MLB Grind Down: Thursday, July 23rd - Page Three
Miami at San Diego – 10:10 PM EST
| Miami | San Diego | ||||||||
 | Tom Koehler |  | Tyson Ross | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SDP (-145) | 6.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.237 | 0.68 | 0.303 | 0.188 | SP vs. Left | 0.237 | 0.672 | 0.304 | 0.24 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.243 | 0.694 | 0.309 | 0.176 | SP vs. Right | 0.228 | 0.62 | 0.28 | 0.247 |
| Batter Splits | MIA BvP | MIA vs R | Batter Splits | SDP BvP | SD vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Tom Koehler : FD: $7,000 — DK: $7,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 295.1 — SIERA: 4.24 — ERA: 3.66 — K%: 18.2% — BB%: 8.6% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.0 — SIERA: 4.07 — ERA: 2.16 — K%: 14.0% — BB%: 5.0% — HR/9: 0.7
San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.291 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 21.1% (Rank: 19)
Pitchers per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 13)
Analysis: Koehler is a pitcher that is usually easy to avoid, but he deserves a look tonight. He draws a terrific matchup against the Padres and he gets to face them in Petco Park. San Diego has the fifth-highest strikeout rate of any team against right-handed pitching this season. I wish Koehler was a bit cheaper so that we could target him as an SP2, but at his price point, he is best suited as a tournament play.
Pitcher Rating:50.8
Tyson Ross : FD: $8,500 — DK: $9,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 312.2 — SIERA: 3.27 — ERA: 3.02 — K%: 24.4% — BB%: 9.9% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 36.1 — SIERA: 3.26 — ERA: 2.23 — K%: 25.2% — BB%: 10.8% — HR/9: 0.0
Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.292 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 20.1% (Rank: 18)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 16.0% (Rank: 3)
Pitchers per PA: 3.70 (Rank: 28)
Analysis: Ross is a terrific value tonight on both FanDuel and DraftKings. He has terrific numbers at Petco Park throughout his career and he has been pitching well recently. Over the last month of play, he has a 3.26 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.2%. He also draws a prime matchup against the Marlins, who are ranked 26th in wOBA and 28th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. He’s a strong tournament play and he makes sense as an SP2 on multi-pitcher sites.
Pitcher Rating:84.9
Batter Grind Down
Miami
The Marlins are short-handed right now and they are one of the worst hitting teams in baseball against right-handed pitching. They should be avoided tonight against Tyson Ross in the pitcher-friendly Petco Park.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
San Diego
The Padres are an easy team to avoid once again, as they draw a mediocre matchup against Tom Koehler at home. Matt Kemp has been on fire recently though, so he may be worth a look in tournaments.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Matt Kemp : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 735 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 126
Last 14 Days: PA: 34 — wOBA: 0.586 — ISO: 0.464 — wRC+: 291