MLB Daily Grind Down April 25th Part 2
Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox
| Tampa Bay | Chicago White Sox | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Cellular Field | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Jeremy Hellickson (1-1 REC, 3.55 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | Chris Sale (1-2 REC, 4.50 ERA, 6.1 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 8-20 (0.4) H/AB, 1.1 OPS, 1 HR, 1 Ks | PvB | 12-40 (0.3) H/AB, 0.9 OPS, 0 HR, 20 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 12 IP, 3.75 ERA, 0.195 BAA, 7.5 K/9 | HOME | 14.2 IP, 1.84 ERA, 0.226 BAA, 8.6 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
TBR BvP  | TBR vs L | CHW BvP | CHW vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored CWS -125
Pitchers
- Home Chris Sale got hit hard in his last two starts on the road but he was lights out at home a year ago posting a 2.30 ERA. He squares off against a TAM team batting only .196 on the road, .255 versus left-handers, and .270 over the last seven days. They have been heating it up lately but you have to like the lefties K/9 ability if he can dodge their right-handed bats.
- Away Jeremy Hellickson went for 14 IP with 2 ER and 15 Ks in his last two starts combined. He was a 2.95 pitcher on the road a year ago and he goes against a struggling CHW team batting only .208 at home, only .224 versus right-handers, and only .194 over the last 7 days. Target
Batters
- Home CHW looks real bad right now. Maybe a few home games is what they need to get back on track but I am taking a wait and see approach to them for the time being.
- Away There is not much BvP data here. Ben Zobrist is 4-5 versus him and Evan Longoria has been producing lately. I also like James Loney as a cheap option and do not forget about the hot bat of Ryan Roberts, another cheap option.
Colorado at Arizona
| Colorado | Arizona | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Field | 9:40 PM | ||||||
| Jorge De La Rosa (2-1 REC, 2.82 ERA, 5.1 Avg IP) | Trevor Cahill (0-3 REC, 3.60 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 20-87 (0.23) H/AB, 0.701 OPS, 2 HR, 16 Ks | PvB | 34-124 (0.274) H/AB, 0.815 OPS, 4 HR, 24 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 16.1 IP, 3.86 ERA, 0.224 BAA, 7.2 K/9 | HOME | 18 IP, 3.5 ERA, 0.234 BAA, 9 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| COL BvP | COL vs R | ARI BvP | ARI vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored ARI -130
Pitchers
- Home Trevor Cahill first four starts were neither good nor bad. He was a much better pitcher on the road a year ago. His home ERA was a lackluster 4.68. He catches a COL team batting .267 on the road, .271 versus right-handers, and .276 over the last 7 days. There are much better options today.
- Away Jorge De La Rosa has pitched really well to start the season which has killed many stacks along the way. He was a horrible road pitcher a year ago but it is hard to argue with his recent success. He faces off versus an ARI team batting .254 at home, .199 versus left-handers, and .224 over the last 7 days.
Batters
- Home Paul Goldschmidt is an automatic play at home versus any left-hander. I like the discounted A.J. Pollock also.
- Away COL really pounced on him in COL and ARI park is very hitter friendly also. Their or no stand out BvPs but you have to like everyone from COL with the OU set at 9 and how they have been swinging the bats lately.
Baltimore at Oakland
| Baltimore | Oakland | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.co Coliseum | 10:07 PM | ||||||
| Jason Hammel (2-1 REC, 4.74 ERA, 5.1 Avg IP) | Jarrod Parker (0-3 REC, 7.50 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 14-44 (0.318) H/AB, 0.818 OPS, 0 HR, 10 Ks | PvB | 13-34 (0.382) H/AB, 1.176 OPS, 3 HR, 8 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 12 IP, 3.75 ERA, 0.244 BAA, 4.5 K/9 | HOME | 8.1 IP, 12.96 ERA, 0.368 BAA, 3.2 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| BAL BvP | BAL vs R | OAK BvP | OAK vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Pitchers
- Home Jarrod Parker got hammered in his last start at home but it was against the Tigers and he is normally very sharp in OAK. He not pitching very well to start the year and I know Vegas has him spotted to win this one but I do not trust the shaky right-hander versus a BAL team batting .253 on the road, .251 versus right-handers, and .247 over the last 7 days. There are too many hot bats right now in there LU. Avoid
- Away Jason Hammel is pitching towards his career average which make him only useful as matchup play. He takes the hill as the dog versus a OAK team that just keeps winning games batting .227 at home, .247 versus right-handers, and .243 over the last week. He does not get enough Ks to off set the risk. Avoid
Batters
- Home The above splits are actually drop offs from their counterparts with only 44 AB of BvP data, there is not alot to go with. Brandon Moss is 3-4 versus him. Jed Lowrie and Coco Crisp have been producing well and could make solid plays but the fact that OAK batting average drops 60 points at home is enough to convince me to fade this game.
- Away Adam Jones and Chris Davis have nice BvPs today. Both are hot. I also like Nick Markakis but everyone is in play because Parker has not looked good so far this year. The park does scare me off of a stack, though.
LA Angels at Seattle
| LA Angels | Seattle | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safeco Field | 10:10 PM | ||||||
| Garrett Richards (1-0 REC, 2.55 ERA, 5.1 Avg IP) | Brandon Maurer (1-3 REC, 7.45 ERA, 4.2 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 9-30 (0.3) H/AB, 0.833 OPS, 1 HR, 6 Ks | PvB | 0-0 (0) H/AB, 0 OPS, 0 HR, 0 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 4.1 IP, 2.08 ERA, 0.176 BAA, 10.4 K/9 | HOME | 6.2 IP, 10.8 ERA, 0.375 BAA, 9.5 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| LAA BvP | LAA vs R | SEA BvP | SEA vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored LAA -128
Pitchers
- Home Brandon Maurer ‘s line of 19.1 IP 16 ER, 22 H, and 10 Ks over his first 4 starts is all you need to know about him. No upside and high downside. Avoid
- Away Garrett Richards has an insane .68 whip on the year so far. He is your value play of the day against a SEA team batting .227 at home, .242 versus right-handers, and .244 over the last week. Target
Batters
- Home Kyle Seager and Kendrys Morales got things going on the road. I think that is a trend you are going to see continue. I think they will offer value away from SEA but in SEA I think you will see them struggle. I might take a shot tonight on Justin Smoak because he is cheap but I am laying off of everyone else because I think most of 8 runs expected in this game will be scored by their oppenents
- Away LAA is batting .298 over the last 7 days and .280 versus right-handers. Everyone is in play. I love Josh Hamilton today versus the struggling righty. Mike Trout also hit righties extremely well last year. Both those guys are heating up. Peter Bourjos has been batting leadoff and is a nice value play today.