MLB First Look: Friday, September 1st (Early)
The MLB First Look, complete with sortable odds, a pitcher breakdown, and team offense rankings, will help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.
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MLB Schedule & Vegas Lines
| Away | Pitcher | Home | Pitcher | Vegas Line | Run Total | Ballpark | LHB Rating | RHB Rating | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Indians | Carlos Carrasco – R | at | Detroit Tigers | Matt Boyd – L | CLE-220 | 9.0 | Comerica Park | 93 | 91 | 1:10 PM |
| Atlanta Braves | Mike Foltynewicz – R | at | Chicago Cubs | John Lackey – R | CHC-200 | 8.0 | Wrigley Field | 79 | 88 | 2:20 PM |
Starting Pitchers
| Pitcher | Team | Matchup | Opp. K% | Line | FD | DK | FDRFT | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | SS% | GB% | HC% | HR/FB | Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Carrasco | CLE | at DET | 22.2% | -220 | $9,500 | $12,200 | N/A | 3.48 | 3.78 | 27.6% | 6.3% | 13.2% | 44.4% | 31.0% | 13.7% | 1:10 PM |
| John Lackey | CHC | ATL | 19.4% | -200 | $7,400 | $9,200 | N/A | 4.44 | 4.98 | 20.4% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 42.1% | 34.0% | 19.6% | 2:20 PM |
| Mike Foltynewicz | ATL | at CHC | 22.3% | 200 | $6,700 | $6,200 | N/A | 4.56 | 4.84 | 20.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 38.8% | 28.4% | 12.3% | 2:20 PM |
| Matt Boyd | DET | CLE | 17.7% | 220 | $5,500 | $5,700 | N/A | 5.05 | 6.13 | 17.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 38.5% | 36.7% | 11.2% | 1:10 PM |
Note: All statistics in the pitching table are from the 2017 season.
Offenses
| Offense | IRT | RPG | +/- | Opp. Pitcher | L/R | P vs. LHB | P vs. RHB | T-wOBA | T-ISO | Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Indians | 5.19 | 4.91 | 0.28 | Matt Boyd | LEFT | 0.308 | 0.361 | 0.326 | 0.159 | 1:10 PM |
| Chicago Cubs | 4.58 | 4.98 | -0.40 | Mike Foltynewicz | RIGHT | 0.355 | 0.322 | 0.327 | 0.192 | 2:20 PM |
| Detroit Tigers | 3.81 | 4.77 | -0.96 | Carlos Carrasco | RIGHT | 0.324 | 0.284 | 0.314 | 0.154 | 1:10 PM |
| Atlanta Braves | 3.42 | 4.57 | -1.15 | John Lackey | RIGHT | 0.339 | 0.286 | 0.312 | 0.151 | 2:20 PM |
Note: All statistics in the team offense table are from the 2017, season with the exception of the pitcher splits by handedness. They are from the last two seasons combined.
First Look Legend
| Term | Description |
|---|---|
| LHB Rating | The ballpark rating for left-handed hitters |
| RHB Rating | The ballpark rating for left-handed hitters |
| Opp. K% | Strikeout rate of the opposing offense against the handedness of the pitcher |
| SIERA | Skill-Interactive Earned Run Average – A good predictor of future ERA |
| ERA | Earned Run Average |
| K% | Percentage of batters a pitcher strikes out |
| BB% | Percentage of batters that a pitcher walks |
| SS% | Swinging Strike Percentage |
| GB% | Ground Ball Percentage |
| HC% | Hard Contact Percentage |
| HR/FB | Percentage of fly balls a pitcher gives up a home run |
| IRT | Implied run total based on the Vegas line and over/under |
| RPG | Average runs scored per game |
| +/- | The difference between a team’s implied run total and their average runs scored per game |
| P vs. LHB | The wOBA a pitcher allows to left-handed hitters |
| P vs. RHB | The wOBA a pitcher allows to right-handed hitters |
| T-wOBA | A team’s wOBA vs. the handedness of the pitcher they are facing |
| T-ISO | A team’s ISO vs. the handedness of the pitcher they are facing |