MLB DFS Top Stacks: Sunday, July 16
Alex Sonty walks you through the top stacks for the upcoming MLB main slate. Should we eat the chalk? Which team is a good pivot? Where can we find leverage? Find out below!
MLB DFS is complex. Most articles on MLB DFS picks are about the individual players most likely to succeed on any given day, but the MLB DFS picks most likely to succeed aren’t always the MLB DFS picks we should be most likely to play.
In this space, we will look at the MLB DFS process over the MLB DFS picks. And we’re looking at teams over individual players, using the features of the RotoGrinders Top Stacks tool. We’ll still look at the player projections available in LineupHQ. Still, we’ll be more focused on collective ownership, optimal scores, and matchups of full stacks within the context of game selection and leverage.
This slate is stacked with stacks. FanDuel has the Coors game and DraftKings doesn’t, so the chalky team on DK is going under-owned on FD, an interesting dynamic on which we should touch before diving in. Today, we’ll discuss what I dislike about most of the highly owned teams, why I highly suggest pivoting off of relative chalk today, and a contrarian spot that we’re projecting to go overlooked.
FD Chalk Stack – Yankees at Chase Anderson (Coors Field)
When games are only available on one site (especially Coors), ownership can get really lopsided. Expect really juicy ownership on the Yankees because it’s Coors, Chase Anderson is a terrible pitcher, and — as infuriating as they might have been this season — they’re the Yankees in Coors against a bad pitcher.
Anderson has had a slate-worst 5.93 xERA and 2.54 HR/9. He’s been below replacement level since 2019. His command and power prevention are so bad, he doesn’t belong in the major leagues.
If we went through every individual bat and why they profile well here, we’d waste a lot of space to just classify this as a play-everyone spot. Again, it’s the Yankees in Coors against a terrible pitcher. Their 6.8 implied run total is a full run higher than everyone else’s on the slate.
We have small samples on Franchy Cordero and Billy McKinney, but they’re great cheap power pieces for our lineups. Cordero has had a 12.6% barrel rate in 286 plate appearances against righties since the start of 2022, while McKinney has had a 10.7% rate in 118 plate appearances. One of these two (if not both) will start. Keep them on your radar.
If there’s someone I’m X-ing out for single-entry, it’s probably DJ Lemahieu for the lack of power, despite his great spot in the order, and Jose Trevino because we don’t have to play a catcher on FD. That said, these are great leverage pieces within the stack for MME.
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