Million Dollar Musings: MLB DFS Picks Today for Friday 7/3

by Dave Potts (CheeseIsGood) Last Updated 2026-07-03 16:27:27 Premium Content Part of the product MLB DFS

Whether you are looking for the top pitchers or the best stacks, Dave Potts (aka CheeseIsGood) has you covered with an extensive deep dive into his MLB DFS picks today. Cheese, one of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy sports and a winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize on both DraftKings and FanDuel, is here to muse about the July 3, 2026 MLB DFS slate.

Happy Friday! If I had to pick a fruit to describe tonight’s slate, it would be BANANAS! We have a great pitching slate with several high-upside aces, but we also have a slew of great hitting spots with top offenses facing some of the weaker pitchers on this slate. I’ll try to find some favorites and narrow down where I can, but essentially, I love everything. Especially bananas.

Note that we have one additional game added to the FD slate, which will start a few minutes earlier at 6:45 PM ET.

Friday Pitching: MLB DFS Picks on DraftKings and FanDuel

I’m going to use $8,000 on DK as the cutoff between tiers tonight, although there is a fairly large pricing gap between the top three and everything else on DK, while FD adds an additional top option, leaving us with five pitchers between $9,800-$10,600.

TOP TIER PITCHING

• Shohei Ohtani vs. Padres – 27.5% K, 7.7% BB, 1.58 ERA, 3.37 SIERA
• Dylan Cease at Mariners – 36.7% K, 11.5% BB, 3.02 ERA, 3.01 SIERA
• Kyle Harrison at Diamondbacks – 31.1% K, 6.1% BB, 2.57 ERA, 2.97 SIERA
• Gerrit Cole vs. Twins – 21.3% K, 6.3% BB, 4.06 ERA, 4.21 SIERA
• Gavin Williams vs. White Sox – 28.3% K, 8.2% BB, 3.81 ERA, 3.42 SIERA
• Logan Webb at Rockies – 21.1% K, 6.1% BB, 3.09 ERA, 3.75 SIERA
• Reid Detmers vs. Red Sox – 27.6% K, 7.6% BB, 3.88 ERA, 3.51 SIERA
• Foster Griffin vs. Pirates (FD) – 24.5% K, 6.3% BB, 2.93 ERA, 3.62 SIERA

While these are all good pitchers, we have a top 3 in DK pricing with Shohei Ohtani, Dylan Cease, and Kyle Harrison. On FD, Foster Griffin is surprisingly added to that top pricing tier, although he’s looked good enough it’s hard to argue with.

In a nutshell, I would say that among those top 3, Shohei Ohtani feels like the safest and most consistent, while Dylan Cease is the highest upside but least consistent, with Kyle Harrison falling somewhere in between them. What really stands out even more than that is that, using the 2026 numbers, I would argue that Harrison looks like the best pitcher here. He has the lowest SIERA of the group, thanks to higher strikeouts than Ohtani and much better control than Cease. The one area where he becomes a little less consistent than Ohtani is that Harrison is more of a fly-ball pitcher, and the extra home runs he allows are the main reason his ERA is a run higher than Ohtani’s. But also, any way you want to slice it, all three of these pitchers are great and have clear upside every time they take the mound.

I think it is reasonable to start feeling a little concerned about the control from…

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