MLB Daily Grind Down: Friday, September 13th Part 2

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2013-09-13 16:16:18

NY Yankees vs. Boston

7:10 PM	NY Yankees – ROAD					Boston – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.246	0.685	19.40%	0.55		0.273	0.780	20.40%	0.68
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.244	0.687	19.70%	0.41		0.282	0.807	20.20%	0.56
SP STATS	Kuroda – RHP					Lackey – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.12	2.99	6.68	10.42		1.20	3.48	7.77	10.92
LAST 14 DAYS	1.52	5.71	8.95	7.70		1.34	5.75	6.72	8.70
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	NYY vs R		NYY BvP			BOS vs R		BOS BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Hiroki Kuroda – Kuroda has three things going against him tonight. First, he hasn’t been pitching well lately. Second, he faces the Red Sox who have had good success off of him. Third, he is pitching in Fenway. Everything is pointing to stay away from Kuroda tonight. I’d rather have a pitcher against any other offense. Starter Rating = 4

• John Lackey – Lackey has really been impressive at home this season with a 2.38 ERA but he has had his share of struggles against the Yankees. Usually when the Yankees and Red Sox meet, you throw out both pitchers and take the batters because they are usually high scoring games. That’s the plan tonight as well. Starter Rating = 5

Batter Grind Down

NYY – The Yankees lineup is much more formidable now that they have A-Rod and Granderson back. I think the players to target here are the lefties of the Yankees: Robinson Cano and Curtis Granderson. I guess we can’t rule out Alfosno Soriano either with the way he is playing.

BOS – David Ortiz has had good success against Kuroda in the past. He is 9/15 with 4 XBH’s. I think all of the Red Sox are in play though. Kuroda hasn’t pitched well and the Red Sox are a great offense at home.

Miami vs. NY Mets

7:10 PM	Miami – ROAD					NY Mets – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.231	0.623	19.80%	0.43		0.239	0.683	22.20%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.226	0.634	21.30%	0.35		0.245	0.693	22.60%	0.41
SP STATS	Hand – LHP					Niese – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	0.91	0.00	16.36	3.10
LAST 14 DAYS	0.00	0.00	9.00	2.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	MIA vs L		MIA BvP			NYM vs L		NYM BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Brad Hand – Hand could make for an interesting sleeper pick tonight. I’m not sure how deep into the game he will pitch, but he has been pretty good in the minors and faces the Mets in a perfect situation. The Mets struggle against lefties and the Mets struggle at home. Don’t pay more than minimum salary for him, but he does have nice sleeper potential. Starter Rating = 5

• Jonathon Niese – Niese is a pretty decent sized favorite in a game that has a very low total. Those are usually the type of pitchers that you should be looking for. Niese has pitched well at home and has pitched well against the Marlins this year. Really like Niese tonight for his price. Starter Rating = 8

Batter Grind Down

MIA – When the Marlins face a lefty only one name comes to mind and that’s Giancarlo Stanton. He hits for great power against lefties but this is an awfully big ballpark. Just avoid the Marlins bats.

NYM – Two schools of thought here. Young pitcher making a spot start could mean to put a few Mets in your lineup. Or you can go the route of the pitcher. If you decide to take any Mets, Eric Young and Josh Satin both hit lefties well.

San Diego vs. Atlanta

7:30 PM	San Diego – ROAD					Atlanta – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.247	0.693	20.90%	0.54		0.252	0.731	22.40%	0.59
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.244	0.677	20.80%	0.39		0.253	0.737	22.60%	0.48
SP STATS	Kennedy – RHP					Hale – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.41	4.86	8.17	8.86
LAST 14 DAYS	1.66	4.70	10.13	9.37
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	SDP vs R		SDP BvP			ATL vs R		ATL BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Ian Kennedy – Kennedy has really pitched well since coming over from the D-Backs. He’s only allowed one earned run or less in three of his last 4 starts. His problem is that he has to face a Braves team in their ballpark. Kennedy gives up a high OPS to lefties and the Braves have some good ones in their lineup. Starter Rating = 4

• David Hale – From what I’ve read about Hale, he doesn’t have dominant stuff and has really hasn’t been great in the minors. He is a favorite, but I think it’s a nice spot to sneak some Padres into your lineup. Starter Rating = 3

Batter Grind Down

SD – This could be a good spot for the Padres, they are facing a guy that has never pitched in the majors before. Hale is a right hand pitcher and leadoff man Will Venable is very good against right hand pitching. I also like Jedd Gyorko, he is cheap all around and is swinging a hot bat.

ATL – Freddie Freeman and Brian McCann are the two Braves bats to think about tonight. Kennedy struggles against lefties and both of these guys hit right hand pitching for good power.

Oakland vs. Texas

8:05 PM	Oakland – ROAD					Texas – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.244	0.718	19.40%	0.59		0.262	0.740	16.80%	0.62
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.245	0.735	20.00%	0.49		0.260	0.737	16.70%	0.47
SP STATS	Straily – RHP					Holland – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.25	4.15	7.32	9.05		1.28	3.17	8.14	11.42
LAST 14 DAYS	1.06	1.50	7.50	14.00		1.80	5.51	5.59	5.37
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	OAK vs L		OAK BvP			TEX vs R		TEX BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Dan Straily – Straily is a pitcher that I like to take against average offenses. He has a pretty good K rate and has a solid offense behind him. I don’t however like to take him against the Rangers in Arlington. Starter Rating = 3

• Derek Holland – Holland is usually always in play regardless of who he is facing or where he is pitching, but I’ve seen what these A’s have done to other aces around the league. They are just a scrappy bunch that finds ways to score runs. I think Holland has some decent value on sites with sharp pricing because he is very cheap, but don’t spend a lot to get him. Starter Rating = 6

Batter Grind Down

OAK – Holland has good BvP numbers against most of this A’s team, but Coco Crisp, Jed Lowrie, Yoenis Cespedes, and Josh Donaldson all hit lefties well and have all been playing well of late.

TEX – A.J. Pierzynski and Alex Rios both have had success against Straily, but the sample size is small. I always like Adrian Beltre at home, he is batting .328 at home with 13 HR’s.

Tampa Bay vs. Minnesota

8:10 PM	Tampa Bay – ROAD					Minnesota – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.262	0.748	18.70%	0.62		0.241	0.698	22.20%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.253	0.739	18.70%	0.49		0.238	0.695	22.00%	0.43
SP STATS	Archer – RHP					Correia – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.13	3.19	6.30	9.47		1.41	4.30	5.06	7.75
LAST 14 DAYS	1.41	4.91	6.97	7.07		1.10	2.70	5.85	10.33
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	TBR vs R		TBR BvP			MIN vs R		MIN BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Chris Archer – This Twins team is really frustrating. I said yesterday that I was going to avoid taking A.J. Griffin because the Twins had been scoring a lot of runs. Then they come out and let Griffin throw a gem against them. I’m not falling for that again. Archer has a 3.19 ERA, a strong offense behind him, and a decent K rate. Oh, and he gets to face the Twins lineup that is full of no namers. Love Griffin tonight. Starter Rating = 8

• Kevin Correia – Correia doesn’t have much fantasy upside. He has a low K rate, pretty high ERA, and a bad offense that doesn’t give him a ton of run support. Oh, and he faces a Rays team that is in a playoff race. Starter Rating = 2

Batter Grind Down

TB – Kelly Johnson is rarely ever on my radar, but he has great BvP numbers against Correia. He is 9/25 with 5 HR’s off of him so if you believe in BvP, maybe Johnson can get you a cheap HR. Evan Longoria is the best play though, he is doing all he can to get him team in the playoffs.

MIN – If I’m really high on Archer tonight, that means I am low on the Twins. Avoid.

Grind Down: Page 2 – Page 3