Best NBA Player Prop Bets for Thursday, March 23
What kind of performances can we expect on Thursday from Jalen Williams, C.J. McCollum, and Wendell Carter Jr.? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down his three favorite NBA prop bets for March 23 on the hardwood.
On Thursday, the NBA slate features four games, beginning with the New York Knicks and Orlando Magic at 7:00 p.m. EST. Ahead of tip-off, the status of Mitchell Robinson is listed as questionable. LaMelo Ball, Zion Williamson, Paul George, and others have been ruled out for today’s action on the official injury report. To analyze the impact of these losses on the player prop market, bettors can use CourtIQ, available at RotoGrinders.
We suffered an 0-3 day yesterday, bringing our record to a flat 22-22-1 across the last 15 days. These plays are also delivered daily in video format on YouTube! We are now profitable 31 of the last 55 days overall. Across the last 77 days, we are 117-106-8, including a 83-77-6 run over the previous 55 days. Below are three spots we are targeting for March 23 on the hardwood.
NBA Props Results
March: 30-35-1
February: 33-28-5
December 29 – January 31: 54-43-2
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NBA Player Props, March 23, 2023
- Jalen Williams o15.5 points
- C.J. McCollum o4.5 rebounds
- Wendell Carter Jr. o8.5 rebounds
Jalen Williams o15.5 points (-110), DraftKings
Entering play, Jalen Williams has eclipsed this market number in eight of his last 10 games. Since February 28, Williams is averaging 20.4 points per contest on a healthy 13.1 field goal attempts. Only Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey have had a higher volume from the field during that stretch for the Oklahoma City Thunder. Tonight, Williams does not have the most favorable matchup in the world against a tough Los Angeles Clippers defense. However, the volume alone makes him a worthwhile risk for bettors in this spot. Assuming he sees double-digit field goal attempts on Thursday, he will have a great opportunity to hit the over here.
C.J. McCollum o4.5 rebounds (-115), DraftKings
During the month of March, C.J. McCollum is averaging 5.6 rebounds and 8.4 rebound chances per game. In that span, McCollum has eclipsed this market number in eight of his 10 games played, with only one game of fewer than four rebounds – indicating that he has been competitive at this number each time he has taken the floor in recent weeks. On Thursday, McCollum has a favorable matchup against a Charlotte Hornets team that ranks 25th in rebound percentage and 27th in opponent rebounds per game since LaMelo Ball last played on February 27. Expect McCollum to be active on the glass once again this evening – take the over.
Wendell Carter Jr. o8.5 rebounds (-134), FanDuel
Since February 23, Wendell Carter Jr. has eclipsed this market number in 10 of 11 games, with his lone miss coming against the Phoenix Suns. Tonight, he has an ostensibly difficult matchup against the New York Knicks, which rank fourth in rebound percentage and have allowed the second-fewest opponent rebounds per game across their last 11 games. However, the potential absence of Mitchell Robinson makes this play particularly appealing. According to Cleaning the Glass, the Knicks rank significantly worse in rebounding metrics when Robinson is off of the floor compared to when he is on the floor this year. This play is a little bit of a risk if Robinson ends up in uniform, but Carter Jr. should be competitive at this market number either way. Tread carefully, but there is the potential that this number closes at 9.5 across all sportsbooks.
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