Million Dollar Musings: MLB DFS Picks Today for Tuesday 3/31

by Dave Potts (CheeseIsGood) Last Updated 2026-03-31 18:35:53 Premium Content Part of the product MLB DFS

Whether you are looking for the top pitchers or the best stacks, Dave Potts (aka CheeseIsGood) has you covered with an extensive deep dive into his MLB DFS picks today. Cheese, one of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy sports and a winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize on both DraftKings and FanDuel, is here to give you his musings on the March 31, 2026 MLB DFS slate.

Happy Tuesday! We’ve got a good looking 10-game slate on tap, with some ace pitchers back in our lives after a few wonky days. We also might have some MLB weather concerns for the first time this season. The winds are shifting to a pitcher-friendly direction in Wrigley Field, and we’ve got an unusual possibility of rain in Los Angeles that could mess with the first Shohei Ohtani start of the season. For now, I’ll assume everything is going to play, but we’ll have to keep an eye on this throughout the day.

Tuesday Pitching: MLB DFS Picks on FanDuel & DraftKings

We’ve got several aces back in our lives, some making their second starts of the season and some we’ll be seeing for the first time. There are also some decent mid-tier options, leaving you with choices for roster construction.

TOP-TIER PITCHING

• Hunter Brown vs. Red Sox – 28.3% K, 7.8% BB, 2.43 ERA, 3.39 SIERA
• Logan Gilbert vs. Yankees – 32.3% K, 5.8% BB, 3.44 ERA, 2.86 SIERA
• Max Fried at Mariners – 23.6% K, 6.4% BB, 2.86 ERA, 3.60 SIERA
• Logan Webb at Padres – 26.2% K, 5.4% BB, 3.22 ERA, 3.14 SIERA
• Shohei Ohtani vs. Guardians – 33% K, 4.8% BB, 2.87 ERA, 2.67 SIERA
• Brandon Woodruff vs. Rays – 32.3% K, 5.4 % BB, 3.20 ERA, 2.90 SIERA

We’ve got some great pitchers up top, with varying degrees of matchups and workload questions. Four of these aces are making their second starts of the season, while Brandon Woodruff and Shohei Ohtani are stepping on the mound for the first time.

The first thing I’m going to say here is that while both the skills and the matchup look good for Brandon Woodruff, I’m not going to be using him in his first start. He was dealing with a lat injury in Spring Training, and they brought him along very slowly, so he almost certainly has a considerably lower pitch-count floor and ceiling than these other aces. He’s good enough to dominate in 4-5 innings, but this is not a slate where I feel the need to jump on board.

Shohei Ohtani is always a bit of a question mark when he pitches, but he got up to 86 pitches in Spring Training, which would have been his 2nd-longest start last season. With that, I’m considering him a full-go, at least whatever full-go means for Ohtani. While it was a small sample size, his 2025 numbers were eye-poppingly elite. My spell checker doesn’t seem to think ‘poppingly’ is a word, but I’m pretty sure it is. It was only 47 innings, but a 33% K rate and 4.8% BB rate is crazy good. Even in 2023, while the control wasn’t as great, this was a pitcher with a 31.5% K rate, so I don’t question the upside. I want to dig into these other aces before making a determination, but I am definitely interested in Ohtani. Before we get too excited about him, we’ll also need to see if the weather is going to clear up in LA.

Speaking of 2025 numbers that are eye-poppingly good (that will be a word by the time I’m done!), Logan Gilbert looks like a superstar. The numbers get even more absurd at home: 38.8% K, 5.4% BB, 2.24 ERA, 2.12 xFIP. Folks, that’s silly. He came out of the gate this season looking just as good, with 7 strikeouts and 0 walks on 86 pitches. I never love picking on the Yankees, but they do have plenty of strikeouts in the lineup, and this Seattle ballpark just loves its pitchers. He’s too elite to overlook, and he’s my SP1 on both sites.

Hunter Brown had a long leash on Opening Day, going 102 pitches and striking out 9. He did have a few more walks than usual, but he looked to me to be in mid-season form. Like with Gilbert, it’s not the perfect matchup, but there are plenty of strikeouts here. Both the Red Sox and Yankees, for all of their power bats, have 5 batters each at a 25% K rate or higher against RHP last season, so the upside for these guys is as good as anyone. Brown is just a skosh below Gilbert for me.

Logan Webb gave up runs in his first start, but a 7:1 K:BB ratio and a .529 BABIP tells me there is nothing to worry about here. His matchup is a little weaker for strikeouts than Gilbert’s and Brown’s, but he’s also around $1,000 cheaper on both sites. Because he’s a lower-strikeout pitcher to begin with, I think the salary gap looks correct, and I rank him behind those two, but he’s very playable in any format at this salary. This is the point where I want to bring Ohtani back into the discussion.

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