MLB Daily Grind Down April 30th Part 2
NY Mets at Miami
| NY Mets | Miami | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins Park | 7:10 PM | ||||||
| Jeremy Hefner – (0-2), 5.14 ERA, 5.14 K/9, 1.48 WHIP | Kevin Slowey – (0-2), 2.43 ERA, 6.47 K/9, 1.15 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (13-48 H/AB) 0.271 BA-A, 0.17 K%, 0.729 OPS-A | PvB | (8-22 H/AB) 0.364 BA-A, 0.18 K%, 1 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-1), 15.75 ERA, 4 HRA, 6.8 K/9, 2.75 WHIP | HOME | (0-1), 2.95 ERA, 2 HRA, 6.4 K/9, 1.2 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
NYM BvP  | NYM vs R | MIA BvP | MIA vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.0
- Favored NYM -108
Pitchers
- Home Kevin Slowey is pitching the best he ever has in his career and it’s not even close. However, I am still not sold on him. He has a good matchup tonight against the Mets, but I just can’t bring myself to waste a roster spot on him, but he is in play if you dare take him.
- Away Jeremy Hefner has not looked very sharp this season. He has an ERA over 5 with a WHIP of 1.476. While the Marlins will be without Stanton, I just don’t think Hefner will strike out enough batters to be worth taking.
Batters
- Home Stanton is out for the Marlins which makes their offense even more pathetic, but it does however give us a chance to get some real cheap value plays that will be hitting in the heart of the lineup. I think Ruggiano, Pierre, Polanco, and Mahoney are all in play and you can probably take them all for the same price as one expensive hitter.
- Away I’m not sold on Slowey, but I am also not sold on the Mets offense. John Buck hit a HR last night and is always capable of hitting another one tonight. But David Wright is the play here, he got a night off last night and should be ready to go tonight.
San Diego at Chicago Cubs
| San Diego | Chicago Cubs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrigley Field | 8:05 PM | ||||||
| Edinson Volquez – (1-3), 6.39 ERA, 5.38 K/9, 1.74 WHIP | Edwin Jackson – (0-3), 4.76 ERA, 8.97 K/9, 1.41 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (11-45 H/AB) 0.244 BA-A, 0.33 K%, 0.711 OPS-A | PvB | (22-78 H/AB) 0.282 BA-A, 0.22 K%, 0.91 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-2), 7.2 ERA, 1 HRA, 4.8 K/9, 2 WHIP | HOME | (0-1), 7.15 ERA, 0 HRA, 11.9 K/9, 1.941 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| SDP BvP | SDP vs R | CHC BvP | CHC vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 10.0
- Favored CHI -133
Pitchers
- Home Before even checking the whether, I can tell you that there is going to be a howling wind heading towards the outfield. This game would usually be at 7.0 for the over under. Anytime a line is this high, stay away from the pitchers even if it would appear that Edwin Jackson has a solid matchup.
- Away Over/under of 10 means stay away from Edison Volquez today.
Batters
- Home This is the game to load up on players. Huge over/under with the potential for a lot of HR’s. Anthony Rizzo, Starlin Castro, Alfonso Soriano, Wellington Castillo, and David Dejesus are my favorite Cubs.
- Away For the Padres, this is the first time this year I am considering taking more than one of them. They are all in play so check the lineup and find the most valuable hitters.
Chicago White Sox at Texas
| Chicago White Sox | Texas | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers Ballpark | 8:05 PM | ||||||
| Jose Quintana – (2-0), 2.78 ERA, 8.11 K/9, 1.06 WHIP | Yu Darvish – (4-1), 1.65 ERA, 13.7 K/9, 0.8 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (2-13 H/AB) 0.154 BA-A, 0.31 K%, 0.385 OPS-A | PvB | (8-26 H/AB) 0.308 BA-A, 0.23 K%, 0.731 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-0), 0 ERA, 0 HRA, 9.2 K/9, 0.585 WHIP | HOME | (2-0), 2.25 ERA, 0 HRA, 12 K/9, 1.333 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| CHW BvP | CHW vs R | TEX BvP | TEX vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored TEX -179
Pitchers
- Home Yu Darvish is looking like the play of the day. He has been striking out everyone lately and a matchup with the White Sox is a good one. Target
- Away I’m never a fan of taking big underdogs for my pitchers so even though Jose Quintana has had a couple of solid starts, I am avoiding him, especially since it’s in Arlington.
Batters
- Home Target the right hand bats of the Rangers tonight against the lefty Quintana. Nelson Cruz, Adrian Beltre, and Ian Kinsler are the picks to roll with.
- Away Do the smart thing here and just avoid the White Sox today.
Tampa Bay at Kansas City
| Tampa Bay | Kansas City | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauffman Stadium | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Alex Cobb – (3-1), 1.82 ERA, 6.78 K/9, 1.04 WHIP | James Shields – (1-2), 3.09 ERA, 8.23 K/9, 1.09 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (15-45 H/AB) 0.333 BA-A, 0.04 K%, 0.8 OPS-A | PvB | (24-97 H/AB) 0.247 BA-A, 0.25 K%, 0.67 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-1), 4.05 ERA, 0 HRA, 8.1 K/9, 1.35 WHIP | HOME | (0-1), 3 ERA, 1 HRA, 6 K/9, 0.556 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| TBR BvP | TBR vs R | KCR BvP | KCR vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored KC -123
Pitchers
- Home James Shields gets to face his old team for the first time and I expect him to be ready. He is going to want to prove something tonight and I think he tops his season high strikeouts of 8. Target
- Away Alex Cobb has pitched like an All-Star so far this season. He is 3-1 with a 1.82 ERA and a 1.062 WHIP, those are some pretty impressive numbers. I think he pitches well, but falls just short of getting the win.
Batters
- Home I’m not a huge fan of any hitters from this game, especially considering the SD/CHI game that you can load up hitters from. But if you have to take a Royal, go with Eric Hosmer.
- Away Shields is going to want to prove something against his old team. I don’t think it will bode too well for the Rays.
Pittsburgh at Milwaukee
| Pittsburgh | Milwaukee | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miller Park | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| James McDonald – (2-2), 4.38 ERA, 8.18 K/9, 1.46 WHIP | Marco Estrada – (2-1), 3.86 ERA, 8.37 K/9, 1.29 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (31-82 H/AB) 0.378 BA-A, 0.26 K%, 1.256 OPS-A | PvB | (19-100 H/AB) 0.19 BA-A, 0.27 K%, 0.54 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-0), 6.3 ERA, 1 HRA, 8.1 K/9, 1.6 WHIP | HOME | (1-0), 5.73 ERA, 4 HRA, 9.8 K/9, 1.636 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| PIT BvP | PIT vs R | MIL BvP | MIL vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.0
- Favored MIL -140
Pitchers
- Home Marco Estrada is a high K rate per 9 inning pitcher, but his K’s have dropped off a little bit this year. He is always priced well below the ace pitchers which makes him a great GPP candidate because he has big upside. Definitely in play against PIT.
- Away James McDonald has been tough to predict this season and he is typically a much better pitcher at home than he is on the road. For my money, I think there are better options out there. Milwaukee is too good of an offensive team at home.
Batters
- Home Ryan Braun, Ryan Braun, Ryan Braun, remember that tonight when you are setting your lineups. He is 6/13 with 3 XBH’s and 10 RBI’s against McDonald. I think he takes him deep tonight. Lucroy and Weeks are also in play here as I think McDonald struggles.
- Away Estrada has owned PIT in the past and the Pirates are known for games where their offense forgets to show up. Avoid