MLB Daily Grind Down May 25th Night Games
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.
While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time. (any fp listed uses Fanduel’s scoring system)
Friday night was a rough night for me in the Qs. I chose to fade Anibal Sanchez because the wind was blowing out and I thought too many people would be using him since he was the only true Ace going. If that decision was not bad enough, I decided to play the fade and plug one or two Indians into all of my LUs. Needless to say me night went south real fast. Saturday offers another day of great GPPs and a chance at redemption. Here is the second half of today’s Daily Grind Down to get you ready for another great day in the world of Daily Fantasy.
Atlanta at NY Mets
| Atlanta | NY Mets | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citi Field | 7:10 PM | ||||||
| Mike Minor – (5-2), 2.78 ERA, 7.9 K/9, 0.96 WHIP | Dillon Gee – (2-5), 6.04 ERA, 6.72 K/9, 1.75 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (21-88 H/AB) 0.239 BA-A, 26.14 K%, 0.761 OPS-A | PvB | (21-76 H/AB) 0.276 BA-A, 21.05 K%, 0.868 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (4-1), 3.09 ERA, 4 HRA, 7.3 K/9, 1.188 WHIP | HOME | (1-2), 2.35 ERA, 1 HRA, 6.7 K/9, 1.174 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
ATL BvP  | ATL vs R | NYM BvP | NYM vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored ATL -155
Pitchers
- Home Dillon Gee has been getting hit hard on the road but he has been fantastic at home with a 2.35 ERA. He is the underdog today and NYM has been struggling but the low OU of 7 makes me think Vegas believes that he will pitch well. He could be a nice high risk GPP play in a day where very few pitchers are throwing. ATL is batting .239 on the road, .247 versus right-handers, and .267 over the last 7 days. Their batters have the 2nd most Ks in the league. In Play
- Away Mike Minor has been great on the year. All of his numbers are indicative of an ace. His ERA dips to a 3.04 on the road but that is better than most of the players’ home ERAs that I mention as being good. He is huge favorite in a game with a low OU. NYM is batting .214 at home, .229 versus left-handers, and .220 over the last 7 days. Target
Batters
- Home If you are playing the fade, then Ruben Tejada is 5-16 versus Minor with 2 2Bs. Marlon Byrd is 4-10 versus him and Lucas Duda is 4-11 with 1 HR.
- Away Jason Heyward is 6-12 with 1 HR vs. Gee. Brian McCann is batting .357 versus right-handers. The OU is really low which makes me think to look elsewhere for my offense besides those two players and maybe Freddie Freeman who has the traditional splits in his favor.
St. Louis at LA Dodgers
| St. Louis | LA Dodgers | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodger Stadium | 7:15 PM | ||||||
| John Gast – (2-0), 4.76 ERA, 6.49 K/9, 1.15 WHIP | Ted Lilly – (0-1), 5.63 ERA, 10.13 K/9, 2.25 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | PvB | (20-100 H/AB) 0.2 BA-A, 20 K%, 0.74 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | NO DATA | HOME | (0-1), 12 ERA, 2 HRA, 6 K/9, 3.333 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| STL BvP | STL vs L | LAD BvP | LAD vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored LAD -107
Pitchers
- Home I am not sure how much I would trust Ted Lilly coming off an injury against an STL team that hits very well. Lily looked okay in his first start and bad in his second. He seems to be limited to about 80 pitches so there is not much upside in taking him. STL is batting .264 on the road, .221 versus left-handers, and .286 over the last 7 days. Avoid
- Away John Gast is younger and is not coming off an injury but it seems he is also limited to around 80 pitches a game or at least that was all he made it to in his first 2 starts. His 4.76 ERA is a little deceiving since he has managed a 1.15 WHIP. I would not be surprised if he had a good outing versus a slumping LAD team. LAD is batting .251 at home, .285 versus left-handers, and .210 over the last 7 days. In Play
Batters
- Home Nick Punto is batting .464 versus left-handers. Scott Van Slyke, Mark Ellis, Carl Crawford, Adrian Gonzalez, and Matt Kemp all have plus .300 batting averages versus left-handers as well.
- Away Allen Craig and Yadier Molina are both batting over .300 versus left-handers. Craig has been hot producing 24.75 fp over the last 7 days. I also like the value play of Daniel Descalo if he gets the spot start.
Miami at Chicago White Sox
| Miami | Chicago White Sox | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Cellular Field | 7:15 PM | ||||||
| Ricky Nolasco – (3-5), 3.96 ERA, 7.36 K/9, 1.16 WHIP | Jake Peavy – (5-2), 3.31 ERA, 10.2 K/9, 1.06 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (12-53 H/AB) 0.226 BA-A, 22.64 K%, 0.736 OPS-A | PvB | (34-98 H/AB) 0.347 BA-A, 13.27 K%, 0.837 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-3), 3.68 ERA, 5 HRA, 7.7 K/9, 1.193 WHIP | HOME | (2-0), 2.29 ERA, 2 HRA, 9.6 K/9, 1.068 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| MIA BvP | MIA vs R | CHW BvP | CHW vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored CHW
Pitchers
- Home Jake Peavy facing MIA at home is an auto target and a player I am sure will be in a large number of rosters. Peavy is great. MIA sucks. You do the math. MIA is batting .229 on the road, .226 versus right-handers, and .208 over the last 7 days. This man should be in all of your 50/50s and H2Hs. Target
- Away Ricky Nolasco has been almost as good as Jake Peavy on the year. He is a better pitcher on the road than he is at home. His road ERA is a 3.68. He has a well above average K/9. If you are looking for a High risk/reward play then this is your guy because he is capable of that kind of a start and almost no one on earth will have him today versus Peavy. In Play
Batters
- Home Adam Dunn, Alex Rios, Paul Konerko and Alexei Ramirez all have positive BvPs versus Nolasco. Alex Rios has been the only hot CHW producing 20.5 fp over the last 7 days.
- Away I past the point of suggest any MIA a slick play. I probably will not be using Peavy tonight because of overlay but I do not believe that MIA will get to him today. I am simply hoping that someone else can out pitch him.
Philadelphia at Washington
| Philadelphia | Washington | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals Park | 7:15 PM | ||||||
| Jonathan Pettibone – (3-0), 3 ERA, 5.25 K/9, 1.31 WHIP | Dan Haren – (4-5), 5.54 ERA, 6.47 K/9, 1.43 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | PvB | (39-134 H/AB) 0.291 BA-A, 17.16 K%, 0.754 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-0), 5.06 ERA, 1 HRA, 4.2 K/9, 1.875 WHIP | HOME | (3-1), 4.91 ERA, 2 HRA, 6.5 K/9, 1.591 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| PHI BvP | PHI vs R | WSN BvP | WSN vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored WAS -146
Pitchers
- Home Dan Haren may be the nice sized favorite in a game with a low OU but I do not trust him tonight. He has yet to have a clean start on the year and his ERA sits at a bad 5.54 and his K/9 is in the sixes. That would be fine if you could get him for super cheap but because of his name you still have to pay a decent price for him on most sites. PHI is batting .248 on the road, .245 versus right-handers and .258 over the last 7 days. Vegas likes him, though, and he is still Dan Haren. In Play
- Away Jonathan Pettibone ‘s 3.00 ERA on the season is a little deceptive because his 1.31 WHIP is more in line with a player with around a 4 ERA. He has been a worse pitcher on the road with a 5.06 ERA and his K/9 is on the low side. Still, I would rather play him over Haren because he is cheaper and running better but I think his success is fool’s gold so I would only be buying into him as a second pitcher and because of the limited options. WAS is batting .240 at home, .238 versus right-handers and .207 over the last 7 days. In Play
Batters
- Home Bryce Harper is batting .340 versus right-handed pitching. Most of WAS has been cold and there is no BvP data.
- Away Delmon Young, Michael Young, Jimmy Rollins, and Ryan Howard all have positive BvPs versus Haren. Domonic Brown has been hot producing 23 fp over the last 7 days.
