MLB Daily Grind Down: Thursday, July 25th Part 2
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Miami vs. Colorado
| 3:10 PM | Miami – ROAD | Colorado – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.230 | 0.623 | 19.10% | 0.43 | 0.264 | 0.746 | 19.80% | 0.62 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.231 | 0.616 | 18.30% | 0.31 | 0.269 | 0.770 | 19.90% | 0.52 | |
| SP STATS | Eovaldi – RHP | Nicasio – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.29 | 4.15 | 6.05 | 8.20 | 1.38 | 4.73 | 5.99 | 7.23 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.90 | 8.10 | 9.00 | 7.50 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 4.50 | 12.50 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
MIA vs R  | MIA BvP | COL vs R | COL BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 10
- Favored Team – COL -170
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home This series has been dominated by pitching so far and there is no reason to believe it will stop now. Well maybe 1 reason called Juan Nicasio . Okay, he has managed to put up an Era just a click under 5 at home, which is a great feat for COL but I am calling on the law of averages in this one and saying there is no way that the series will go under 4 times in a row with these 2 pitchers on the mound for the final game. MIA is batting .230 on the road, .233 versus right-handers, and .219 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 2
- Away Nathan Eovaldi already has a 5.16 road ERA and none of those starts were in Coors Field. I see that number going up again today against a COL team that owns a .318 BAA versus him. COL is batting .278 at home, .268 versus right-handers, and .238 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 2
Batter Grind Down
- Home Fire up your COL stacks. RG Stack Rating 8
- Away MIA offers value on most sites so I like all of them. Logan Morrsison is probably my favorite play because of his .291 BAA versus right-handers. RG Stack Rating 7
Night Games Coming Soon
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Houston vs. Toronto
| 7:07 PM | Houston – ROAD | Toronto – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.237 | 0.672 | 25.20% | 0.52 | 0.251 | 0.732 | 18.70% | 0.62 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.259 | 0.731 | 26.60% | 0.46 | 0.248 | 0.700 | 17.60% | 0.44 | |
| SP STATS | Bedard – LHP | Buehrle – LHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.48 | 4.41 | 8.17 | 7.55 | 1.40 | 4.83 | 6.00 | 7.95 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.35 | 2.38 | 12.97 | 12.05 | 1.69 | 7.62 | 6.23 | 5.50 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| HOU vs L | HOU BvP | TOR vs L | TOR BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 9.5
- Favored Team – TOR -200
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home Mark Buehrle is the huge favorite today but I do not trust him today. Sure he has a 3.36 Home ERA but he is allowing right-handers to bat .296 versus him and houston is a team that hits left-handers well. Plus he only has a K/9 total of 6.00 and rarely pitches deep into games so I do not think that he is a lock to get that much more Ks. HOU is batting .244 on the road, .255 versus left-handers, and .241 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5
- Away Erik Bedard has been horrible on the road with a 6.22 ERA and .305 BAA. Plus, he plays for the worst team in baseball and is going against a tough home team. Danger Will Robinson. Danger! TOR is batting .262 at homer, .255 versus left-handers, and .254 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 2
Batter Grind Down
- Home The hottest bats on TOR happen to be the right-handed ones that are also their most expensive/best players. You do the math on this one. RG Stack Rating 8
- Away Take your pick of HOU righties. The switching hitting Jonathan Villar is a nice cheap option at SS. He has been batting leadoff. Jose Altuve has been hot over the last 7 days with 22.25 fp and hits left-handers at a high clip. RG Stack Rating 4
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Tampa Bay vs. Boston
| 7:10 PM | Tampa Bay – ROAD | Boston – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.262 | 0.754 | 18.30% | 0.64 | 0.276 | 0.792 | 20.70% | 0.70 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.250 | 0.738 | 18.20% | 0.50 | 0.285 | 0.819 | 20.00% | 0.58 | |
| SP STATS | Hellickson – RHP | Lackey – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.22 | 4.62 | 7.36 | 9.76 | 1.17 | 2.95 | 8.47 | 11.72 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.27 | 4.09 | 9.00 | 10.50 | 1.30 | 4.05 | 8.24 | 11.55 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| TBR vs R | TBR BvP | BOS vs R | BOS BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 9
- Favored Team – BOS -135
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home John Lackey has been a stud at home with an ERA under 2 but this TAM team has jumped all over him in his 2 starts against them this year hanging him for an 8.18 ERA. Las Vegas still has enough faith him to list him as the slight favorite. I think he will come out and pitch well today because BOS lead has shrank to only 1 game above the Rays and he has been fantastic in June and July. I trust those numbers more that the individual stats TAM is batting .256 on the road, .250 versus right-handers, and .286 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6
- Away Jeremy Hellickson numbers are the opposite of Lackey’s. He has a horrible road ERA of 5.13 but has held BOS to a 2.77 ERA in 2 starts. He is 7-1 in his last 10 starts. Those numbers are worth considering but this BOS team does 2 things well. They hit right-handers and crush at home. BOS is batting .285 at home, .287 versus right-handers and .226 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5
Batter Grind Down
- Home The left-handed bats are all in play, although Ellsbury and Ortiz are the only 2 I trust. Mike Napoli has been red hot with 28.25 fp over the last 7 days. David Ortiz is 8-22 with 2 HRs versus Hellickson. Jarrod Saltalamacchia is 7-23 with 2 HRs also. RG Stack Rating 5
- Away It’s pick your poison with TAM. Everyone has been producing and almost everyone has positive BvPs versus Lackey. Evan Longoria ‘s 10-31 with 2 HR line stands out the most. I like Lackey but they have the numbers also. RG Stack Rating 6
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Philadelphia vs. St. Louis
| 7:15 PM | Philadelphia – ROAD | St. Louis – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.258 | 0.716 | 19.80% | 0.55 | 0.276 | 0.751 | 17.30% | 0.61 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.262 | 0.719 | 19.30% | 0.43 | 0.287 | 0.765 | 17.60% | 0.49 | |
| SP STATS | Kendrick – RHP | Lynn – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.28 | 3.94 | 5.60 | 9.51 | 1.27 | 4.13 | 8.56 | 11.30 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.31 | 4.97 | 6.64 | 11.10 | 2.31 | 9.64 | 2.97 | 1.05 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| PHI vs R | PHI BvP | STL vs R | STL BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5
- Favored Team – STL -170
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home Lance Lynn has been very good at home with a 2.87 ERA but he has completely lost his control in July and has an ERA of 6.85. His one start versus the PHI this year was a lock down performance but that was early in the year when he was pitching much better. He seems to be trending down but Vegas has faith in him and he has GPP winning upside. The PHI are batting .262 on the road, .262 versus right-handers, and .256 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6
- Away Kyle Kendricks is likewise trending downward. He has posted a 6.11 ERA in June and his K/9 numbers have also fallen since that hot start. A start in STL is difficult to begin with but it is even harder when you are not throwing the ball well. It is even worse when they are running as hot as they are. STL is batting .282 at home, .287 versus right-handers, and .324 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 2
Batter Grind Down
- Home Kendricks is allowing right-handers to bat .305 versus him. STL is loaded with right-handers (and left-handers) who hit other right-handers very well. Consider everyone worth a look. Carlos Beltran, Allen, Craig, David Freese, and Jon Jay have positive BvPs versus Kendricks RG Stack Rating
- Away Chase Utley has been the only hot PHI with 25.25 fp over the last week. Ryan Howard is 2-3 with 1 HR versus Lynn. RG Stack Rating 3
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Baltimore vs. Kansas City
| 8:10 PM | Baltimore – ROAD | Kansas City – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.267 | 0.763 | 18.40% | 0.64 | 0.255 | 0.684 | 17.20% | 0.53 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.275 | 0.789 | 18.10% | 0.54 | 0.251 | 0.680 | 17.30% | 0.39 | |
| SP STATS | Gonzalez – RHP | Guthrie – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.19 | 3.34 | 6.63 | 10.48 | 1.42 | 4.41 | 4.56 | 8.21 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.07 | 1.35 | 4.81 | 13.05 | 1.56 | 5.03 | 5.63 | 9.40 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| BAL vs R | BAL BvP | KCR vs R | KCR BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5
- Favored Team – BAL -141
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home Jeremy Guthrie is actually worse at home than he is on the road. He is another player who has gotten progressively worse as the season has moved along. His K/9 totals are already low and if he is not pitching low scoring baseball then he will only do you more harm than good. BAL offense is too tough and I do not think he is worth the risk. BAL is batting .272 on the road, .276 versus right-handers, and .294 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 3
- Away Miguel Gonzalez is on a roll. He has thrown 8 quality starts in a row and has actually been a better pitcher on the road than he has been at home. He draws a KAN team that has struggle to put up runs all year. My only knock on him is that KAN has recorded the fewest Ks on the year and his K/9 for the year is only 6.6 so it could be a night were he goes 7 IP but only has 1-3 Ks. KAN is batting .262 on the road, .252 versus right-handers, and .243 versus right-handers RG Start-Ability 6
Batter Grind Down
- Home Eric Hosmer had 2 HRs versus a left-hander last night and today the hot player draws a righty. Mike Moustakas is producing also and worth a look. RG Stack Rating 2
- Away Nate Mclouth and Matt Wieters have been hot for BAL. Chris Davis, Manny Machado, Adam Jones, Nick Markakis and Nate McLouth all have high batting averages versus right-handers. RG Stack Rating 6
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