MLB Daily Grind Down May 13th Part 2
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.
While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota
| Chicago White Sox | Minnesota | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Field | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Hector Santiago – (1-1), 1.69 ERA, 8.59 K/9, 0.97 WHIP | Pedro Hernandez – (1-0), 5.96 ERA, 4.46 K/9, 1.68 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (5-24 H/AB) 0.208 BA-A, 25 K%, 0.792 OPS-A | PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-0), 0.47 ERA, 1 HRA, 9 K/9, 0.632 WHIP | HOME | (1-0), 0.87 ERA, 1 HRA, 3.5 K/9, 1.065 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
CHW BvP  | CHW vs L | MIN BvP | MIN vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored CHW -115
Pitchers
- Home Pedro Hernandez does not get enough Ks to consider even if he did pitch well. He does not pitch well and has been hammered in his last few starts. CWS is cold batting .235 on the road, .244 versus left-handers, and .244 over the last 7 days. There game ended late last night and they had to travel, which could effect their bats but there is little to no upside in Hernandez. Avoid
- Away Hector Santiago move from the bullpen to the rotation is working out well. The K totals are there for him and his ERA and WHIP remain low even after 3 starts. MIN is batting .260 at home, .268 versus left-handers, and .269 over the last 7 days.
Batters
- Home Trevor Plouffe has a .409 batting average versus left-handed pitching. That is better than Chris Johnson who everyone loves to take at 3B versus lefties. Oswaldo Arcia and Ryan Doumit continue to produce and are still cheap on most sites.
- Away I have been suckered into a few CHW stacks the last couple of days because they are facing a player like Hernandez and are so cheap. The situation is the same today but this team is not producing. Alex Rios makes a good play regardless as he is the only White Sox producing noticeable fp.
Atlanta at Arizona
| Atlanta | Arizona | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Field | 9:40 PM | ||||||
| Mike Minor – (4-2), 2.96 ERA, 7.57 K/9, 0.9 WHIP | Wade Miley – (3-1), 2.93 ERA, 7.12 K/9, 1.35 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (10-31 H/AB) 0.323 BA-A, 32.26 K%, 0.935 OPS-A | PvB | (8-18 H/AB) 0.444 BA-A, 22.22 K%, 1.333 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (3-1), 3.55 ERA, 3 HRA, 7.8 K/9, 1.105 WHIP | HOME | (1-0), 1.64 ERA, 0 HRA, 6.5 K/9, 1.727 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| ATL BvP | ATL vs L | ARI BvP | ARI vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored ARI -110
Pitchers
- Home If Wade Miley truly fix the mechanical issue in his delivery that was causing him to walk so many batters then he might be an undervalued play today. He did not walk a batter and his home ERA is a nice 1.64 on the year. ATL is batting .237 on the road, .245 versus left-handers, and .236 over the last 7 days. ATL is 8-18 with 2 HRs versus Miley. In Play
- Away Mark Minor has been good on the year but his 2-1 Fly ball to ground ball rate could be trouble in this park. His ERA, WHIP, and BAA all jump up a click on the road. ARI is batting .246 at home, .228 versus left-handed pitching, and .240 over the last 7 days. The BvP data favors ARI but Minor has been getting it done. In Play
Batters
- Home Paul Goldschmidt at home versus a left-hander is an automatic play. He has been very hot producing 33.25 fp over the last 7 days. Cody Ross is 4-6 versus Minor with 2 HRs and is batting .400 versus left-handed pitching on the year. Wil Nieves and A.J. Pollock both make nice cheap options. Both should start today versus the left-hander.
- Away Chris Johnson is batting .382 versus left-handers on the year. Dan Uggla has been hot producing 25.75 fp over the last week. Andrelton Simmons has also been hot producing 20 fp. I imagine that Evan Gattis will get the start today and he has good numbers versus left-handed pitching, also. ATL jumped on Miley the last time they faced him so if you are a fan of BvPs then everyone has positive numbers.
Kansas City at LA Angels
| Kansas City | LA Angels | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel Stadium | 10:05 PM | ||||||
| Luis Mendoza – (0-2), 6.38 ERA, 6 K/9, 1.46 WHIP | Joe Blanton – (0-6), 5.66 ERA, 4.82 K/9, 1.79 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (3-4 H/AB) 0.75 BA-A, 0 K%, 1.5 OPS-A | PvB | (14-38 H/AB) 0.368 BA-A, 10.53 K%, 1 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-1), 2.51 ERA, 1 HRA, 6.9 K/9, 1.186 WHIP | HOME | (0-2), 5.68 ERA, 1 HRA, 1.4 K/9, 1.842 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| KCR BvP | KCR vs R | LAA BvP | LAA vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored LAA -130
Pitchers
- Home I wonder if I suggested Joe Blanton today if there would be people who actually took him? He has been beyond horrible on the year and unless he started doing HGH over the last 7 days is unplayable again today. KAN is batting .263 on the road, .250 versus right-handers, and .233 over the last 7 days. Avoid
- Away If you take 2 of his 5 starts out of the equation then Luis Mendoza looks like a much better pitcher. Those two starts I am talking about came at home. His road ERA is a very nice 2.57 and he takes the field in a pitcher’s park if you are looking for a really cheap pitcher on a multiple pitcher site to free up salary. He has limited K/9 upside, though. LAA is batting .276 at home, .259 versus right-handers, and .234 over the last 7 days. Avoid
Batters
- Home Mike Trout has 20 fp over the last 7 days. Josh Hamilton has hit 2 Hrs this week. As bad as Mendoza has looked, everyone is in play today.
- Away Alex Gordon has been red hot producing 30.75 fp over the last week and gets the lefty/righty matchup today. Mike Moustakas and Eric Hosmer have been the two next hottest Royals and they get that same matchup. Jeff Francoeur is 6-14 versus Blanton. Blanon has been struggling so everyone is playable.
Texas at Oakland
| Texas | Oakland | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.co Coliseum | 10:07 PM | ||||||
| Justin Grimm – (2-2), 3.45 ERA, 9.89 K/9, 1.43 WHIP | A.J. Griffin – (3-3), 3.83 ERA, 6.31 K/9, 1.21 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (4-10 H/AB) 0.4 BA-A, 10 K%, 1.2 OPS-A | PvB | (6-24 H/AB) 0.25 BA-A, 8.33 K%, 0.625 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-1), 3.94 ERA, 2 HRA, 7.3 K/9, 1.5 WHIP | HOME | (1-1), 3.79 ERA, 3 HRA, 8.5 K/9, 1.263 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| TEX BvP | TEX vs R | OAK BvP | OAK vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored OAK -120
Pitchers
- Home A.J. Griffin low K totals damper his upside and I do not like his odds today against a very good TEX team when his team is slumping. He takes the mound as a slight favorite in a pitcher’s park and has pitched well versus TEX in the past. TEX is batting .262 on the road, .267 versus left-handers, and .279 over the last 7 days with 14 HRs. In Play
- Away Justin Grimm has proven himself to be a solid play in daily fantasy. His price is still low on most sites and the production has been there. OAK is a great park for pitchers and the Athletics have been struggling. OAK is batting .232 at home, .231 versus right-handers, and .201 over the last 7 days. In Play
Batters
- Home The BvP totals are low but Jed Lowrie has a HR off Grimm. Josh Donaldson continues to be the most productive OAK player with 17.75 fp. The team is struggling and hits better away from home so I would not look to deep into them today.
- Away Adrian Beltre, Mitch Moreland, Elvis Andrus, and David Murphy all had a nice spike in production this weekend in HOU. Griffin is a tough pitcher and OAK and HOU are completely opposite ballparks so do not expect them to score another 12 runs in this game.
Washington at LA Dodgers
| Washington | LA Dodgers | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodger Stadium | 10:10 PM | ||||||
| Jordan Zimmermann – (6-1), 1.59 ERA, 6 K/9, 0.82 WHIP | Josh Beckett – (0-4), 5.13 ERA, 8.08 K/9, 1.49 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (20-65 H/AB) 0.308 BA-A, 16.92 K%, 0.8 OPS-A | PvB | (13-63 H/AB) 0.206 BA-A, 22.22 K%, 0.587 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-1), 2.05 ERA, 1 HRA, 7.4 K/9, 0.636 WHIP | HOME | (0-2), 5.48 ERA, 4 HRA, 8.4 K/9, 1.641 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| WSN BvP | WSN vs R | LAD BvP | LAD vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored WAS -125
Pitchers
- Home The problem with Josh Beckett is not his 5.13 ERA or 1.49 WHIP on the year. It is the fact that he is still priced as a pitcher with much better numbers on most sites. He draws a nice matchup versus a struggling WAS team in a game with a very low OU of 7 but I cannot see over paying especially at the pitcher position. WAS is batting .224 on the road, .242 versus right-handers, and .246 over the last 7 days. Beckett has held the current WAS players to a .206 BAA. Avoid
- Away Jordan Zimmermann 1.59 ERA and 0.82 WHIP to start the season put him in an elite group of pitchers. His K totals are low for what you like to see in daily fantasy but he has been a reliable option. The low OU and the short schedule of games make him a target today. LAD is batting .259 at home, .247 versus right-handers, and .288 over the last 7 days. Target
Batters
- Home Nick Punto is the Dodgers hottest player producing 20 fp over the last week. He is 2-5 versus Zimmermann. Matt Kemp is 2-6 versus him with an HR. Adrian Gonzalez and Carl Crawford gain the splits in there favor today and the wind is blowing out about 5 mph in a direction that favors their power.
- Away Bryce Harper and Ian Desmond are both batting over .300 versus right-handed pitching. Ian Desmond has been hot producing 24.25 fp over the last week. Adam LaRoche is swinging a better bat as of late and has positive BvPs versus Beckett.
