Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets Player Props: Best NBA Prop Bets Today
What kind of performances can we expect on Monday from Jimmy Butler, Nikola Jokic, and Jamal Murray? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for today — Monday, June 12, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NBA player props, at ScoresandOdds.
On Monday, the basketball community could be watching the last NBA game of the 2022-2023 season when the Miami Heat and Denver Nuggets play Game 5 of the NBA Finals. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. EST on ABC.
Through four games in the series, Denver has unquestionably been the better team, winning three times, with their lone defeat coming by three points. Tonight, the market is anticipating a Denver victory, pricing them as 8.5-point favorites on the spread. The over/under is set at 209 points.
We swept our recommendations in Game 3 and went 2-1 in Game 4 to improve to 98-87-1 on player prop recommendations to begin these NBA Playoffs. For those who would prefer to attack the player prop market rather than a side or total, we have three leans below for tonight’s action!
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Heat vs. Nuggets NBA Prop bets
- Jimmy Butler u27.5 points
- Nikola Jokic u12.5 rebounds
- Jamal Murray more than 8.5 assists
Jimmy Butler u27.5 points (-118), FanDuel
The postseason hero from the first three rounds was Jimmy Butler, who led the charge for the Miami Heat en route to upsetting the 1-seeded Milwaukee Bucks, followed by series wins against the heavily favored New York Knicks and Boston Celtics. The reality is that Butler and the Heat are simply overmatched against the much bigger and stronger Denver Nuggets. In four games to begin this series, Butler has gone under this market number three times and has only shot better than 45.8% from the field once. Traveling into the altitude for Game 5, Butler is likely to find it difficult to score the basketball once again – take the under.
Nikola Jokic u12.5 rebounds (+108), FanDuel
In Game 4, Nikola Jokic had 12 rebounds, but only 15 rebound chances – suggesting that he secured far more actual rebounds than expected given his opportunities. Heading into Game 5, the natural inclination for the betting community is to take the over on everything related to Jokic. However, the under has value at plus money in a spot where Jokic could continue to be pulled away from the rim. Aaron Gordon, Michael Porter, and others on the Denver roster can all contribute in this area of the game, making it difficult to mathematically arrive at an over in this spot for Jokic on the glass.
NBA DFS Pick’em
Jamal Murray more than 8.5 assists, PrizePicks
To begin this series, we thought the Miami Heat would be able to limit Jamal Murray as a facilitator. Good thing we admitted our mistake early in this series and have been able to take advantage of the other side of the market the last few games. Jamal Murray had 17 potential assists in the series opener, followed by 21 potential assists in Game 2. In Game 3, Murray had another 16 potential assists. In Game 4, Murray had 18 potential assists. The market continues to creep up on Murray’s assist number, but not quickly enough. There is still value here heading into Game 5. Make sure to use our PrizePicks promo code to sign up and play today!
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