Primetime Parlay: Falcons vs. Panthers Same Game Parlay Picks
Through thousands of simulations using ScoresAndOdds’ ParlayIQ tool we aim to create profitable same-game parlays across sports betting sites. We will examine stats, roster news, trends, player props, and betting odds across sportsbooks to find the best combination of picks for primetime betting parlays. Today, we build a Thursday Night Football same-game parlay for the Falcons vs Panthers.
Same Game Parlay for Falcons vs. Panthers
FanDuel Sportsbook lists the Falcons as 2.5-point road favorites against the seemingly disintegrating Carolina Panthers. The Panthers are coming off of an absolute drubbing against the Cincinnati Bengals with Joe Mixon scoring five touchdowns. The Falcons, also of a close loss to the Chargers, could really use this division win as they are somehow tied for the lead in the NFC South.
The game total sits at 42.5 with 60% of sports betting tickets and 65% of sports betting money lying on the under. The Falcons would love to win a close game with an over-emphasis on the running game and a recently-returned Cordarrelle Patterson.
For the Panthers, Chuba Hubbard is questionable with his ankle injury. In his absence, D’Onta Foreman took over the backfield and rushed for three touchdowns in the last meeting with the Falcons. Safety, Jeremy Chinn is now off the IR but is unlikely to play in tonight’s game. The Falcons will be without A.J. Terrell with his hamstring injury. In his absence a few weeks ago, D.J. Moore went nuts with 152 receiving yards.
Update 6:50 PM EST – Chuba Hubbard is active for the Thursday night football game.
Even though this is a division rivalry game, the NFL is offering a hardly exciting contest for primetime. Let’s build our ticket so we have something to sweat.
Same Game Parlay Picks – Falcons & Panthers Props
Atlanta Falcons Moneyline
ParlayIQ favors the Falcons’ side by a smidge on the road. Oddsmakers seem to feel the same way about the current betting spread. I struggle to see a way where the Panthers that played last week can beat any team in the NFL.
The game has far more meaning to the Falcons than the Panthers. The Panthers are clearly packing it in and getting ready for next season while the Falcons are tied atop the NFC South. Even though the opponent is the Panthers, a division win has a high value if this division ends up finishing in a tie at the end of the season.
With Cordarrelle Patterson returning to add another dynamic to the Falcons’ run game, I see the Falcons conservatively running the ball down the field and converting points against a defense that looked in tatters against the Bengals.
Cordarrelle Patterson Over 51.5 Rushing Yards
Patterson returned and found paydirt twice last week against the Chargers. Patterson rushed thirteen times in the contest. We might see a bit more work as Patterson continues to reacclimate to football action.
Without question, Patterson is the most dynamic player in the Atlanta backfield — maybe on the entire offense. If the Falcons are going to control the clock and make P.J. Walker beat them, we should expect plenty of carries for Patterson. With a few more carries this week, 52 rushing yards feels pretty low considering Patterson is a big play waiting to happen.
ParlayIQ also favor this prop a little bit putting us on track for a profitable parlay price on FanDuel.
D.J. Moore Under 59.5 Receiving Yards
Where ParlayIQ starts taking greater stands is here in our third leg. Despite D.J. Moore shredding the Falcons’ secondary in the last meeting for 152 yards, ParlayIQ projects Moore to stay under 59.5 receiving yards. Last weekend, Moore barely did anything as the Panthers were boat-raced from the start. With this game playing outdoors, it’s easy to see why the simulations are far more conservative with receiving numbers.
With the return of Patterson, the Falcons are going to lean on the Panthers’ defense all game long with the run game — carefully mixing in play-action when possible (stay tuned). I don’t think Moore will see enough opportunities to exceed this total. We are sweating a long passing play from Moore.
Kyle Pitts Over 37.5 Receiving Yards
Finally, while the Falcons are going to run the ball, likely with great success, the passing game should be set up to succeed intermittently with passing plays working off the run game.
Last week, Marcus Mariota just missed Kyle Pitts for what surely would be a long touchdown. Otherwise, Pitts has been more involved recently. I don’t think we will see Pitts volume from last season but with space opened up by the run game Pitts is another big play waiting to happen for this offense. While I don’t think he smashes this number by any means, I think the talent is there and a few catches should be enough to do the trick. ParlayIQ is over the moon for this leg. The inclusion of this over cements a really nice disparity in price for us.
Panthers vs. Falcons Parlay Odds
- Atlanta Falcons Moneyline
- Cordarrelle Patterson Over 51.5 Rushing Yards
- D.J. Moore Under 59.5 Receiving Yards
- Kyle Pitts Over 37.5 Receiving Yards
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Tonight’s same-game parlay was a tricky build with the simulations. Here is the price suggested by ParlayIQ:
FanDuel Sportsbook, instead, offers this price for this same-game parlay ticket:
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PLACE THIS BET ON Parlay Odds: +996
Risk: 1/2 unit to win 4.98 units
Good luck with all of your bets and plays this evening. Share your parlays with me on Twitter and any other plays you are making for the game. First touchdown scorers? Touchdowns? DFS lineups? Thanks for reading.
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