MLB Player Props Today: Keuchel, Turner, Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (August 11)
What kind of performances can we expect on Friday from Dallas Keuchel, Trea Turner, and Masataka Yoshida? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Friday, August 11, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Friday! Worker-bees will be glad to see that all 15 games on today’s MLB slate have a scheduled start time of 6:40 p.m. EST. All four west coast contests have a scheduled first pitch of 9:40 p.m. EST or later, giving the betting community plenty of time to get involved in the action.
Across the last few weeks, we are 43-23 (65.2%) in this article. Since May 1, we are 140-105-7 on non-Home Run props and 2-4 on Home Run recommendations. We are now 83-45-4 (64.8%) on pitcher prop recommendations for the season. There is plenty of opportunity once again on the player prop market today – below are three prop leans for August 11!
MLB Props Results – Wager Type
HITTER PROPS
Dinger Tuesday: 4-9-1
Hitter: 98-89-4
Stolen Base: 0-2
PITCHER PROPS
Hits Allowed: 3-1
Outs Recorded: 29-15
Strikeout: 53-28-3
Walk: 1-0
MISCELLANEOUS PROPS
1st Inning: 0-4
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MLB Player Props Today
- Dallas Keuchel u3.5 Strikeouts
- Trea Turner u0.5 Strikeouts
- Masataka Yoshida Less Than 0.5 Strikeouts
Dallas Keuchel u3.5 Strikeouts (-136), FanDuel
Dallas Keuchel was extremely effective in his return to MLB action last week, even if the box score doesn’t necessarily reflect it. Nevertheless, his success stemmed primarily from weak contact, not from a lack of contact. Keuchel faced 23 batters, but he generated an abysmal 5.4% swinging-strike rate against a Minnesota Twins offense that is middle-of-the-pack in terms of strikeout percentage against left-handed pitching. Keuchel will have to deal with a Philadelphia Phillies offense that ranks 16th in strikeout percentage against southpaws during the month of August. Called third strikes are always a concern with the Phillies, but this should be an easy under if they simply swing the bats.
Trea Turner u0.5 Strikeouts (-110), DraftKings
Trea Turner has struck out at an alarmingly-high rate in 2023, relative to his career numbers. However, he has still showcased good bat-to-ball skills against left-handed pitching, striking out only 19.6% of the time. There is also some evidence to suggest that Turner is finally starting to see the ball better at the plate, having struck out in only 12.9% of his plate appearances since August 3. There will likely be one or two stressful plate appearances in the late innings as part of this play, but Turner has earned himself the benefit of the doubt in recent weeks – trust him to get the job done here.
MLB DFS Pick’em
Masataka Yoshida Less than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts, PrizePicks
We are running it back tonight with the founder of the less than 0.5 hitter strikeout club in these articles – Masataka Yoshida. Entering play on Friday, Yoshida ranks in the 97th percentile in strikeout rate among qualified hitters. He will face Tarik Skubal, who has struck out only two of the 14 left-handed batters he has faced to start 2023. Yoshida has struck out in only 14.5% of his plate appearances against southpaws this season, making this a worthwhile risk to begin the weekend.
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