MLB Daily Grind Down April 22nd Part 2
Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati
| Chicago Cubs | Cincinnati | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Great American Ball Park | 7:10 PM | ||||||
| Travis Wood (1-1 REC, 1.83 ERA, 5.2 Avg IP) | Mike Leake (1-0 REC, 4.26 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 13-43 (0.302) H/AB, 0.93 OPS, 3 HR, 9 Ks | PvB | 34-104 (0.327) H/AB, 0.856 OPS, 1 HR, 15 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 6 IP, 0 ERA, 0.056 BAA, 6 K/9 | HOME | 13 IP, 2.77 ERA, 0.191 BAA, 7.6 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
CHC BvP  | CHC vs R | CIN BvP | CIN vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.5
- Favored CIN -155
Pitchers
- Home Mike Leake takes the mound as the heavy favorite so that alone makes him a player to target. His 5.54 home ERA and his low K/9 ratio from a year ago are alarming to me but he faces off versus a CHC team batting only .191 on the road. They have shown some life of late so I would not use him in a single pitcher format. Target
- Away Travis Wood 1.87 ERA and 1.07 WHIP on the season are very impressive. Even with those numbers he is just 1-1 in his 3 starts. He was a 3.98 pitcher on the road last year and draws a CIN team that has a combined .302 BAA vs. him. CIN splits for today are scary. They are batting .292 over the last 7 days, .311 versus right-handers, and .275 at home. Avoid
Batters
- Home I would avoid all of the left-handed bats for CIN today. They are not horrible against left-handers but average so you are losing value for their price. Only Jay Bruce has positive BvPs vs. Wood and he is slumping bad right now. Brandon Phillips and Todd Frazier look to be the two guys you might want to use today.
- Away Alfonso Soriano has been swinging the bat real nice lately. Starlin Castro is 11-28 vs. Leake. Nate Schierholtz and Anthony Rizzo have positive BvPs also. I like Rizzo today because his price has dropped and he gets to bat a righty who has been known to have trouble keeping the ball in the park at home.
Cleveland at Chicago White Sox
| Cleveland | Chicago White Sox | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Cellular Field | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Justin Masterson (3-1 REC, 1.67 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | Dylan Axelrod (0-1 REC, 4.70 ERA, 5.1 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 55-238 (0.231) H/AB, 0.651 OPS, 4 HR, 42 Ks | PvB | 1-15 (0.067) H/AB, 0.333 OPS, 0 HR, 1 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 13 IP, 0.69 ERA, 0.122 BAA, 9 K/9 | HOME | 5.2 IP, 0 ERA, 0.15 BAA, 4.8 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| CLE BvP | CLE vs R | CHW BvP | CHW vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored CLE -107
Pitchers
- Home Dylan Axelrod does not get enough Ks to be a factor unless he draws an easy matchup. He has had only one bad start in the season. He gets the ball against a CLE team batting .268 over the last 7 days and .287 on the road. In 15 AB, he has held the team to only 1 hit. The OU is only 8 and CLE has 144 Ks on the year. In Play
- Away Justin Masterson opened the season strong in his first 4 starts. He is 3-1 with 25 Ks and 5 ER in 27 IP of work. He was a great pitcher at home last year posting a much better ERA and K/9 ratio. Today he is on the road but his first two starts on the road have gone well. He goes against a CHW team batting only .215 over the last 7 days and .228 versus right-handers. Target
Batters
- Home The ice cold Adam Dunn has a nice set of splits versus Masterson. Alejandro De Aza ‘s BvPs are encouragind also. Conor Gillaspie is 2-6 vs. him and is batting .300 on the season.
- Away Carlos Santana is crushing the ball so he is never a bad play. Nick Swisher has pushed his average over .300 and Mark Reynolds is having a nice start to the year as well. Before you get to high on them, remember that they were not swinging the bat well before their series in HOU and the OU is an 8.
Seattle at Houston
| Seattle | Houston | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minute Maid Park | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Felix Hernandez (1-2 REC, 2.20 ERA, 6.2 Avg IP) | Brad Peacock (1-1 REC, 5.27 ERA, 4.2 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 2-20 (0.1) H/AB, 0.35 OPS, 0 HR, 6 Ks | PvB | 4-21 (0.19) H/AB, 0.857 OPS, 2 HR, 3 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 14 IP, 2.57 ERA, 0.18 BAA, 7.1 K/9 | HOME | 4.1 IP, 4.15 ERA, 0.188 BAA, 10.4 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| SEA BvP | SEA vs R | HOU BvP | HOU vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored SEA -170
Pitchers
- Home Brandon Peacock has only made it 5 IP in one of his starts. He has only 5 ground ball outs combined in those 3 outings. With numbers like that it does not matter who he is facing. Avoid
- Away Felix Hernandez is the play of the day tonight. When average pitchers facing a HOU team that has a 173 Ks on the season become targets for the night, A guy like King Felix becomes a must play. He will probably be on a great deal of rosters tonight, though. Target
Batters
- Home Do not take the Astros today. There is no upside.
- Away A series in HOU might be just what the doctor order for a SEA team batting .216 over the last 7 days. Franklin Gutierrez and Kelly Shoppach both hit HRs off of Peacock the last time they faced. I think everyone is in play though and would look to SEA for value tonight.
Miami at Minnesota
| Miami | Minnesota | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Field | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Ricky Nolasco (0-2 REC, 3.86 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | Kevin Correia (1-1 REC, 2.95 ERA, 5.1 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 11-30 (0.367) H/AB, 1 OPS, 0 HR, 10 Ks | PvB | 28-70 (0.4) H/AB, 1.143 OPS, 4 HR, 9 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 11.1 IP, 3.97 ERA, 0.231 BAA, 6.4 K/9 | HOME | 14 IP, 2.57 ERA, 0.278 BAA, 4.5 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| MIA BvP | MIA vs R | MIN BvP | MIN vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored MIN -150
Pitchers
- Home Kevin Correia has been reliable to start the season going 21.1 IP with 7 ER and 8 Ks. The Ks are on the low side of things but he draws a MIA team struggling on the season only batting .212 for the year. They are better on the road batting .240 but are batting only .199 versus right-handers. He should get the win and could shut them out so he does not need that many Ks to be a good play. Target
- Away Ricky Nolasco is pitching a little better in his first 3 starts than he did a year ago. His team is not scoring any runs for him though and he is a huge dog toady versus a MIN team batting .293 over the last 7 days. avoid
Batters
- Home Ryan Doumit, Josh Willingham, and Jamey Carroll are the only three players who have seen Nolasco and their numbers versus him are pretty good. Joe Mauer has been real good so far this year. He faces a righty at home, two big splits in his favor.
- Away Miguel Olivo is 6-10 vs. Correia with a HR. Juan Pierre has some nice BvPs also.
Atlanta at Colorado
| Atlanta | Colorado | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coors Field | 8:40 PM | ||||||
| Mike Minor (2-1 REC, 0.95 ERA, 5.2 Avg IP) | Jeff Francis (1-1 REC, 8.25 ERA, 5.2 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 9-32 (0.281) H/AB, 1 OPS, 2 HR, 6 Ks | PvB | 18-60 (0.3) H/AB, 0.817 OPS, 2 HR, 11 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 5.2 IP, 0 ERA, 0.227 BAA, 6.4 K/9 | HOME | 10.1 IP, 6.1 ERA, 0.326 BAA, 7.8 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| ATL BvP | ATL vs L | COL BvP | COL vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9.5
- Favored ATL -120
Pitchers
- Taking pitchers in a game in COL is always a bad idea. Mark Minor has been fantastic to start the year but COL has scored over 6 runs a gam at home and is batting .299 there also. Too risky. Avoid
Batters
- Home Michael Cuddyer and Wilin Rosario are the two Rockies who have taken Minor yard. There is not much BvP data vs. him. Troy Tulowitzki is batting .400 at home and faces a left-hander today.
- Away ATL gets to find their stroke tonight in COL. Dan Uggla has been bad to start the season but his numbers vs. Left-handers are pretty good. Chris Johnson is a guy who kills against left-handers also. Justin Upton could have a monster series.