MLB Daily Grind Down April 30th Part 3
Cincinnati at St. Louis
| Cincinnati | St. Louis | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busch Stadium | 8:15 PM | ||||||
| Bronson Arroyo – (2-2), 4.24 ERA, 4.76 K/9, 1.09 WHIP | Jaime Garcia – (2-1), 2.89 ERA, 8.04 K/9, 1.43 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (62-236 H/AB) 0.263 BA-A, 0.13 K%, 0.72 OPS-A | PvB | (41-170 H/AB) 0.241 BA-A, 0.21 K%, 0.647 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-2), 6.75 ERA, 3 HRA, 3 K/9, 1.333 WHIP | HOME | (0-0), 1.98 ERA, 1 HRA, 9.9 K/9, 1.317 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
CIN BvP  | CIN vs L | STL BvP | STL vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored STL -130
Pitchers
- Home Jaime Garcia is a pitcher that I love to take at home. He seems to be much more comfortable pitching there and has a great track record against the Reds. It also doesn’t hurt having those left hand bats in the Reds lineup. Target
- Away Bronson Arroyo got smacked around in his last start. I think we see him bounce back in this one and he could be a guy to target in these large qualifiers. He is not a huge underdog and will likely be taken by very few people.
Batters
- Home Jon Jay seems to have Arroyo’s number, but his upside is pretty small so I would only take him in 50/50’s and H2H’s. Carlos Beltran is another guy to take a look at, he has 4 XBH’s of his 8 total hits against Arroyo.
- Away I’m not sold on the Reds hitters tonight. Garcia is usually a beast at home and has a solid track record against the Reds.
San Francisco at Arizona
| San Francisco | Arizona | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Field | 9:40 PM | ||||||
| Madison Bumgarner – (3-0), 1.87 ERA, 9.22 K/9, 0.89 WHIP | Trevor Cahill – (1-3), 3 ERA, 8.1 K/9, 1.23 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (27-106 H/AB) 0.255 BA-A, 0.22 K%, 0.774 OPS-A | PvB | (20-82 H/AB) 0.244 BA-A, 0.18 K%, 0.805 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-0), 1.23 ERA, 1 HRA, 7.4 K/9, 0.682 WHIP | HOME | (1-2), 2.74 ERA, 1 HRA, 9.4 K/9, 1.217 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| SFG BvP | SFG vs R | ARI BvP | ARI vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.0
- Favored Pick ‘Em
Pitchers
- Home Trevor Cahill has strung together a few solid starts, but he has consistently struggled in Chase Field throughout his career and a matchup against the Giants isn’t a great one.
- Away I’m a little surprised at the line in this game, I thought for sure Bumgarner would be at least a -130 favorite, but maybe Vegas knows something that I don’t. Either way, I don’t like taking pitchers in Arizona, so you are safe to avoid Bumgarner.
Batters
- Home Paul Goldschmidt and Cody Ross are both always in play when there is a lefty on the mound. Outside of those two, there aren’t many other great options.
- Away The Giants have been putting up some runs lately and I think they have a good chance to do so again tonight. I love Buster Posey tonight and I think Marco Scutaro is a sneaky pick. He is cheap across the board and never strikes out.
LA Angels at Oakland
| LA Angels | Oakland | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.co Coliseum | 10:07 PM | ||||||
| Garrett Richards – | Jarrod Parker – (0-4), 8.1 ERA, 5.45 K/9, 2.14 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (5-14 H/AB) 0.357 BA-A, 0.36 K%, 1 OPS-A | PvB | (26-96 H/AB) 0.271 BA-A, 0.21 K%, 0.646 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-1), 4.76 ERA, 2 HRA, 7.9 K/9, 1.324 WHIP | HOME | (0-3), 11.85 ERA, 3 HRA, 5.3 K/9, 2.195 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| LAA BvP | LAA vs R | OAK BvP | OAK vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.5
- Favored OAK -103
Pitchers
- Home Jarrod Parker has not been the same pitcher that he was last season. Until he turns it around, I am avoiding him.
- Away Garrett Richards has only had one good start this season and was abysmal last season on the road. I do not think this is a good spot for him. If I was betting on this game, I would take the over.
Batters
- Home Josh Donaldson and Brandon Moss are both swinging some hot bats right now and that should continue tonight against Richards. I also like lead off man Coco Crisp.
- Away If you dare, take Josh Hamilton tonight. He is so cheap across the board that it’s almost a must play. Yet he still continues to suck. And not only suck, but strike out too. The better options are Albert Pujols and Mike Trout, but Hamilton is much cheaper.
Baltimore at Seattle
| Baltimore | Seattle | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safeco Field | 10:10 PM | ||||||
| Jason Hammel – (3-1), 3.82 ERA, 4.77 K/9, 1.14 WHIP | Brandon Maurer – (2-3), 5.61 ERA, 5.71 K/9, 1.36 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (15-59 H/AB) 0.254 BA-A, 0.24 K%, 0.729 OPS-A | PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (3-0), 2.5 ERA, 3 HRA, 4 K/9, 1 WHIP | HOME | (2-1), 5.54 ERA, 0 HRA, 9 K/9, 1.692 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| BAL BvP | BAL vs R | SEA BvP | SEA vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.0
- Favored BAL -105
Pitchers
- Home I told you guys that Brandon Maurer was going to have a good game last time around and I think he backs it up tonight with another solid game. He has put together 3 solid starts in a row and is pitching at home. In play
- Away I’m not a big fan of Jason Hammel in 50/50’s today, but I think he definitely is a guy to target in these big qualifiers. He has a solid matchup against the Mariners, he was a fairly high K guy last season, and he could be in line for a win.
Batters
- Home Such a low over/under makes me want to avoid this one, but Michael Morse is really cheap and hasn’t hit a HR for a while.
- Away Like I said, I think Maurer pitches well again, but if you don’t, then target Chris Davis and Nate Mclouth.
Colorado at LA Dodgers
| Colorado | LA Dodgers | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodger Stadium | 10:10 PM | ||||||
| Jorge De La Rosa – (2-2), 2.86 ERA, 5.77 K/9, 1.16 WHIP | Hyun-Jin Ryu – (2-1), 3.41 ERA, 9.81 K/9, 1.2 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (39-131 H/AB) 0.298 BA-A, 0.28 K%, 0.947 OPS-A | PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-2), 3.63 ERA, 3 HRA, 5.6 K/9, 1.299 WHIP | HOME | (1-1), 2.13 ERA, 1 HRA, 7.8 K/9, 1.184 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| COL BvP | COL vs L | LAD BvP | LAD vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.0
- Favored LAD -137
Pitchers
- Home Hyun-Jin Ryu is really starting to pitch well and his strikeouts have been steadily increasing. He is an ace type of pitcher that you can get for a lot cheaper than Verlander and Darvish. I think the Rockies struggle to figure him out. Target
- Away Jorge De La Rosa has really looked sharp this season, but something about him just makes me want to not believe the numbers. Maybe it’s his ERA over 9 last season. I think there are much better options.
Batters
- Home Matt Kemp is finally swinging the bat well and is certainly in play today against De La Rosa who is a lefty. He is batting .345 against lefties this season and is 10/23 with 3 HR’s off of Rosa in his career.
- Away The Rockies are going to be expensive and have a really tough matchup against Ryu.