MLB Player Props Today: Rosario, Hernandez, Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (August 4)
What kind of performances can we expect on Friday from Amed Rosario, Kike Hernandez, and Bryson Stott? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Friday, August 4, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Friday! Today’s 14-game slate began earlier today under the sun at Wrigley Field. Still, there are plenty of opportunities remaining for the betting community as part of this evening’s action.
Across the last two weeks, we are 30-15 in this article, including another sweep yesterday! Since May 1, we are 127-97-7 on non-Home Run props and 2-4 on Home Run recommendations. We are now 79-43-4 on pitcher prop recommendations for the season. There is plenty of opportunity once again on the player prop market today – below are three prop leans for August 4!
MLB Props Results – Wager Type
HITTER PROPS
Dinger Tuesday: 4-9-1
Hitter: 89-83-4
Stolen Base: 0-2
PITCHER PROPS
Hits Allowed: 2-1
Outs Recorded: 28-13
Strikeout: 51-28-3
Walk: 1-0
MISCELLANEOUS PROPS
1st Inning: 0-4
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MLB Player Props Today
- Amed Rosario u1.5 Total Bases
- Kike Hernandez u0.5 Total Bases
- Bryson Stott Less Than 0.5 Strikeouts
Amed Rosario u1.5 Total Bases (-170), DraftKings
Amed Rosario has cashed for us back-to-back days in the strikeout market. Today, we are reversing course, fading him on the total base market. Against left-handed pitching this year, Rosario has been outstanding, but he has been unproductive against right-handed pitching – posting a poor .633 OPS and a 74 wRC+. Yu Darvish has allowed a .228 opponent batting average to right-handed hitters this season – take the under on Rosario’s total bases on Friday.
Kike Hernandez u0.5 Total Bases (+130), DraftKings
Kike Hernandez delivered for us in heroic fashion yesterday, cashing our plus-758 parlay and securing a straight-ticket cash for us in this article. Despite his strong showing on Thursday, we are fading him today in a much tougher matchup against Yu Darvish. Entering play, Darvish has allowed a .228 opponent batting average to right-handed hitters this year. Hernandez owns a disappointing .213 batting average and an abysmal 56 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season. At plus money, this is great value.
MLB DFS Pick’em
Bryson Stott Less than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts, PrizePicks
Bryson Stott is not going to break any radar guns with his exit velocity. Still, his 85th percentile strikeout rate among qualified hitters means he is a good bet to avoid striking out on a nightly basis. On the season, Stott has struck out in only 16.9% of his plate appearances against right-handed pitching. Tonight, he faces Jordan Lyles, who has a pedestrian 17.0% strikeout rate across the platoon in 2023. Trust Stott to get the job done for us here.
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