Commanders vs. Cowboys Player Props: Top NFL Picks for Lamb, Ferguson, and Parsons
What kind of performances can we expect on Thanksgiving from CeeDee Lamb, Jake Ferguson, and Micah Parsons? Follow along as our NFL betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NFL prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Monday, November 20, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more football props, at ScoresandOdds.
NFL fans will be treated to a three-game Thanksgiving slate on Thursday, including a matchup between the Commanders and Cowboys at 4:30 p.m. ET on FOX. Sam Howell and the Commanders will be looking to get back in the win column after back-to-back losses. Dak Prescott and the Cowboys will be searching for their third consecutive win.
Ahead of kickoff, the Cowboys are favored by 13.5 points on the spread. The game total is set at over/under 47.5 points. If choosing to wager instead on the player prop market, we have three prop leans for this afternoon’s matchup!
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Commanders vs. Cowboys Player Props for Thanksgiving
- CeeDee Lamb o6.5 Receptions
- Jake Ferguson o3.5 Receptions
- Micah Parsons More Than 1.0 Sacks
CeeDee Lamb o6.5 Receptions (-138), FanDuel
Entering play in Week 12, CeeDee Lamb has recorded at least six receptions in five consecutive games, and at least seven receptions in four of those contests. On Thursday, Lamb gets a favorable matchup against a Washington secondary unit that has allowed the 5th-most passing yards per play of any team in the NFL this year. Washington has allowed at least seven receptions to Stefon Diggs, DeVonta Smith (twice), A.J. Brown (twice), D.J. Moore, Drake London, Tyler Lockett, and DK Metcalf this season. Lamb has received at least nine targets in four consecutive games and should be plenty busy again on Thanksgiving.
Jake Ferguson o3.5 Receptions (-138), FanDuel
Jake Ferguson is second on the Cowboys in targets this season, which makes him an extremely appealing option for bettors on Thursday in what could be a high-scoring affair against the Commanders. Washington has been one of the worst defenses in the NFL against tight ends in recent weeks, allowing six of the last eight tight ends they have faced to go over their market number for receptions. Since the beginning of October, Cole Kmet, Jonnu Smith, Kyle Pitts, Darren Waller, Dallas Goedert, and Hunter Henry have each secured at least four catches against the Commanders. Ferguson is likely to add his name to that list this afternoon.
NFL DFS Pick’em
Micah Parsons More Than 1.0 Sacks, PrizePicks
Sam Howell has been sacked at least three times in 10 of his 11 games this year. He has been sacked at least four times in eight games and at least five times in six games. Suffice it to say, he probably is not looking forward to this afternoon’s matchup against Dallas, which finished Week 11 with the 2nd-best defensive pressure rate of any team in the NFL.
Micah Parsons has 10 sacks this season, which ranks 7th-best in the NFL. Parsons ranks 2nd out of 99 edge defenders this year in PFF’s pass-rush grade, making this a phenomenal matchup for him on Thanksgiving. Parsons has at least 1 sack in 7 of his 10 games, including each of his last four games. He should be able to find his way to the quarterback at least once in this spot.
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