent Grisham (1+ Hit: Yes 62%, No 42%): Grisham’s price fell a point as he settles into this tier.
• Mike Trout (1+ Hit: Yes 62%, No 41%): Trout matches Grisham after a slight one-point dip of his own.

Strikeout Props

Both starting pitchers carry evenly matched strikeout numbers heading into this one.

• Gerrit Cole (7+ strikeouts: Yes 50%, No 54%): Cole is the editor’s pick above and remains one of the more trusted strikeout arms on the entire slate.
• Grayson Rodriguez (6+ strikeouts: Yes 48%, No 56%): Rodriguez gained four points as the market warms slightly to his strikeout upside against this Yankees lineup.
  

Best Home Run Pick Today (Editor’s Pick)

We’re taking Shohei Ohtani to homer against St. Louis. Ohtani leads the Dodgers in home runs this year and continues to punish opposing pitching even as the club’s offense has cooled overall in August, which is why this Yes contract still trades at 25¢ despite dipping a point.

We put $100 into this contract at an average price of roughly 25.13¢, which comes out to roughly 398 shares. Each share is worth $1 if Ohtani goes deep.

• If Ohtani homers: those shares cash for a total return of roughly $381 in profit.
• If he doesn’t: the full $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.

Nearly 4-to-1 upside on the game’s most dangerous power bat is a reasonable risk to take on this closing leg of the slate.

Cardinals vs Dodgers

St. Louis sits 17 games back and has gone just 3-7 over its last ten, while Los Angeles is protecting a playoff seed that could mean the difference between a first-round bye and a wild-card series. Michael McGreevy starts for the Cardinals against Eric Lauer for the Dodgers.

Home Run Props (ranked Yes price, most to least likely)

Ohtani sits comfortably atop this board, with Jordan Walker the next-closest name. Some contracts on this board only carry an active price on one side, which is the case for Max Muncy below.

• Shohei Ohtani (1+ HR: Yes 25%, No 76%): Ohtani leads this market and is the featured pick above.
• Jordan Walker (1+ HR: Yes 21%, No 81%): Walker has quietly built into one of the Cardinals’ more dangerous power threats down the stretch.
• Max Muncy (1+ HR: Yes 19%): Muncy’s No side isn’t actively priced, but his Yes number places him third on this board.
• Alec Burleson (1+ HR: Yes 17%, No 86%): Burleson gained a point as St. Louis’s most productive bat this season.
• Iván Herrera (1+ HR: Yes 16%, No 85%): Herrera dipped a point but remains inside the top five for the Cardinals.

Hit Props (ranked Yes price, most to least likely)

Freeman and Ohtani are tied at the top of this hit market, with Betts and Edman close behind.

• Freddie Freeman (1+ Hit: Yes 71%, No 62%): Freeman dropped five points but still ties for the top spot on this hit board.
• Shohei Ohtani (1+ Hit: Yes 71%, No 33%): Ohtani matches Freeman’s price after seeing the ball well all season.
• Mookie Betts (1+ Hit: Yes 70%, No 33%): Betts dipped a point but remains one of the steadiest contact bats in this lineup.
• Tommy Edman (1+ Hit: Yes 70%, No 35%): Edman dropped three points yet stays inside the top tier.
• Alec Burleson (1+ Hit: Yes 68%, No 36%): Burleson rounds out the top five as the Cardinals’ most consistent bat this season.

Strikeout Props

Both starters carry a similar range of strikeout pricing tonight.

• Michael McGreevy (4+ strikeouts: Yes 47%, No 57%): McGreevy dipped two points as the market leans slightly toward the under against this Dodgers lineup.
• Eric Lauer (4+ strikeouts: Yes 57%, No 46%): Lauer is the more favored arm to clear this mark even after a three-point drop.
  

More games are running on the board beyond these five tonight, so it’s worth checking the full slate before locking anything in.

Best MLB Player Prop Picks Across the Slate

Here’s a quick recap of the best MLB player prop picks from each game before you head to the board: Bregman’s home run look in Chicago, Dingler’s hit prop in Minnesota, Olson going deep in Washington, Cole’s strikeout number against the Angels, and Ohtani’s home run price against St. Louis. Taken together, these are the best MLB player props today for hitters chasing home runs and knocks across a stacked five-game board, and each one is built directly off the trade tickets above rather than a generic guess. If you’re weighing multiple books before placing money down, our Polymarket review breaks down how the exchange’s pricing and settlement actually work.

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Disclaimer: Prediction markets provide real-time probability estimates based on traded contracts. These prices reflect market sentiment and do not guarantee future outcomes. Trading event contracts involves risk; ensure you understand the resolution criteria before taking a position.

Best MLB Player Prop Picks: Final Thoughts

Tuesday’s five-game board is shaped by three very different stories: the Cubs and Brewers slugging it out atop the NL Central, a Dodgers club locking down playoff position against a fading Cardinals team, and a Yankees squad trying to shake off an ugly loss to the last-place Angels. These are the best MLB player prop picks worth monitoring as lineups get set for tonight’s games, from Olson’s short home run price in Atlanta to Cole’s strikeout number in Anaheim.

Home run props across the board skew toward the game’s biggest power bats, Suzuki, Olson, Ohtani, and Rice among them, while hit props stay clustered in the 60-70 percent range for the everyday regulars in each lineup. Check the prediction market odds board for the full menu of contracts beyond what’s covered here before the first pitch.

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